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Andy's NFL DFS sleepers for DraftKings, FanDuel and Week 11 (2024). His value picks and lineup sleepers for building winning daily fantasy football lineups.
Week 10 of the NFL season is in the books, and now we shift our focus to Week 11 and what value plays we can find on the main slate in DFS competitions.
In this weekly piece, I will examine some undervalued sneaky targets. By selecting these players, you will have more flexibility in other positions to secure a high-end player elsewhere in your lineup. No matter what competition you are playing in DFS, finding a budget player with a safe floor and room for upside is the recipe for success.
I will include the DraftKings (DK) and FanDuel (FD) prices for each player in the main slate competition. However, when discussing which players are valued, I will focus primarily on their DraftKings price compared to other players on that platform. Even though both platforms have a few minor differences in scoring, a value is usually playable on any format given their relation to other highly priced players at their position.
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Quarterback NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 11
Drake Maye, LAR at NE | DK: $5.6K FD: $6.7K
Despite winning last weekend, Drake Maye had a disappointing showing from a fantasy perspective. He threw for 184 yards, his lowest total in a complete game, with only one score and 24 rushing yards.
Excluding Week 8, when he left the game early, in each of his other starts, he scored at least 20+ PPR points and averaged 241.7 passing yards and 50.3 rushing yards per game. During this span, he scored six total touchdowns.
Facing a tough Chicago Bears defense last weekend that allowed the second-fewest points to opposing quarterbacks, Maye could be poised for a bounce-back in Week 11 against the Rams. On Sunday, he will face a Rams defense that has allowed the 11th-most PPR points to opposing QBs.
Russell Wilson, BAL at PIT | DK: $5.9K, FD: $7.8K
The 35-year-old has taken over starting duties in the Steel City and has performed exceptionally well. He has won three straight contests and averaged 245.7 passing yards in each game. Wilson has tallied seven total scores during this stretch and scored at least 20+ PPR points in two of the three contests.
This nailed the arc of the Russell Wilson to Mike Williams touchdown pass lolpic.twitter.com/ZvOF9LZ82I https://t.co/TJhwmLo7aD
— Scott Spratt (@Scott_Spratt) November 10, 2024
This weekend, he will face a weak Baltimore secondary that allowed Joe Burrow to throw for 428 yards and four touchdowns last week, scoring 38.0 PPR points. With newly acquired Mike Williams already adjusting to the Pittsburgh offense, Wilson could be in store for a top-10 finish.
Running Back NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 11
Alexander Mattison, LV at MIA | DK: $5.5K, FD: $5.7K
Despite continuing to lead the Las Vegas backfield, Alexander Mattison had two of his worst showings of the season but should be poised for a rebound showing on Sunday.
During Weeks 8 and 9, Mattison faced the Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals, respectively, both top-10 in points allowed against running backs. However, Mattison averaged 16.4 PPR points per game during Weeks 6 and 7 in more favorable settings before these games.
Coming out of his bye week, Mattison should enjoy a nice showing against the Miami Dolphins, who have allowed the eighth-most PPR points to opposing RBs.
Nick Chubb, CLE at NO | DK: $6K, FD: $6.2K
Nick Chubb has yet to fully break out since making his season debut in Week 7. He has averaged just 37.7 yards in three games on 14.0 carries per game. However, he faced three top-10 rushing defenses during this stretch, which hindered his output.
Coming out of the bye week, Chubb has a fantastic matchup in Week 11 against the New Orleans Saints, who have allowed the fourth-most PPR points to opposing RBs. Last weekend, Bijan Robinson tallied 116 yards and two scores against that defense.
Wide Receiver NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 11
DeAndre Hopkins, KC at BUF | DK: $5.7K, FD: $6.7K
After enjoying an impressive eight-catch, 86-yard, two-touchdown showing in Week 9, Hopkins took a step back in Week 10 as he brought in just four of his five targets for 56 yards against a tough Denver Broncos defense.
Even though he has another tough matchup this weekend against the Buffalo Bills, who have allowed the ninth-fewest PPR points to opposing wideouts, the Chiefs may be forced to push the ball downfield, given how many points the Bills can score.
Hopkins flashed high WR2 potential in Week 9 and could easily return to that form if Kansas City needs to play catch-up against Josh Allen and the Bills. Being priced as a WR3, Hopkins can easily outproduce his salary.
Cedric Tillman, CLE at NO | DK: $5.3K, FD: $6.5K
Since Jameis Winston took over starting duties in Cleveland, Cedric Tillman has notched WR1 production in each game. During this span, Tillman has scored at least 19.0 PPR points in each game and found the end zone three times. Tillman has seen an average of 10 targets per game and tallied 6.5 receptions and 87.0 yards per game during this stretch.
Good morning!
7 catches!
99 yards!
2 touchdowns!We just witnessed the Cedric Tillman breakout party!
HAPPY VICTORY MONDAYpic.twitter.com/SRRYllPlfi
— Nick Karns (@karnsies817) October 28, 2024
Facing New Orleans, which has allowed the ninth-most PPR points to opposing wideouts, opens the door for Tillman to enjoy another WR1 outcome.
Ricky Pearsall, SEA at SF | DK: $4.9K, FD: $5.8K
Last weekend, the first-round rookie saw a season-high in targets, produced a season-best 73-yard performance, and scored his first career touchdown. Operating as the No. 3 wideout on the depth chart, the Florida product was very involved in the offense and has shown weekly improvement.
His six targets tied Deebo Samuel Sr.’s count and were just five less than Jauan Jennings (11). He also logged 38 snaps, which was among the highest marks on the offense, and suggests that the coaching staff views him as a top option.
RICKY PEARSALL’S FIRST NFL TD 🥹
What a moment for the rookie 🙌
(via @NFL)
pic.twitter.com/twFfs3Musa— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 10, 2024
This weekend, he does carry some risk, given the many weapons on the offense, but he could enjoy another impressive showing against the Seattle Seahawks, who have allowed the 10th-most PPR points to opposing wideouts.
Tight End NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 11
Hunter Henry, LAR at NE | DK: $3.9K, FD: $5.3K
Drake Maye had his worst showing of his young career, and his tight end also saw a drop in production. He caught just one pass for 14 yards, but he did see four targets.
During Weeks 6 through 9, the veteran tight end averaged a solid 13.1 PPR points per game, saw an average of 7.0 targets, and tallied 58.5 receiving yards per game.
The Patriots offense should be set up well to bounce back against the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams have allowed the ninth-most PPR points to opposing tight ends.
Pat Freiermuth, BAL at PIT | DK: $4.2K, FD: $5.3K
After failing to hit double-digit PPR points in each of the past three weeks, Freiermuth enjoyed a nice bounce-back showing in the DMV last weekend, as he brought in all three of his targets for 17 yards and a score. This was his third touchdown of the season and first since Week 5.
While his production has not been stable, given how Russell Wilson has provided a much-needed spark to this passing attack, Freiermuth could be in store for a positive showing against the Baltimore Ravens.
The Ravens have struggled to defend the pass and have allowed the eighth-most PPR points to opposing tight ends this season. If the Steelers need to rely on their passing attack to keep up with Baltimore, Freiermuth may be called upon quite often.
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