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Free NFL betting picks, odds, predictions for the Bills vs. Browns in Week 11 (2022). Our best bets and top NFL picks for moneylines, over/unders and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Cleveland Browns vs. Buffalo Bills, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, November 20th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Browns @ Bills
The Browns take on the Bills on Sunday, November 20th at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Cleveland Browns (3-6) vs. Buffalo Bills (6-3)
- Date: Sunday, November 20th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Browns @ Bills
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Cleveland Browns - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 11, the Browns will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 39-17 loss to the Miami Dolphins. With the loss, Cleveland also failed to cover the spread, as they were 3.5 underdogs. The teams combined for a total of 56 points, which surpassed the over-under betting line of 49. The Browns were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Miami by a score of 30-10 heading into the final quarter. Through 9 games, the Browns have an ATS record of 4-5. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-2-1. This week's betting total of 43.5 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Browns' offense is averaging 24.11 points per game, placing them 10th in the NFL. However, they will be matched up against a Bills defense that is 2nd ranked in points allowed. A key matchup to watch through the game is if Cleveland will be able to run the ball with their usual effectiveness. On the season, the Browns are averaging 158.78 yards per game on the ground, placing them 5th in the league. However, defending the run is where the Bills defense excell,s allowing just 109 yards per contest.
Buffalo Bills - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Bills will be look to get back to winning ways, as they fell to the Minnesota Vikings by a score of 33-30 in week 10. By dropping the game, the team also failed to cover the spread, as they were had a -6.5 advantage on the spread. In terms of the over-under, the teams combined for 63 points, which surpassed the betting line of 46. This was a difficult loss for Buffalo, as they held 10 point lead heading into the 4th quarter. Through 9 games, the Bills have an ATS record of 4-5. So far, they have an over-under record of 2-7. This week's betting total of 43.5 is lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Bills prepare to take on Cleveland, they have played well on offense, ranking 2nd in points per game at 27.78. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Browns defense that is ranked 24th in points per game. Throughout the game, Buffalo should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 2nd ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Browns vs. Bills
Over the last 3 matchups between Cleveland and Buffalo, the Bills have won 2 of the last 3 games. The two teams have combined to average 39.0 points per game in their last 3 meetings. Cleveland and Buffalo did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Buffalo Bills have gone 2-0-1 vs the spread in these games. On average, the Browns have averaged 14.0 points per game in the past 3 head-to-head matchups, compared to Buffalo at 25.0.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Browns have gone 1-2 straight up. In these games, they have gone just 2-1 vs the spread, while posting an over-under mark of 1-1-1.
Across the Browns' last 3 road games, the team averaged 19.0 points per game while allowing 28.33. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 0-3 straight-up.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Bills have gone 1-2 straight up. In a similar fashion, the team's record vs the spread in these games was just 0-3. Their over-under record in this span was 1-2.
Buffalo has played well in their previous 3 home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 31.67 points per game while allowing 17.67. The team also performed well vs the spread at 1-2.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Bills -8.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 43.5
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