Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Picks - The Players Championship PGA DFS Lineup Advice

DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks daily fantasy golf

Welcome back to my PGA DFS lineup picks for The Players Championship on DraftKings! Many golfers barely miss out on being mentioned here by a fraction of a percent, so if you have any questions about a particular player from a PGA DFS or PGA betting perspective, you can contact me on Twitter @Teeoffsports.

Once you are done reading the article, please check out my weekly spreadsheet in the link below to get started on your research. There you will be able to weigh the categories however you see fit once you make a copy, and I always love hearing the success you have found while using the model.

Thanks again for all the support, and don't miss out on all our top-notch weekly PGA DFS articles produced by the entire RotoBaller squad. 

Featured Promo: New for 2023, we've added A LOT of new exclusive PGA articles, picks, and tools to our PGA Premium Packages! Spencer Aguiar, one of the most successful PGA bettors in the industry, now features 10+ weekly articles with his exclusive picks, rankings and models in the TeeOffSports VIP subscription. Win big in 2023! Sign Up Now!


PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - The Players Championship

We have a special treat for all you RotoBallers and golf enthusiasts. In addition to this article, be sure to also check out Spencer's PGA DFS Rankings Wizarda powerful and interactive data spreadsheet, allowing user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you want to create your own spreadsheet, you will need to make a copy under "file." We hope you enjoy!


TPC Sawgrass

7,189 Yards - Par 72 - Greens Bermuda (Overseeded Rye - Think of your Bent/Poa mixtures)

TPC Sawgrass has always been a challenging course to handicap. You don't have to look any further than the erratic course history of every golfer in the field to realize the volatility is heightened at the venue, but the move from May to March should provide more predictably since the facility was always best suited to be played in colder weather conditions.

The summer temperature in May gave us a Bermuda surface that was still dormant (but playable) from the winter and created this fiery test that made stopping your irons on these smaller-than-average greens nearly impossible. I want to make it clear that the fast/lightning surface that we have become accustomed to over the years will still be in play (thank you to the SubAir system), but more of where I am going with this is that the Bermuda grass gets overseeded on all parts of the course, creating much softer landing areas that allow shot-shaping and control with your irons from anywhere on the track.

Strokes gained around the green will still be amplified because of the smaller putting surfaces, but it is hard to weigh properly since shaved run-off areas allow multiple options to be considered when attempting to get up and down. There are 17 water hazards and 88 bunkers that are put into place to cause havoc, and while the rough is anything but penal, the Pete Dye nature will cause a handful of forced lay-ups for the field. Golfers that can be creative, salvage par, avoid critical mistakes and control their irons will be most equipped to find success at this grueling test, but it is tough to find quantifiable data that remains pertinent at Sawgrass year-over-year.


Let's Look At The Stats

Stat TPC Sawgrass Tour Average
Driving Distance 278 282
Driving Accuracy 62% 62%
GIR Percentage 63% 65%
Scrambling Percentage 53% 57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round 0.63 0.55


Key Stats 

  • Weighted Tee-T0-Green (20%)
  • SG Total TPC (7.5%)
  • SG Total Par 72s Under 7,200 Yards (10%)
  • Fast/Lightning Greens (10%)
  • Weighted Scrambling (15%)
  • Par-Five Birdie or Better (15%)
  • Birdie or Better + Bogey Avoidance (10%)
  • Ball-Striking (12.5%)

I will take a deeper dive into what went into these totals later in the week on my podcast. If you aren't doing so already, you can follow Bettor Golf Podcast on Twitter.


Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.


High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players 

This week, there are five players priced above $10,000. Please remember this is always a first look at the field. Opinions might shift slightly as the week goes on, and I am more than happy to discuss anyone further on Twitter.

Jon Rahm ($11,100)

I honestly can't tell if Jon Rahm is about to put it all together and win a title or if we are in the middle of watching a meltdown that will end with him in an insane asylum because of his short game. In his six tournaments on American soil in 2022, Rahm has averaged 8.53 shots to the field with his driver and irons, which might not even be doing him justice when we consider he has produced 10.9 strokes per start over his last three contests. The ball-striking keeps improving. The results are getting progressively worse. Something has to give.

Collin Morikawa ($10,700)

I will be the first to admit that I have been much lower on Collin Morikawa than the rest of the community throughout his career. I don't think that is a bad thing to acknowledge since popularity often equates to reduced price tags in the betting market, but I don't have a massive issue with where Morikawa is located this weekend at TPC Sawgrass. The American ranks inside the top-13 in every statistical category that I attached a weight, and a hypothetical finish of 21st place in 2021 would have been enough to move him into being the top man on my model.

Justin Thomas ($10,400)

There are a handful of trends going against Justin Thomas this weekend. You will hear a million times that nobody has ever defended the Players Championship, but perhaps more problematic than that, of the last 12 winners, only Webb Simpson, who finished 16th here in 2019, has recorded a top-55 result in their next start at Sawgrass. Sure, that isn't ideal when trying to make a case for the 28-year-old to repeat, but as you know by now, trends have never meant much to me when putting together lineups or bets. Thomas ranks first overall in my model from an overall sense and grades as the top player in the field in weighted tee-to-green, weighted scrambling and weighted proximity. We saw what happened last year at the course when the 14-time winner squeaked out 1.6 shots with his flat stick, so while the putter hasn't exactly been ideal as of late, it likely wouldn't take much for him to win if he can get anything going with that aspect of his game.

Other Thoughts: Rory McIlroy and Viktor Hovland are the contrarian pivots of the group. 


Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the discount code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022!


Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

$9,000 Range

Dustin Johnson ($9,800)

I think you are dart-throwing the top of the board when you take Dustin Johnson at $9,800, but we have to find ways to get unique and different if we want to succeed at a tournament where ownership is getting pushed to all the same areas. I keep hearing what a popular bet and DFS target Johnson will be this weekend in Florida, but the early returns haven't exactly told that story. Sure, he will be marginally more popular in the outright market, but most gamers seem to be looking elsewhere at his going rate on DraftKings. It is hard to know what we are getting from the big-hitting American after losing with his irons in five of six starts, but it is worth noting that the plurality of vital scoring chances will come with a short iron in hand - a club the former Masters champion has always excelled with during his career.

Xander Schauffele ($9,700)

Xander Schauffele is probably my preferred target in the $9,000 range for a few reasons. Players have talked about playing to the center of these greens because of how small they are in diameter, and if you take that approach with every iron shot, you should give yourself makeable birdie looks. Schauffele is the king of high proximity numbers but outstanding GIR totals because of his safe nature, and I have noticed a trend that he plays better when given smaller greens for the reason I mentioned above.

Other Thoughts: I will be monitoring ownership on Patrick Cantlay ($9,900), Scottie Scheffler ($9,200) and Jordan Spieth ($9,000). 

Contrarian DraftKings DFS Players To Consider

$8,900 - $7,100 Range 

Pricing is so soft that it doesn't accomplish anything to write about the same players as everyone else. You don't need to hear for the 1,000th time why Daniel Berger is underpriced. We all can see that with his nearly 20% mark on Monday. Instead, I will try to pinpoint a few golfers where I am much higher than consensus. I think that will help find pivots better than a meaningless article of trendy names.

Webb Simpson ($7,600)

The 2018 winner of the Players Championship rides into the week with minimal fanfare after a quiet finish to last year and a reduced schedule to begin 2022. Simpson hasn't been seen since the Sony Open in January - an event he typically finds success but faltered to a worrisome 61st place result after losing 5.4 strokes with his ball-striking.  I do want to note that the 36-year-old just started hitting balls again last week after going through rehab to fix an issue stemming from a bulging disk in his neck, but sometimes the unknown can be worth a shot in the dark on a golfer that knows a course well. Simpson's upside will always be enticing to me when we can grab him in the $7,000 range, and he ranks inside the top five of this field on rainy/windy courses.

Abraham Ancer ($7,600)

Abraham Ancer leaves something to be desired with his recent form, but the weighted combination of Pete Dye production, strokes gained total in the wind, play at TPC courses and Par 72s under 7,200 yards rates the 31-year-old ninth in this field. If you are curious, the names ahead of him are Dustin Johnson, Webb Simpson, John Rahm, Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas, Sungjae Im, Paul Casey and Rory McIlroy.

Russell Henley ($7,400)

Most gamers will see four missed cuts in five starts at the Players for why Russell Henley is priced at $7,400, but there are two top-25 finishes for him if we stretch the data back slightly further. Henley has gained tee-to-green in nine straight starts and ranks inside the top-20 of this field for weighted proximity, GIR percentage, driving accuracy, bogey avoidance, strokes gained at TPC tracks and weighted tee-to-green.

Justin Rose ($7,300)

Losing with all facets of your game like Justin Rose did at the Arnold Palmer is not ideal, but nothing was worse than negative-0.8 shots to the field. I sometimes feel like these can be decent buy-low opportunities when a player isn't as far away as the perception might lead you to believe, and Rose ranks inside the top-25 in weighted proximity of this stacked tournament.

Si Woo Kim ($7,300)

Si Woo Kim was leading the tour in consecutive rounds of shooting par or better before a slip-up at the Genesis, but nine straight made cuts and two top-nine finishes at Sawgrass in his past four attempts will make the South Korean a difficult option to ignore at $7,300. Kim is a Pete Dye specialist that excels on par-fives, and anything around 10 percent isn't high enough for the upside he possesses.

Corey Conners ($7,300)

There is a ton of sharp money that continues to pour in on Corey Conners, who is down to 50/1 at some of the better offshore books out there. Most markets have Conners as more of an $8,000+ golfer when comparing him to the counterparts he is matched against, and while he is going to be popular, it is easy to understand why.


$7,000 (Or Less) Options To Consider

We are still early in the week. I will continue to run numbers as more ownership comes in for these $7,000/$6,000 golfers.

Tom Hoge ($7,000),  Brian Harman ($6,900), Keegan Bradly ($6,900), Jhonattan Vegas ($6,800), Sebastian Munoz ($6,700), Aaron Wise ($6,600), K.H. Lee ($6,300), Thomas Pieters ($6,300)


Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks

More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts


Jake Cronenworth11 mins ago

Padres Agree To Extension
Anthony Davis12 mins ago

Battles Through Injury For A Big Double-Double
Nolan Jones19 mins ago

Homers Twice For Albuquerque
Jonathan Toews20 mins ago

Returns To Action Saturday
Tyler Toffoli30 mins ago

Nets Two Goals Against Vancouver
Clayton Keller39 mins ago

Keeps Point Streak Going Friday
Jason Robertson51 mins ago

Sets New Stars Scoring Record
Adam Fox1 hour ago

Continues Hot Spell With A Goal
Casey Mittelstadt1 hour ago

Hands Out Two Assists
Steven Kwan3 hours ago

Plates Five In Win Over Seattle
Tee Higgins10 hours ago

Not Concerned About Contract Situation
Jeff Skinner10 hours ago

Scores Game-Winning Goal In Overtime
Devon Levi10 hours ago

Earns Victory In NHL Debut
A.J. Puk12 hours ago

Picks Up Save For Marlins Friday
Rhys Hoskins12 hours ago

Undergoes Successful Knee Surgery
Nick Solak12 hours ago

Mariners Acquire Nick Solak From Reds
Justin Verlander13 hours ago

Does Some Light Throwing
Luis Urías13 hours ago

Luis Urias Reportedly Heading To Injured List
Joey Wiemer13 hours ago

Reportedly Will Be Called Up
Anthony Rendon13 hours ago

Being Investigated By MLB
Willson Contreras14 hours ago

Receives Good News On Friday
Seattle Seahawks15 hours ago

Ryan Neal Becomes Free Agent
Pharaoh Brown15 hours ago

Joins Colts
Darrynton Evans15 hours ago

To Meet With Colts
Laquon Treadwell15 hours ago

Working Out For Cowboys
Zach Collins15 hours ago

Out Against Golden State
De'Andre Hunter15 hours ago

Out With A Knee Injury On Friday
Oscar Gonzalez15 hours ago

Starting On Friday
Obi Toppin16 hours ago

Will Start Against The Cavs
Jarrett Allen16 hours ago

Downgraded To Out On Friday
Nelson Cruz16 hours ago

Batting Cleanup On Friday
Mike Moustakas16 hours ago

Remains Out Again
Michael Brantley16 hours ago

Takes Batting Practice
Andrew Vaughn16 hours ago

Sitting On Friday
Gavin Sheets18 hours ago

Oscar Colas Starting On Friday
Paul Sewald18 hours ago

Picks Up Win On Opening Day
Garrett Whitlock18 hours ago

Making Rehab Start Friday
Josh Rojas18 hours ago

Hitting Leadoff Against Dodgers
Corey Julks18 hours ago

Making MLB Debut Against White Sox
Portland Trail Blazers19 hours ago

LaMarcus Aldridge Officially Retires From The NBA
Jamal Murray19 hours ago

Considered Questionable Against Phoenix
Nikola Jokic19 hours ago

Could Miss His Second Consecutive Game
Kenyon Martin19 hours ago

Jr. Uncertain To Play Against Detroit
Tobias Harris19 hours ago

Could Miss Friday's Game Against Toronto
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander19 hours ago

Upgraded To Questionable On Friday
Al Horford19 hours ago

Uncertain To Suit Up On Friday
Jaylen Brown19 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable With Lower-Back Pain
Jayson Tatum19 hours ago

Listed As Questionable Against Utah
Kelly Olynyk19 hours ago

Is Available Against Boston On Friday
De'Andre Hunter19 hours ago

Downgraded To Out On Friday
Trayveon Williams21 hours ago

Bengals Have High Hopes For Trayveon Williams
Joe Burrow22 hours ago

Bengals Begin Extension Discussions With Joe Burrow
Mac Jones22 hours ago

Bill Belichick Still Non-Committal On Mac Jones
Sammy Blais23 hours ago

Extends Point Streak To Six Games
Cam Talbot23 hours ago

Makes A Winning Return
Matthew Beniers24 hours ago

Logs Two Points Against Anaheim
Stuart Skinner24 hours ago

Grabs A 43-Save Shutout
Tristan Jarry24 hours ago

Records His Second Shutout
Matthew Tkachuk24 hours ago

Rolls To Four Points Versus Montreal
T.J. Oshie1 day ago

Exits With An Upper-Body Injury
Mikey Anderson1 day ago

Injured On First Shift Thursday
CJ McCollum1 day ago

Drops 23 Points In Easy Win Over Denver
Jamal Murray1 day ago

Salvages Solid Performance In Loss
Brandon Ingram1 day ago

Secures A Triple-Double Against Denver
Jaylen Brown1 day ago

Collects Another 30-Point Game
Jayson Tatum1 day ago

Drops 40 Points In Blowout Win
Linus Ullmark1 day ago

Allows One Goal In Overtime Victory
David Pastrnak1 day ago

Scores Game-Winning Goal
Baltimore Ravens2 days ago

Ravens Have Been Active In Receiver Market
Baker Mayfield2 days ago

Kyle Trask To Compete In Training Camp
Courtland Sutton2 days ago

Broncos Could Still Trade Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton
DeAndre Hopkins2 days ago

To Stay With Cardinals?
Odell Beckham Jr.2 days ago

Jets The Most Likely Landing Spot For Odell Beckham Jr.
Carolina Panthers2 days ago

Panthers Not Settled On One QB For No. 1 Pick
Lamar Jackson2 days ago

Not Seeking Fully Guaranteed Deal
Nathan Peterman2 days ago

Re-Signs With Bears
Ryan Lindgren2 days ago

A Game-Time Decision Against New Jersey
Seth Jones2 days ago

Expects To Play Thursday
David Savard2 days ago

A Game-Time Call Thursday
Dre Miller2 days ago

Kendre Miller Ahead Of Schedule
Buffalo Bills2 days ago

Bills Re-Sign Jordan Phillips
Las Vegas Raiders2 days ago

Alex Bars Returns To Raiders On One-Year Deal
Dallas Cowboys2 days ago

Johnathan Hankins Re-Signs With Cowboys
NFL2 days ago

Wanya Morris Getting Close To 100%
Brendon Todd3 days ago

Has Success At TPC San Antonio
Ben Martin3 days ago

Has Value At TPC San Antonio
Nick Taylor3 days ago

A Boom-Or-Bust Option At Valero
Taylor Pendrith3 days ago

A Sleeper Option At TPC San Antonio
Chris Kirk3 days ago

A Good Option At The Valero Texas Open
Matt Kuchar3 days ago

Loves Playing TPC San Antonio
Will Gordon3 days ago

Offers A Wild-Card Option At Valero
Cam Davis3 days ago

Can Keep His Current Form At TPC San Antonio
Mark Hubbard4 days ago

A Low-Risk Value Option At Valero
Tyler Duncan4 days ago

Start Tyler Duncan At TPC San Antonio
Emiliano Grillo4 days ago

Not Recommended At Valero
Patrick Rodgers4 days ago

Don't Give Patrick Rodgers A Shot At Valero
Adam Schenk4 days ago

Wants To Keep Momentum Rolling At Valero
Ryan Moore4 days ago

Cannot Get Past The Cut Lately
Stephan Jaeger4 days ago

Could Warm Things Up At Valero
Si Woo Kim4 days ago

A Possible Contender At Valero
Taylor Montgomery4 days ago

Attempting To Find Weekend Consistency
Corey Conners4 days ago

Trying To Recreate A Little Magic
Thomas Detry4 days ago

Continues To Impress In Rookie Season
Aaron Rai4 days ago

Brings Positive Momentum To Valero Texas Open
Akshay Bhatia4 days ago

Looks To Stay Hot In Texas
Todd Gilliland5 days ago

Impressive At COTA
Ty Gibbs5 days ago

Finds His Footing At COTA
Chris Buescher5 days ago

Continues To Shine On Road Courses
NASCAR5 days ago

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Finishes Seventh
Austin Cindric5 days ago

Has A Solid Day
Marlon Vera5 days ago

Has Four-Fight Winning Streak Snapped
Cory Sandhagen5 days ago

Dominates Striking Department
Yana Santos5 days ago

Dominated In Decision Loss
Holly Holm5 days ago

Dominates In Co-Main Event
Austin Lingo5 days ago

Suffers Submission Loss
Nate Landwehr5 days ago

Shines With Second-Round Submission Win
Andrea Lee5 days ago

Suffers Defeat In Close Matchup Saturday
Maycee Barber5 days ago

Takes Close Matchup On Saturday
Chidi Njokuani5 days ago

Takes Close Loss In Split-Decision Showing
Albert Duraev5 days ago

Holds Off Opponent In Tight Split Decision
William Byron5 days ago

Rounds Out Top Five At COTA
Ross Chastain5 days ago

Caught Up To Fourth At COTA On Sunday
Alex Bowman5 days ago

Brings Home Third Place Finish At COTA
Kyle Busch5 days ago

Scrambles Up To Second At Austin
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

Dominates And Wins At COTA