RADIO
Welcome to the Week 16 slate of the NFL Season! Each week, I'll be bringing you our famous NFL DFS Cheat Sheet with expert research and picks for cash games and GPPs. Here are a few notes about the sheet.
- I will now be using data exclusively from 2022!
- The "fantasy points allowed rank" reflects how a player's opponent ranked in fantasy points allowed to their specific position. The lower the number, the better the matchup.
- DVOA is a stat created by Football Outsiders that stands for Defense-adjusted Value Over Average and takes into account the quality of the previous offensive opponents. This rating is being shown for both the offensive player's team and their opponent.
- A play labeled "cash" is a higher-owned play that is recommended for cash games. A "strong" play is playable in all formats. "Slate-breakers" are some of my favorite GPP targets for upside or reduced ownership.
- Vegas and risk columns will all be updated during the week to reflect injury info, weather info, and the most recent Vegas info.
Premium NFL DFS Cheat Sheet - Week 17
PRINTABLE VERSION - NFL CHEAT SHEET
Cash Game Cores
DraftKings: McCaffrey-Robinson Jr.-St. Brown
FanDuel: McCaffrey-Allgeier-St. Brown
Deeper GPP Flyers
This is where I want to give you some other players who will be in my player pool, who didn't make the cut for the cheat sheet. The main recommended plays are always going to be geared more toward cash games and single-entry tournaments, but here are some lower-owned options for large-field tournaments.
QB: Patrick Mahomes
RB: Cam Akers, Miles Sanders, A.J. Dillon, D'Andre Swift, Zonovan Knight
WR: Tyreek Hill, Isaiah Hodgins, Jahan Dotson, Drake London, Romeo Doubs
TE: Travis Kelce, George Kittle, Cole Kmet
DEFENSE: Niners (DK Chalk), Patriots, Panthers, Jets
Week 17 DFS Slate Notes
Here are some of the latest developments and how I am approaching each situation.
The Cardinals are now starting David Blough at QB, benching Trace McSorley. He's quite literally a fourth-string QB so I wouldn't touch any Cardinals other than James Conner, who might actually get a boost here as he's getting almost all the RB touches on the ground or in the passing game.
Rhamondre Stevenson is still questionable, but I think he's likely to play. He's drawing a ton of ownership based on the models that I use and I am not sure I really get it because Damien Harris is back and it's not like this New England offense is unstoppable. I'm getting more inclined to fade him or just scale it back to a few shares as I am not sure I see the upside.
Tyler Lockett is pushing to play, but I wouldn't touch him even if he does. And I think DK Metcalf is playable regardless, though it's a tough matchup. Seattle is going to be forced to throw as the Jets are solid against the run (which also makes Kenneth Walker a full fade for me)
Cam Akers is a guy that went nuts last week, but I think we have to chalk some of that up to the Broncos just totally giving up in that game, too. I know the matchup looks good on paper, but the Chargers actually have been much better against the run in the last few weeks and it could be a trap. Tread carefully.
Christian Watson's status is pretty important and he only got one limited practice yesterday. That makes me think he's probably closer to doubtful than probable, but we won't know until tomorrow. Green Bay needs to win badly, but I can't see them pushing him to play if he's not right either. I like Lazard either way, but Doubs is only playable in my opinion if Watson does in fact sit out.
This week is shaping up to be kind of chalky, but there are always ways to get different and you can't be afraid to fade some chalky studs (like McCaffrey or St. Brown) in tournaments. GPPs were won without Derrick Henry last week and there are many paths toward victory.
FAVORITE GAME STACKS:
CHI-DET: This is the obvious game, but it's too good of a game to fade. Goff-St. Brown or Fields-Kmet.
MIN-GB: Rodgers-Lazard or Doubs OR Cousins-Cook-Jefferson
Premium DFS Expert Lineups - Week 17
FanDuel Lineup
DraftKings Lineup
Please note that these are sample lineups we provide as a tool for you to use. They are designed to give you building-block options as you go about choosing your own lineups, but in no way can we guarantee success. Be sure to examine the latest injury updates, Las Vegas projected game totals, and late scratches before finalizing your lineups to ensure the players you are choosing are active on game day.
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