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Welcome to the Week 16 slate of the NFL Season! Each week, I'll be bringing you our famous NFL DFS Cheat Sheet with expert research and picks for cash games and GPPs. Here are a few notes about the sheet.
- I will now be using data exclusively from 2022!
- The "fantasy points allowed rank" reflects how a player's opponent ranked in fantasy points allowed to their specific position. The lower the number, the better the matchup.
- DVOA is a stat created by Football Outsiders that stands for Defense-adjusted Value Over Average and takes into account the quality of the previous offensive opponents. This rating is being shown for both the offensive player's team and their opponent.
- A play labeled "cash" is a higher-owned play that is recommended for cash games. A "strong" play is playable in all formats. "Slate-breakers" are some of my favorite GPP targets for upside or reduced ownership.
- Vegas and risk columns will all be updated during the week to reflect injury info, weather info, and the most recent Vegas info.
Premium NFL DFS Cheat Sheet - Week 16
PRINTABLE VERSION - NFL CHEAT SHEET - Main Slate
Cash Game Cores
DraftKings: Henry/McCaffrey-Metcalf-D.J. Moore
FanDuel: Henry-McCaffrey-D.J. Moore-Dobbins
Deeper GPP Flyers
This is where I want to give you some other players who will be in my player pool, who didn't make the cut for the cheat sheet. The main recommended plays are always going to be geared more toward cash games and single-entry tournaments, but here are some lower-owned options for large-field tournaments.
QB: Sam Darnold, Daniel Jones (gross, I know)
RB: Rhamondre Stevenson, Nick Chubb, Miles Sanders, Isiah Pacheco
WR: Stefon Diggs, Adam Thielen, Richie James, Marquise Goodwin, Curtis Samuel
TE: Dalton Schultz, Daniel Bellinger, Noah Fant
DEFENSE: BAL, CLE, KC, NO, DAL, PHI
Week 16 DFS Slate Notes
I am working McCaffrey into cash builds now that I think we can pay down at QB and receiver. The weather is a major factor here and getting the highest floors at RB makes sense to me.
The weather is a huge deal this weekend, but I don't think we have the luxury on a smaller slate of just crossing off some low total games altogether. I wouldn't stack games with 38-point totals or lower, but we can definitely still target some running backs and receivers who catch shorter passes in bad weather and wind games.
My sample lineups both use Minshew to jam in all my core plays and if you're not comfy with him, you could probably go up to Geno Smith. Just keep in mind that Minshew is playing a dome in warm weather and has an elite offense surrounding him, I think he's going to be okay.
FAVORITE GAME STACKS:
NYG-MIN: Cousins-Cook-Jefferson/Slayton/Hodgins
KC-SEA: Geno/Mahomes-Metcalf/Kelce-McKinnon
PHI-DAL: Minshew-Lamb-Goedert
Premium DFS Expert Lineups - Week 16
FanDuel Lineup
DraftKings Lineup
Please note that these are sample lineups we provide as a tool for you to use. They are designed to give you building-block options as you go about choosing your own lineups, but in no way can we guarantee success. Be sure to examine the latest injury updates, Las Vegas projected game totals, and late scratches before finalizing your lineups to ensure the players you are choosing are active on game day.
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