RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

February 2, 2022

The PGA RotoBaller staff digs into their One and Done selections for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Here are some under-the-radar plays and picks for this week's event.

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for the fourth season.

In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar, Andrew Putters, Owen Vrabel, Matt Miller and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course that highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

One and Done Selections - AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Joe Nicely - Jordan Spieth

Alternate - Jason Day

Well…Daniel Berger’s late WD with a back injury kinda threw a wrench in my OAD works this week. So…let’s have some fun.

I suspect we’ll see OAD picks pretty concentrated this week, with names like Cantlay, Day, & McNealy getting more than their fair share of the support. Those guys are all fine and definitely sensible, but what about the guy that was my play for this tournament last year, Jordan Spieth? I haven’t heard a peep about him.

I admit the form has been…ugly. The results…bad. The statistics…cringe-inducing. However, let’s not forget that we’re talking about Jordan Spieth here. Translation…there’s really no rhyme or reason for how the magic happens, it just happens. Spieth usually saves his most impressive feats for a couple of special venues, the most prominent of which are Augusta National and Pebble Beach. So while I don’t know just how - or if - he’s gonna be able to pull the rabbit out of the hat this week, I’m gonna have a whole lot of fun watching him try.

Yearly Earnings - $951,300
Yearly Cuts Made - 2/3

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Spencer Aguiar - Jason Day

Alternate - Seamus Power

The way things played out this week, Daniel Berger was on my shortlist of options I was heavily considering, but his removal from the field changed the dynamics and structure for how I decided to proceed moving forward.

Sometimes the script writes itself, and everything falls into place perfectly, and I am excited to announce that the time to play Jason Day has finally arrived. The Aussie has finished inside the top-seven of this tournament in every appearance since 2017, and he grades second on my model for the week - behind only Patrick Cantlay.

Remember, even if you are not ready for the DAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY, it can not always be night, and we see that here with the typically overcast coastal weather instead shining light onto Day's grand return to glory this weekend at Pebble Beach. The time for the Day army to march forward is now.

Yearly Earnings - $505,975
Yearly Cuts Made - 3/3

Matt Miller - Mito Pereira

Alternate - Jason Day

I told myself going into the year that I was going to stick with top-50 ranked golfers all season in OAD. That lasted the month of January. This week I'm taking world number 95, Mito Pereira. The young Chilean has played 14 PGA Tour events since July and has finished outside of the top-40 in just three of them. He also added an impressive T-4 finish at the Olympics last August. Last week he made his first appearance of the new year and finished T25 at the Farmers Insurance Open, gaining over three strokes on approach. With small greens this week, players will have to have their approach game working if they wish to compete. I believe this sets up perfectly for Mito. If the putter cooperates, we might be calling him a PGA Tour winner come Sunday afternoon.

Yearly Earnings - $220,000
Yearly Cuts Made - 2/3

Owen Vrabel - Jason Day

Alternate - Kevin Kisner

Jason Day is the premier horse for the course type play at Pebble Beach. Since 2015, Jason has seven consecutive top-11 finishes at the AT&T Pro-AM. Regardless of his current form coming into these California swing events, he delivers time and time again. Last week's 3rd place finish at Torrey Pines was convincing that he is healthy and ready to have a bounce-back campaign this year.

Yearly Earnings - $70,778
Yearly Cuts Made - 2/3

Josh Bennett - Jason Day

Alternate - Maverick McNealy

All aboard the Jason Day train this week. I’m sure my pick is duped by Spencer, so I won’t be gaining any spots on him this week, but I’m OK with that. I’m taking a similar approach this week to last week. It didn’t work out well last week with Tony missing the cut, but I’ve learned to trust the process.

Like I said last week, you can look at course fit or form or whatever stats you want, but it’s evident at this specific tournament that some guys just crush no matter what. Hard to find a guy that crushes this event more than Day. If we would have had this tournament a couple months ago, this pick wouldn’t have been so easy, but it appears Day has returned to some good form and health, and now gets to a place where he’s only finished outside top 11 one time in the last 9 years. Most importantly, I just want to be on the ride for the celebration Spencer is about to have when he takes this thing down.

Yearly Earnings - $201,100
Yearly Cuts Made - 2/3

Andrew Putters - Patrick Cantlay

Alternate - Chris Kirk

I was a little torn this week, but I decided to go with Patrick Cantley in the end. Cantley is undoubtedly the best talent in the field, and his strokes gained stats will tell that same story. Cantlay has a lot of success on shorter than average golf courses, and the three he will get this week fit into that criteria. The American is coming off back-to-back top 10 finishes, and I see that continuing this week, without a doubt.

Yearly Earnings - $964,850
Yearly Cuts Made - 2/3

Running Totals

Follow along here on the OAD Spreadsheet!

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