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Frank Ammirante's best MLB player prop bets for today (6/2/2025). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props. Riley Greene, Elly De La Cruz, and more.
We've got a small slate of MLB action on Monday, forcing us to dive a little deeper to find spots to choose from for home run player prop bets today. Today's hitters include Riley Greene, Elly De La Cruz, Christian Yelich, Matt Wallner, and Rafael Devers. This features a couple of lefty bats facing pitchers who struggle against left-handers, along with another southpaw that faces a veteran with reverse splits.
The strategy behind choosing home run props involves several key factors, such as batted ball metrics, lefty-righty splits, weather conditions, and park factors. We also want to make sure we're getting a favorable price in terms of betting odds. You don't want to pay inflated lines on volatile outcomes like home runs, or you can burn through your bankroll quickly.
Below, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Monday, June 2, 2025. Odds for each pick are from DraftKings Sportsbook and may change throughout the day. Remember to shop around at other sportsbooks for the best price, which gives you more value on your bets. It's also important to risk only a small portion of your bankroll on home run props since this market is volatile, so keep that in mind.
MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (6/2/2025)
Here are the hitters I'll cover for Monday, June 2:
- Riley Greene, Detroit Tigers
- Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds
- Christian Yelich, Milwaukee Brewers
- Matt Wallner, Minnesota Twins
- Rafael Devers, Boston Red Sox
Riley Greene OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+260 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Riley Greene in the month of May
102 AB
.275/.345/.549
7 HR
15 R
24 RBI
153 wRC+#RepDetroit pic.twitter.com/8974SUOla3— DataBase Hit (@DatabaseHit) June 1, 2025
Greene is coming off a strong May, which puts his overall numbers at a .271/.325/.502 slash with 13 home runs in 241 plate appearances. This includes an impressive 134 wRC+ and 18.1% barrel rate.
We've seen the left-handed Greene perform better against righties, featuring a .304 batting average with 12 of his 13 homers. That's good news for the Tigers slugger in tonight's spot.
That's because it's a matchup against White Sox righty Jonathan Cannon, who has allowed a 9.6% barrel rate and 4.24 xERA. This also includes a 1.19 HR/9 in 60.2 innings.
Cannon has had a tough time against left-handed bats this season, allowing a .343 wOBA and 1.27 HR/9.
When you also consider that Greene has homered as recently as May 30th, you have to like this spot against a pitcher who gives up such hard contact and struggles against lefties.
While the price is a bit expensive at (+260) odds, the combination of a hitter who barrels the ball at a high rate against a pitcher who also allows a high barrel rate makes this a rock-solid choice for tonight.
Elly De La Cruz OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+285 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Elly De La Cruz gets his 50th career home run pic.twitter.com/iZryBHPbgx
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) June 1, 2025
De La Cruz currently boasts a .258/.331/.455 slash with 12 home runs in 260 plate appearances. While this isn't an exceptional start to the season, we've seen Elly pick it up lately, featuring three home runs in his last five games, including one on Sunday.
It also helps that this game will be played at the most home run-friendly venue in MLB in Great American Ball Park, where Elly has an .869 OPS.
The dynamic shortstop has been better against right-handed pitching this season, including a .532 slugging percentage (.299 slugging percentage vs lefties). That's good news against tonight's pitcher in righty Aaron Civale, who has allowed a .419 wOBA against lefties so far.
We also need to consider the game total, which is currently listed at 9.5, indicating a projected high-scoring affair.
With Elly heating up at the plate coupled with the strong matchup in a favorable environment, it's worth a look to take a shot at (+285) odds.
Christian Yelich OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+300 DraftKings Sportsbook)
YELI'S FIRST CAREER WALKOFF HR IS A GRAND SLAM@ChristianYelich pic.twitter.com/zAjpOL4BG9
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) May 28, 2025
Yelich left early on Sunday's game with a hand injury, but x-rays were negative, so there's a good chance that he'll be able to suit up for this game.
That's good news because the outfielder has started to get red-hot at the plate, featuring three home runs in his last five games, including a two-homer game on May 30th.
We've seen the veteran perform a lot better against right-handers this season, as highlighted by the fact that 11 of his 12 homers have come against righties.
That bodes well for tonight's matchup against righty Brady Singer, who has allowed a 10.7% barrel rate this season. What's even worse for Singer is that he's had a tough time against lefties, including a 1.62 HR/9 compared to 0.36 HR/9 against righties.
Add in the home run-friendly environment at Great American Ball Park, and you have to love Yelich's chances at going yard yet again.
If Yelich is unable to suit up for this game, consider taking a shot on another Brewers lefty, such as Jake Bauers.
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Matt Wallner OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+360 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Matt Wallner returned from the IL and homered in his first at bat. He was a popular sleeper this preseason thanks to what he did in 2024:
53.2% Hard-Hit%
17.5% Barrel%
.282/.386/.559 with 12 HR after July 7Best widely available power option by far pic.twitter.com/lU6kMZ4AoD
— Jeremy Heist (@heistjm) June 1, 2025
Wallner returned from injury and made an immediate impact for the Twins, homering in his first at-bat. This is a slugger with a lot of power upside, especially when he's running hot as he is now.
Remember that Wallner hit 13 home runs in only 261 plate appearances last season.
The Twins outfielder has been a lot better against right-handed pitching this season, featuring a .538 slugging percentage and .264 ISO. That's good news for tonight's matchup against righty Luis Severino, who has given up a .324 wOBA against lefties this season.
Then you need to consider that this game will take place at Sutter Health Park, which is one of the most hitter-friendly environments in all of baseball.
This is a matchup with a 9.5-run total, so we can expect a high-scoring affair.
With that in mind, it's worth a look to take a shot on Wallner to hit his second home run in his last three games, even at a (+360) price at DraftKings.
Rafael Devers OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+390 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Rafael Devers in May:
.373 AVG
9 HR
41 RBI
1.141 OPS pic.twitter.com/1yXiPy1Rst— Underdog MLB (@UnderdogMLB) June 1, 2025
Devers' early-season struggles are far in the rear-view mirror right now after a blistering May that saw him put up a 1.141 OPS, putting his overall slash to .286/.408/.515 with 12 home runs in 277 plate appearances.
The left-handed slugger has performed well against lefties this season, including a .325 batting average with three home runs. That's why I'm willing to take a shot on Devers in a lefty-vs-lefty matchup against Tyler Anderson.
What's interesting about Anderson is that he has reverse splits, featuring a .389 wOBA and 2.81 HR/9 against southpaws compared to .270 wOBA and 1.2 HR/9 against right-handers.
This makes the discounted (+390) odds on a slugger like Devers look appealing. We're getting this price because of the perceived tougher matchup since it's lefty vs. lefty, but that's not quite the case considering these reverse splits.
Ride with Devers to hit his 13th home run of the season in this favorable spot at home against Anderson and the Los Angeles Angels.
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