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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday, April 9th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Padres vs. Braves
The Padres take on the Braves on Sunday, April 9th 2023 at Truist Park, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: San Diego Padres (5-4) vs. Atlanta Braves (6-3)
- Date: Sunday, April 9th 2023
- Time: 7:00 ET
- Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Padres vs. Braves
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San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 5-4, the San Diego Padres travel to take on the Atlanta Braves, ranked 3rd in the NL West. So far, San Diego has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 2-1.
San Diego currently has an even run differential so far this season. In two consecutive games the Padres have failed to cover the runline, with an overall record of 4-5 (vs. runline). As the favorite, San Diego has a straight-up mark of 4-3 and 2-5 vs. the runline. On the other side, they are 2-0 against the runline as underdogs and 1-1 straight-up. This includes an over/under record of 5-4.
For San Diego, Seth Lugo gets the start, currently holding a record of 1-0. Coming into the game, Seth Lugo has been tough on opposing hitters, posting an era of just 1.29. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .160. Opposing hitters have gone deep one time against Seth Lugo, who has a WOBA allowed of .186. Having not allowed a single walk, Lugo has a WHIP sitting at .57.
Offensively, San Diego is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.4 runs per game. The Padres' combined batting average currently sits at .229, placing them 25th in the league. Despite having a low batting average, they are one of the best power hitting lineups in the league, at 12 home runs (6th). Up to this point, San Diego has been getting on base at a rate of .317, placing them 20th in all of baseball.
Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Atlanta Braves enter play ranked 1st in the NL East with an overall record of 6-3. Atlanta has yet to take advantage of playing at home, going just 1-2.
As of today's game, the Braves have a run differential of +1.7 runs per game. In two consecutive games, the Braves have covered the runline, with an overall 6-3 vs. the runline. In games where they are favored, Atlanta holds a straight-up record of 4-2, with a 3-3 record versus the runline. As underdogs, the team has a 3-0 record against the runline and a straight-up mark of 2-1. Atlanta's over/under record for the season currently stands at 3-6.
Making the start for Atlanta is Dylan Dodd, with a record of 1-0. So far, Dylan Dodd has put together an outstanding ERA of 1.80. In today's game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .316. When looking at how opposing batters are faring in the power department, Dylan Dodd has a WOBA allowed of .302 and has yet to be tagged for a home run. Dodd has maintained a WHIP of 1.20 while permitting any walks.
On offense, Atlanta will look to continue their strong play, as they rank 6th in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. The Braves have been able to drive in runs at an above average rate as their team batting average of .265 ranks 8th in the league. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, with 12 home runs (6th). Atlanta's overall OBP of .343 is good for 8th in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Padres vs. Braves
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and San Diego, the Braves are the betting favorite at -118 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 54.13%. The MLB predictive model shows the Padres knocking off Atlanta in an upset win. It is recommended to take San Diego on the moneyline with some positive odds.
Recommended Betting Pick: Padres Moneyline
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