BALLER MOVE: Target in drafts ~pick 165
CURRENT ADP: ~211
ANALYSIS: Colorado Rockies shortstop Ezequiel Tovar’s bat didn’t flourish as those of Troy Tulowitzki and Trevor Story did, but he doesn’t have to become them to outearn a pick near 200. Only 21 years old, Tovar still popped 15 home runs with 11 steals and a .253 batting average. As is tradition, he hit .276 at Coors and .229 on the road, though his .148 road ISO wasn’t far from the home mark (.162).
Regardless, he projects to meet his HR+SB EDV demand around 30 while handily beating the average and R+RBI scores. If we artificially inflate his HRs a bit to nudge him into the HR+SB cohort then he remains a +20 value. Perhaps we get something closer to his age-20, Double-A .932 OPS in ‘24? Don’t overlook the opportunity of leaning into aging and development curves! Tovar is a solid mid-round value and should be targeted around pick 175 in your upcoming fantasy baseball drafts.
Ezequiel Tovar laces a double on the first pitch he saw on Friday to score a run.
Tovar, who played most of 2023 as a 21-year-old, had 37 doubles last season.
That tied for most by a rookie in the NL and tied Todd Helton for the Rockies rookie record. pic.twitter.com/q9mmhI51II
— Patrick Lyons (@PatrickDLyons) March 9, 2024
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