February 8, 2026

Diaz was a resounding disappointment in 2025, limping to a .256/.284/.417 triple slash along with 20 home runs and 70 RBI in 567 PA. Those are okay numbers for a late-round catcher, but Diaz was going as one of the top backstops off the board heading into 2025. One thing that attracted fantasy managers to him was his strong batting average ability, a rare trait for a catcher. Diaz hit .282 in his rookie campaign in 2023, and .299 in 2024. We thought the high batting average would give Diaz a safe floor, but we learned in 2025 that his floor can be quite low. His biggest problem at the plate is his free-swinging nature. Diaz was tied for the highest swing rate among qualified hitters at 59.5%, and his 44.3% chase rate ranked in the bottom first percentile in MLB. That's a brutal combination, and even though Diaz has a low strikeout rate (17.7% career mark), his aggressive approach can lead to prolonged slumps, like we saw last season. Diaz is currently going as the 111th player and 10th catcher in NFBC leagues, and he's a fine pick as a volume play there with the chance to bounce back. This type of approach can be quite volatile and he's not someone to actively target or reach for, but he's proven he can hit well in the majors before and could be a value at this cost. Even better if he falls a few rounds, which can be common for players who've burned fantasy managers in the past.--Elliott Baas