X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Barrels and Brls/BBE: Using Sabermetrics For 2024 Fantasy Baseball

Aaron Judge - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Previously, we looked at how exit velocity is only one piece of the fantasy baseball analysis puzzle. Baseball broadcasts commonly cite Launch Angle (LA) to complement their EV figures, but it is given in terms of degrees. Are we trying to find the hypotenuse of an isosceles triangle?

Launch angle is basically a fancy way of saying something the fantasy community has used for years. It sounds way more complicated than it is.

A Statcast metric called Barrels represents the ideal marriage between EV and LA, and this article will show you how to incorporate them into your fantasy analysis. Let's get started!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and weekly lineup resources:

 

What is a Barrel?

We don't always measure hits in terms of degrees, instead choosing terms like "grounder" or "fly ball." Here is the batted ball type produced by the various degree measurements:

Batted Ball Type Launch Angle
Ground ball Less than 10 degrees
Line drive 10-25 degrees
Fly ball 25-50 degrees
Pop-up More than 50 degrees

Most batters want to live in the 10-50 degree range, as grounders rarely produce power while pop-ups rarely produce anything other than easy outs. Well-struck balls in this range of launch angles are the batted balls that fantasy managers are most interested in. Barrels filter out everything else, allowing us to evaluate who is hitting the most of these high-value batted balls.

A Barrel is defined as "a ball with a combination of exit velocity and launch angle that averages at least a .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage." It should be noted that the numbers above are only a minimum threshold. In this respect, the stat is like a Quality Start. It is possible to register a QS with an ERA of 4.50, but the actual average ERA of all MLB Quality Starts falls well below 4.50.

The range of EVs and LAs that combine to form Barrels is called the Barrel Zone. Higher EVs can compensate for less ideal LAs to produce the .500/1.500 minimum. Batted balls must have an EV of at least 98 mph and fall within the 10-50 degree LA range to be classified as Barrels. We care about fantasy production, not the intricacies of a mathematical relationship. You don't need to worry about the math.

With this in mind, Ronald Acuna Jr. led baseball in Barrels in 2023 with 86. He was followed by Matt Olson (73 Barrels), Shohei Ohtani (70), and a three-way tie between Aaron Judge, Marcell Ozuna, and Austin Riley (66 each). This group passes the sniff test. Still, we already knew this. What do Barrels add to the equation?

 

The Value of Barrels

Barrels become more instructive when you stop looking at them as a counting stat and start examining them as a rate stat. By taking the number of Barrels and dividing it by the total number of Batted Ball Events (BBE), we get a percentage that tells us how frequently a player's batted balls are Barrels.

Judge topped this list in 2023 with a 27.5% Brls/BBE figure, followed by Ohtani (19.6%), Alvarez (18%), and a tie between J.D. Martinez and Matt Chapman (17.1% each). Both Martinez and Chapman are currently afterthoughts on draft day by ADP, but don't underestimate the pop in their bats.

Some analysts prefer Brls/PA (or Barrels per PA) instead of Brls/BBE, but there isn't much difference between the two stats. The 2023 Brls/PA leaderboard consists of Judge (14.4%), a three-way tie between Acuna, Ohtani, and Alvarez (11.7%), and Corey Seager (11.2%). Again, it's a bunch of names we already know are really good.

Brls/BBE data helped identify sleepers in every year of its existence. Chris Carter had an 18.7% Brls/BBE in limited 2015 playing time. He led the NL in homers the next year with 41. Gary Sanchez ranked eighth in the league with a 15.8% Brls/BBE in 2016, foreshadowing his strong 2017.

Joey Gallo's 22.1% rate of Brls/BBE over 253 batted balls in 2017 suggested that his 41 HRs were real, and he effectively repeated them the next season (40 HR). Likewise, Luke Voit's third-place finish in Brls/BBE in 2018 foreshadowed his .263/.378/.464 line with 21 HRs in 510 PAs for the Yankees in 2019. The 2020 season is best forgotten, and Giancarlo Stanton was identified as a sleeper here last year. They can't all be winners.

 

Where Do I Find Barrels?

The best place to find information on Barrels is the Statcast leaderboard on Baseball Savant. All of the data you want is on the far right of the table and looks like this:

That's all three numbers referenced above: the raw number of Barrels, Brls/BBE, and Brls/PA. Baseball Savant prefers Brls/PA since it's color-coded (good numbers are red, poor ones are blue), but this author prefers Brls/BBE. Walks and strikeouts don't involve contact, so why would we consider them in a contact quality metric?

 

Conclusion

Viewing Barrels as a rate stat can be beneficial. Few metrics have proven to have the predictive power that Brls/BBE has shown in recent years. There have been a few delayed reactions (Tyler O'Neill led baseball in Brls/BBE in 2018 but didn't break out until 2021), but in general, it's a stat you want to look at. Read up on all types of Sabermetrics to get an edge in your 2024 fantasy baseball drafts.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!






POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Spencer Strider3 hours ago

Bone Fragment Caused Spencer Strider's Elbow Surgery
Keibert Ruiz3 hours ago

Feeling Better
Francisco Alvarez3 hours ago

Suffers Apparent Thumb Injury
Braxton Garrett4 hours ago

Could Throw Bullpen Soon
Gavin Williams4 hours ago

Nearing Rehab Assignment
DeMar DeRozan4 hours ago

Doesn't Lift Bulls To A Win
Tyler Herro4 hours ago

Leads All Scorers In Play-In Win
Craig Porter4 hours ago

Jr. Ruled Out For Game 1
Cam Reddish4 hours ago

Won't Play Against Denver
Keegan Murray5 hours ago

Returns On Friday Night
LeBron James5 hours ago

Expected To Play On Saturday
Anthony Davis5 hours ago

Probable For Game 1
Keegan Murray5 hours ago

Heads To The Locker Room
Spencer Turnbull6 hours ago

Takes No-No Into Seventh Inning On Friday
Alec Bohm6 hours ago

Blasts Two Bombs On Friday
Elly De La Cruz7 hours ago

Unstoppable Against Angels On Friday
Dak Prescott8 hours ago

Hasn't Started Contract Negotiations With Cowboys
Walker Buehler8 hours ago

Needs Another Rehab Outing
Jake Cronenworth9 hours ago

Returning On Friday
Jhoan Duran9 hours ago

Close To Going On Rehab Assignment
Duncan Robinson9 hours ago

Will Play Against Chicago
Andre Drummond10 hours ago

Available For Play-In Matchup
Ayo Dosunmu10 hours ago

Good To Face Miami
Alex Caruso10 hours ago

Cleared For Friday Night
Ian Happ10 hours ago

Exits With Hamstring Tightness On Friday
Framber Valdez10 hours ago

Plays Catch Friday
MLB11 hours ago

Rockies-Mariners Postponed On Friday
Bobby McMann11 hours ago

Could Play In Postseason Opener
Calle Jarnkrok11 hours ago

Practices Friday
William Nylander11 hours ago

Doesn't Practice Friday
Owen White11 hours ago

Rangers Option Jack Leiter, Call Up Owen White
Jean-Gabriel Pageau11 hours ago

Listed As Day-To-Day
Aaron Ekblad12 hours ago

Back For Game 1 Sunday
Zach Wilson12 hours ago

Not At Voluntary Workouts
Noah Dobson12 hours ago

Returning For Game 1
Dean Wade12 hours ago

Ruled Out For Game 1
Max Domi12 hours ago

Ready To Go For Game 1
Giannis Antetokounmpo12 hours ago

Not Participating In Live Practice
DJ LeMahieu12 hours ago

Not Ready For Rehab Assignment
Kyle Freeland12 hours ago

Rockies Place Kyle Freeland On 15-Day Injured List
De'Anthony Melton12 hours ago

Remains Sidelined For Game 1
Joel Embiid12 hours ago

Deemed Questionable For Game 1 Against Knicks
Tobias Harris12 hours ago

76ers Expected To Part Ways This Summer
Alex Caruso12 hours ago

Expects To Play Against Heat
Ricky Tiedemann13 hours ago

Undergoes MRI For Elbow Discomfort
Jayden Daniels13 hours ago

Not Interested In Playing In D.C.?
Rafael Devers13 hours ago

Remains Sidelined Friday
Brent Rooker13 hours ago

A's Activate Brent Rooker From Injured List
DJ Chark Jr.14 hours ago

Visits With Chargers
Courtland Sutton14 hours ago

Broncos Not Concerned With Courtland Sutton
Alex Cobb1 day ago

To Throw On Flat Ground On Friday
Brandon Ingram1 day ago

Has "A Great Practice" On Thursday
Darren Waller1 day ago

Giants Haven't Given Darren Waller A Deadline For His Decision
J.K. Dobbins1 day ago

"Should Be" Ready For Training Camp
Trevor Lawrence1 day ago

Jaguars Making Progress On Extension For Trevor Lawrence
Zach Collins1 day ago

To Undergo Surgery
Duncan Robinson1 day ago

Probable Versus Chicago
Justus Annunen1 day ago

Starting On Thursday
Dustin Wolf1 day ago

Starting Thursday's Series Finale
Devin Cooley1 day ago

To Start Regular Season Finale
Sidney Crosby1 day ago

To Discuss Extension With Penguins
Rasmus Ristolainen1 day ago

Undergoes Triceps Surgery
Washington Commanders1 day ago

Commanders Won't Trade Down From No. 2 Pick
NFL1 day ago

NFL Reinstates Five Suspended Players On Thursday
Zay Flowers1 day ago

Won't Face Discipline From NFL
Washington Commanders2 days ago

Commanders "Feel Great About Staying At No. 2"
Jayden Daniels2 days ago

Vikings To Meet With Jayden Daniels On Thursday
Buffalo Bills2 days ago

Terrel Bernard Feels Good Health-Wise
Nick Chubb2 days ago

Running On Land
New England Patriots2 days ago

Patriots "Open For Business" On Trades For NFL Draft
Dougie Hamilton2 days ago

Could Have Returned For Playoffs
Nikita Kucherov2 days ago

Reaches 100 Assists
Auston Matthews2 days ago

Fails To Score Goal No. 70 Wednesday
J.K. Dobbins2 days ago

Planning To Sign With Chargers
Calvin Pickard2 days ago

Getting The Start Wednesday
Matt Tomkins2 days ago

Starting Regular Season Finale Wednesday
Luke Hughes2 days ago

To Play For USA At World Championships
NYI2 days ago

Ruslan Iskhakov Could Make NHL Debut Wednesday
Timo Meier3 days ago

Dealt With MCL, Oblique Injuries In 2023-24
MON3 days ago

Canadiens Exercise Two-Year Option On Martin St. Louis
De'Von Achane3 days ago

Looking Shredded
Brock Bowers3 days ago

Visiting With Chargers
Spencer Rattler3 days ago

Giants Visit With Bo Nix, Spencer Rattler
Adam Hadwin3 days ago

Too Volatile To Touch At RBC Heritage
Kurt Kitayama3 days ago

A Boring Play At RBC Heritage
Tom Kim3 days ago

Heads To Hilton Head Looking For Consistency
Emiliano Grillo3 days ago

Looking To Bounce Back At RBC Heritage
Chris Kirk3 days ago

A Safe Option For RBC Heritage
Adam Schenk3 days ago

Trending Up Ahead of RBC Heritage
Lucas Glover3 days ago

Looks To Reverse Fortune At Harbour Town
Taylor Moore3 days ago

Should Contend At Harbour Town
Max Homa3 days ago

Be Wary Of Max Homas At RBC Heritage
Rickie Fowler3 days ago

In Poor Form Heading To Harbour Town
Eric Cole3 days ago

Out Of Form Heading To RBC Heritage
Sepp Straka3 days ago

Continues Maddening Run Of Inconsistent Play
Keegan Bradley3 days ago

Looking To Get Over The Hump At Harbour Town
Tony Finau3 days ago

Looking To Find Putting Stroke At RBC Heritage
Will Zalatoris3 days ago

Makes Return To Harbour Town
PGA3 days ago

J.T. Poston A Decent Leverage Play With Upside At RBC Heritage
Patrick Cantlay3 days ago

Brings Near-Perfect Course History To Harbour Town
Akshay Bhatia3 days ago

A Perfect Fit For Harbour Town, But Take Caution
Jake Knapp3 days ago

In Solid Form Heading To Harbour Town
Nick Taylor3 days ago

In Bounce-Back Spot At Harbour Town
Justin Rose3 days ago

Searching For Form Heading To RBC Heritage
Royce Freeman3 days ago

Cowboys Sign Royce Freeman To One-Year Deal
Alex Pereira5 days ago

Defends Light-Heavyweight Title At UFC 300
Jamahal Hill5 days ago

Knocked Out At UFC 300
Yan Xiaonan5 days ago

Unsuccessful In Bid To Capture UFC Title
Arman Tsarukyan5 days ago

Edges Out Competitive Decision At UFC 300
Charles Oliveira5 days ago

Drops Decision Matchup
NASCAR5 days ago

Bubba Wallace Finishes Seventh At Texas Motor Speedway
Kyle Busch5 days ago

Earns Top 10 Finish In Backup Car At Texas Motor Speedway
Chase Elliott5 days ago

Emerges Victorious in Texas Race Riddled with Cautions
William Byron5 days ago

Finishes Third at Texas After Wrecking Ross Chastain
Ross Chastain5 days ago

Gets Wrecked on Final Lap at Texas While Battling for the Lead
Kyle Larson5 days ago

Sees Dominant Day Slip Away at Texas Due To Loose Wheel
NASCAR5 days ago

Daniel Suárez the Luckiest Driver at Texas, Scores Top Five
Denny Hamlin5 days ago

Late Spinout Costs Denny Hamlin Likely Second-Place Finish
Ty Gibbs5 days ago

Had Speed at Texas, But Burnt by Pit Crew
Ryan Blaney5 days ago

Was Best Ford Driver Until Wreck With Ryan Preece
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

Earns Hard-Fought Fourth Place Finish At Texas
Austin Dillon5 days ago

Gains His Best Finish Of The Year At Texas
Carson Hocevar5 days ago

Rounds Out Top Ten At Texas
Chase Briscoe5 days ago

Ends Up Sixth At Texas
Christopher Bell6 days ago

Is A Great Tournament Option At Texas
Kyle Busch6 days ago

Starts From the Rear After Texas Practice Crash
Chase Elliott6 days ago

Should Chase Elliott Be Rostered In DFS For Texas?
Ty Gibbs6 days ago

Can Ty Gibbs Score His First Win At Texas?
Cody Brundage6 days ago

Gets Submitted At UFC 300
Todd Gilliland6 days ago

Is A Quality Value Play For Texas
Bo Nickal6 days ago

Remains Undefeated At UFC 300
Denny Hamlin6 days ago

Will Start 11th At Texas On Sunday
Ryan Preece6 days ago

Brings Continued Upside To Texas
Justin Gaethje6 days ago

Gets KO'd At UFC 300
Max Holloway6 days ago

Scores Highlight-Reel KO At UFC 300
Zhang Weili6 days ago

Retains Strawweight Title At UFC 300
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF