Thunder Dan's NFL Prop Bets for Week 18: Top Player Props Betting Picks

Dan Palyo's top NFL betting picks and best bets for Week 18 of the 2022 season. His favorite NFL betting picks for NFL player props bets.

This week I am rolling my NFL bets and props together into one article as I have fewer picks total for both sides/totals and props. Week 18 can be tricky so let's be cautious, but let's also try to make some money in the process!

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In this article, I'll be providing my favorite NFL betting picks for week 18 of the 2022 NFL season. The odds on these bets vary from book to book and are constantly changing. I primarily use FanDuel and DraftKings sportsbooks, but I would strongly encourage you to shop for the best odds at whatever books you use daily. I would also advise checking back later in the week as I may add bets depending on odds changing or specific props becoming available after I first post.

Thunder Dan's Best Bets: 2022 NFL Season

• Last Week's Props: 4-6
• Season-to-Date Props: 69-66
• Last Week Sides/Totals: 2-3
• Season ATS: 26-30
• Season O/U: 9-19
• Season-to-Date Sides/Totals: 36-50

NFL Betting Picks: Sides/Totals/Parlays/Teasers for Week 17

Detroit Lions +5 (-110)

Yeah, yeah, yeah - all I am hearing about is the Packers and how impressive they looked last week. It’s certainly true they are peaking at the right time, but so are the Lions and Detroit is battling for their playoff lives and their pride all at the same time. There is a possibility that if Seattle wins earlier in the day, Detroit is eliminated, but I do think they’ll battle no matter what and this spread shouldn’t be bigger than a field goal at most.

Moneyline Parlay: (It’s a big one)

KC+MIN+CIN+PHI+BUF+SF+SEA = (+349)

7-Point Underdog Teaser:

Detroit +12, NYJ +10, Carolina +10.5, Tennessee +13.5 = (+200)

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NFL Betting Picks: Player Props for Week 17

Geno Smith OVER 242.5 passing yards (-115 DK)

Geno has gone under this number in three straight but faced two really good defenses in that stretch in the Jets and Niners (no excuses for the Chiefs game). He went nuts against the Rams in their first matchup, passing for a season-high 367 and three scores. I think the Rams can move the ball and score enough to push Seattle here and force them to throw and score a bunch of points

Najee Harris OVER 70.5 rushing yards (-115 DK)

Najee ran roughshod over the Baltimore defense last week for 111 yards and this Pittsburgh offensive line is looking better than they have all season. Expect the Steelers to feed him in this game, especially against a 29th-ranked Cleveland run defense.

Christian Kirk OVER 59.5 receiving yards (-130 DK)

The Jags need to win to get in the playoffs and we should expect them to be pass-heavy today against the Titans and their stout run defense. Kirk needs something around 80 yards to trigger a contract incentive, too, but this pick is mostly focused on the match-up more than anything.

Anytime Touchdown Scorers

Jamaal Williams (-120 DK)

Williams has been the goal-line back all season and Detroit has a good matchup here against the Green Bay run defense. A little revenge for Williams, too, against his old team? He has a chance to finish as the league leader in TDs here, too.

Receptions

DK Metcalf over 5.5 (+100)

Evan Engram over 4.5 (-155)

Zay Jones over 4.5 (-145)

I hope you find my picks helpful and profitable! Thanks for checking out my picks and content here at RotoBaller!

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