Expert NFL DFS Picks for the AFC Championship Game (Chiefs vs. Ravens)

January 27, 2024

Expert NFL DFS lineup picks for single game contests on DraftKings, FanDuel. The Chiefs vs. Ravens showdown slate for the AFC Championship Game (Jan 28, 2024). Kipp's NFL daily fantasy sleeper picks.

Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have what could end up being a pretty fun showdown today as we have a battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens in an AFC Championship Game matchup.

We've been pretty successful over the past few seasons with these showdown slates and hopefully, that trend continues from last year into this year. Most of us started our fantasy journeys with football, so it's always nice when it comes around. Thanks to the advanced analytics of today, I'll do my best to provide you with as much in-depth analysis as possible regarding positional matchups and the like to help put some lunch money in your pocket. Let's make some coin this season gang, and let's get right to it.

I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Chiefs vs. Bills showdown slate on January 21, 2024. These NFL DFS lineup picks can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Don't forget to sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with me and other NFL DFS analysts at any time you'd like!

MVP/Captain - NFL DFS Lineup Picks

Lamar Jackson- QB, $18,900 (DK), $17,000 (FD)

Lamar Jackson had a massive game last week as he carried the ball 11 times for 100 rushing yards and two scores. He has also rushed for 70 yards or more in three of his previous five games, so he has clearly ramped up his rushing game here. In the playoffs for his career, Jackson has averaged approximately 96 rushing yards per game, so there is some evidence that he runs quite a bit in these games. The Chiefs also gave up the ninth-most rushing yards to the quarterback position on the season. Just last week, Josh Allen managed to run for 72 rushing yards on 12 carries.

Isiah Pacheco- RB, $14,100 (DK), $14,000 (FD)

siah Pacheco and the Chiefs would be wise to attack this Ravens' defense on the ground as Baltimore allowed an average of 91 rushing yards per game to the running back position, which ranked in the bottom half of the league. They also allowed an average of 4.5 yards per carry to the position on the season.

Meanwhile, Pacheco has had 60+ rushing yards in five of his previous seven games and eight total games this season. He has also averaged nearly 20 carries per game in the playoffs thus far and has averaged over 17 carries per game since Week 11.

Other Captains/MVPs: Travis Kelce

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Flex Plays - NFL DFS Lineup Picks

Patrick Mahomes- QB, $16,500 (DK), $15,000 (FD)

Patrick Mahomes was solid in the Wildcard round against Miami as he threw for 262 passing yards and one touchdown while rushing twice for 41 yards. He was also solid last week against the Bills as he threw for 215 passing yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions while also carrying the ball six times for 19 rushing yards. He will be up against a tough Ravens defense that allowed the sixth-fewest passing yards in the league, however, the Chiefs are underdogs and could be forced to throw the ball a bit more down the stretch, which should help Mahomes fantasy score in this game.

Rashee Rice- RB, $8,600 (DK), $12,500 (FD)

Rashee Rice has averaged nearly 10 targets per game since Week 12. He has also averaged 93 receiving yards per game over this span while going for at least 70 receiving yards in all but two of those games. He will be up against a tough Ravens defense, but they have allowed 11 wide receivers to go for at least 75 receiving yards this season, which is think is a fair number for Rice in this game. They also allowed 12 receiving touchdowns, so it is not out of the question for Rice to find pay dirt in this one as he did seven times in the regular season and once so far in these playoffs.

Other Flex Options: Mark Andrews, Gus Edwards

Value Plays - NFL DFS Lineup Picks

Justice Hill - RB, $4,600 (DK), $9,000 (FD)

This may seem like an odd play, but Justice Hill is the most explosive back in the Ravens backfield currently and is more than capable of having a big game in this matchup. Last week against Houston, Hill was given 13 carries and managed to rack up 66 rushing yards. He has also averaged over 4.6 yards per carry this season.

He will be up against a Chiefs defense that allowed an average of 87 rushing yards per game to the running back position and allowed an average of 4.6 yards per carry.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling - WR, $1,800 (DK), $7,500 (FD)

Key Stats - 2023 Stats: 42 targets, 21 receptions, 315 receiving yards, and one touchdown.

This is a total dart throw once again, but we used him last week and he did not disappoint as he hauled in two receptions for 63 receiving yards. MVS has seen nine targets over the previous three games and could continue to have a bit more of an expanded role with Skyy Moore out of the picture.

Other Value Play Options: Ravens D/ST

Enjoy the rest of your weekend and good luck everyone! 

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