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Spencer Aguiar's First-Round Leader Picks for the Sanderson Farms Championship

Enjoy this article for free until the start of 2023!

We have a lot of exciting new concepts in store for everyone at RotoBaller over the upcoming months, so please stay tuned for updates as we get closer to the new year. Thanks again for all the support, and we look forward to continuing to provide our readers with top-notch statistical information for you to consider. 

Make sure to follow me on Twitter @Teeoffsports to get my updated picks as the tournament progresses, and if you don't have that as one of your social media platforms, here is a link for my betting card weekly. My free DFS column, which includes my top plays for the week and a list of options I will be fading, can be found here. And if you ever have any questions about a particular bet, player in the field or anything golf-related, be sure to contact me on Twitter.

 

First-Round Leader Options To Consider:

Seamus Power 55/1 (Bet365) 

One of the biggest movers in my model when comparing upside versus safety, Seamus Power is an ideal fit inside the first-round leader market to try and attack some of that potential as a cheap dart throw. Power's current form leaves a ton to be desired, missing two cuts and finishing 65th out of 67 golfers at the BMW Championship, but the high-end metrics set up nicely for the Country Club of Jackson.

My model ranks Power first at easy scoring courses over the past year, first in a recalculated par-four category to mimic this week's venue and first at the five critical holes this week, where 27% of daily chances account for nearly 60% of the meaningful totals towards a score.

Has the form turned around? I am not sure. But there isn't a better market in the space to take a cheap chance on the possibility of everything coming together.

 

Gary Woodland 65/1 (DraftKings) 

I don't necessarily trust Gary Woodland over four days, but when we look at his recent strokes gained data and try to incorporate how it fits into the Sanderson Farms, we see a golfer that has earned shots in all five critical categories over the last three tournaments but has failed to put more than two of those metrics together at once. To me, that means Woodland is still struggling to find everything at the same time, and the most natural way to use that information is to hope he does it in spurts, meaning a one-day sample size of dominance would be an excellent place to start.

Woodland's fourth-place grade in total driving and eight-spot increase in projected proximity when I run the data to highlight the Country Club of Jackson is encouraging, and while I don't know if he is explosive enough as a golfer to keep it going from start to finish, my model does like the Bermuda putting increase that he gets versus his baseline projection.

 

Dean Burmester 65/1 (DraftKings) 

You will notice Dean Burmester is the first negative trajectory upside player we have talked about so far, but my model was able to overlook some of the concerns regarding his explosiveness when we focused on how his first-round leader number still provided value at 65/1.

Even when I ran his watered-down version inside of my model, Burmester graded as a 50/1 golfer in this market, stemming from his ball-striking and par-five scoring outputs that ranked him inside the top 15 of the field. Like Woodland, the Bermuda putting splits did give us a 31-spot improvement in my projected creation of strokes gained data versus his baseline total, and the fact that he graded as a top five golfer when looking at the complete picture and not just a sprint on Thursday means an outright ticket is also a necessity for us to grab.

 

Alex Smalley 75/1 (Bet365) 

At this point, the Webb Simpson and Jason Day conversations that I have might be in place to mask the weekly wagers that I place on Alex Smalley. My model LOVES him on pretty much any course because of his pristine ball-striking acumen, and I have reasons to believe that his Bermuda putting might be able to enhance some of his par-five scoring - a category he sometimes underachieves at because of his short game.

Smalley's total driving and long iron play are too good for the par-five scoring to stay down forever, and whenever he fixes his short game and adds value in those areas, the sky is the limit for what he might be able to accomplish on tour. Smalley ranks 89th in putting on all surfaces but does jump to 44th on this exact Bermuda texture, giving us an opening for him to get hot for a day on Thursday.

 

Rory Sabbatini 110/1 (Bet365) 

One of the things I always note during these pieces is why I run my model towards mimicking a course above all else. We saw it last weekend at the Presidents Cup when a golfer like Kevin Kisner was incorrectly included on the USA team and forced to take on a course that was too long for his skills, and it is why certain players sometimes slip through the cracks at venues when the market doesn't adjust to their potential.

Sure, we have a ton of course history baked into totals that will shift prices, but not every golfer receives the same drift on similar information. Sabbatini is the second-ranked player in my model when looking directly at Ross-designs over the past 50 rounds, and the short game and recalculated scoring totals for all 18 holes will set up nicely for him to find success at a course he has recorded two top-20 finishes at during the last three attempts. While Sabbatini does get the more complex end of the draw by going off in the afternoon, the price is overly inflated at 110/1.

 

Vincent Whaley 125/1 (Bet365) 

I am surprised we haven't gotten better results from Vincent Whaley at the Country Club of Jackson in the past. Three made cuts in the last three years isn't anything to scoff at from an outlook perspective, but the fact that he has failed to record a top 40 finish does come as a surprise when I look into how he fits the track.

Whaley ranks 17th in my model when given easy scoring conditions, eighth on the five most accessible holes on the course and second in his Bermuda putting + par-five scoring combination. Whaley has a real shot at a longer price.

 

Joel Dahmen 130/1 (DraftKings) 

Joel Dahmen hasn't finished better than 69th-place during his last six starts on tour, which, contrary to popular belief, is not nice, but I will not let that stop me from taking a shot on him for a day at 130/1.

Dahmen's long-term stats place him inside the top 10 of the field in short-par/par-five scoring, and while this shouldn't be considered anything more than a shot in the dark, I like his pairing with J.T. Poston and Sepp Straka at 7:22 in the morning. Dahmen should get the greens at their most ideal settings, generating more birdie opportunities if he can stay accurate off the tee.

 

Official Card

Odds Risk Win
Joel Dahmen 130 0.025 3.25
Seamus Power 55 0.06 3.3
Gary Woodland 65 0.05 3.25
Rory Sabbatini 110 0.025 2.75
Vincent Whaley 125 0.03 3.75
Alex Smalley 75 0.04 3
Dean Burmester 65 0.05 3.25

 

2022 Top Head-to-Head Record (11-5-0)

+6.96 Units Year-To-Date From Premium H2H Bets

Tournament
H2H Bet
Risk Units W L T TP Percentage Profit/Loss
21.73 11 5 0 16 68.75% 6.96
BMW Championship Taylor Pendrith -110 over J.T. Poston 1.44 1 1 1.31
Rocket Mortgage Cameron Davis -120 over Kevin Kisner 1.44 1 1 1.2
Open Championship Tommy Fleetwood -118 over Tyrrell Hatton 1.30 1 1 1.1
Travelers Brendan Steele -115 over Denny McCarthy 1.45 1 1 1.26
U.S. Open Aaron Wise -105 over Davis Riley 1.40 1 1 1.33
RBC Canadian Open Aaron Rai -112 over Hank Lebioda 1.40 1 1 1.25
Memorial Sungjae Im -136 over Davis Riley 1.36 1 1 1
PGA Championship Chris Kirk -120 over Kevin Kisner 1.44 1 1 1.36
Byron Nelson Patton Kizzire -110 over Kevin Kisner 1.40 1 1 1.27
RBC Heritage Ian Poulter -110 over Cameron Young 1.30 1 1 -1.3
Valero Keegan Bradley -110 over Jason Day 1.30 1 1 1.18
Valero Sahith Theegala +102 over Ryan Palmer 1.30 1 1 -1.3
API Sergio Garcia -110 over Tommy Fleetwood 1.30 1 1 -1.3
Honda Classic Jhonattan Vegas -115 over Mito Periera 1.30 1 1 -1.3
Genesis Cameron Smith -115 over Viktor Hovland 1.35 1 1 -1.35
Waste Management Keegan Bradley +100 over Pat Perez 1.25 1 1 1.25

Year-To-Date Pre-Tournament Head-To-Head Results (43-25-3)

+14.64 Units Year-To-Date From Pre-Tournament H2H Bets

Tournament
H2H Bet
Risk Units W L T TP Percentage Profit/Loss
80.10 43 25 3 68 63.24% 14.64
Fortinet Championship Rickie Fowler -110 over Joel Dahmen 1.10 1 1 1
Fortinet Championship Tom Hoge -120 over Chez Reavie 1.20 1 1 1
Fortinet Championship Patrick Rodgers -120 over Brendon Todd 1.20 1 1 -1.2
Fortinet Championship Gary Woodland -120 over Matt Kuchar 1.20 1 1 -1.2
Fortinet Championship Brendan Steele -127 over Denny McCarthy 1.27 1 1 -1.27
Tour Championship Billy Horschel -115 over Brian Harman 1.15 1 0
BMW Championship Shane Lowry +100 over Max Homa 1.00 1 1 1
BMW Championship Sungjae Im -120 over Collin Morikawa 1.20 1 1 1
BMW Championship Emiliano Grillo -110 over Denny McCarthy 1.10 1 1 1
BMW Championship Rory McIlroy -120 over Patrick Cantlay 1.20 1 1 -1.2
St. Jude Will Zalatoris -115 over Cameron Young 1.15 1 1 1
St. Jude Shane Lowry -120 over Tyrrell Hatton 1.20 1 1 -1.2
St. Jude Scottie Scheffler -120 over Justin Thomas 1.20 1 1 -1.2
Wyndham Championship
Brian Harman -110 over Denny McCarthy 1.10 1 1 1
Rocket Mortgage Adam Hadwin +100 over Denny McCarthy 1.00 1 1 1
Open Championship Tony Finau -125 over Louis Oosthuizen 1.25 1 1 1
Open Championship Tiger Woods +145 over Bryson DeChambeau 1.00 1 1 -1
Travelers Aaron Wise -105 over Davis Riley 1.05 1 1 -1.05
U.S. Open Aaron Wise -105 over Cameron Young 1.05 1 1 1
U.S. Open Xander Schauffele -110 over Cameron Smith 1.10 1 1 1
U.S. Open Daniel Berger -110 over Billy Horschel 1.10 1 1 -1.1
U.S. Open Luke List -110 over K.H. Lee 1.10 1 1 -1.1
Memorial Rickie Fowler -110 over Stewart Cink 1.10 1 1 1
Charles Schwab Viktor Hovland -120 over Will Zalatoris 1.20 1 1 1
PGA Championship Tommy Fleetwood -120 over Maverick McNealy 1.20 1 1 1
PGA Championship Webb Simpson -110 over Marc Leishman 1.10 1 1 1
PGA Championship Rory McIlroy -135 over Viktor Hovland 1.35 1 1 1
PGA Championship Aaron Wise -110 over Jhonatthan Vegas 1.10 1 1 1
Byron Nelson Charles Howell III -120 over Nick Taylor 1.20 1 1 1
Byron Nelson Si Woo Kim -120 over Christian Bezuidenhout 1.20 1 1 -1.2
Wells Fargo Cameron Davis -120 over Dylan Frittelli 1.20 1 1 -1.2
Mexico Open Charles Howell +100 over Brendon Todd 1.00 1 1 1
Mexico Open Anirban Lahiri -115 over Andrew Putnam 1.15 1 1 1
Mexico Open Alex Smalley -115 over Greyson Sigg 1.15 1 1 1
Mexico Open Patrick Rodgers -110 over David Lipsky 1.10 1 1 -1.1
RBC Heritage Tommy Fleetwood +100 over Jason Kokrak 1.00 1 1 1
RBC Heritage Tom Hoge -120 over Mito Pereira 1.20 1 1 -1.2
RBC Heritage Charles Howell III -110 over Mackenzie Hughes 1.10 1 1 1
RBC Heritage Erik Van Rooyen -110 over Dylan Frittelli 1.10 1 1 1
Masters Rory Group Winner +330 0.35 1 1 1.16
Masters Rory McIlroy -120 over Collin Morikawa 1.20 1 1 1
Masters Cam Young -110 over Luke List 1.10 1 1 -1.1
Masters Tommy Fleetwood -110 over Bubba Watson 1.10 1 1 1
Valero Jordan Spieth -102 over Hideki Matsuyama 1.02 1 1 1
Valspar Joel Dahmen -112 over CT Pan 1.12 1 1 1
Valspar Jason Kokrak -118 over Gary Woodland 1.18 1 1 -1.18
Valspar Alex Noren -120 over Jason Day 1.20 1 1 1
Valspar Mito Periera -120 over Francesco Molianri 1.20 1 1 1
Valspar Pat Perez -120 over Carlos Ortiz 1.20 1 1 1
Players Daniel Berger -120 over Cameron Smith 1.20 1 1 -1.2
Players Brendon Todd -115 over Troy Merritt 1.15 1 1 -1.15
Players Paul Casey -110 over Gary Woodland 1.10 1 1 1
Players Russell Henley -110 over Max Homa 1.10 1 0
API Cam Young -120 over Tom Hoge 1.20 1 1 1
API Sahith Theegala -110 over Andrew Putnam 1.10 1 1 -1.1
Honda Classic Sepp Straka -127 over Dylan Frittelli 1.27 1 1 1
Genesis Jordan Spieth -105 over Brooks Koepka 1.05 1 1 1
Genesis Dustin Johnson -125 over Collin Morikawa 1.25 1 1 -1.25
Genesis Rory McIlroy -115 over Collin Morikawa 1.15 1 1 -1.15
Genesis Sahith Theegala -120 over Francesco Molinari 1.20 1 1 1
Waste Management Luke List -115 over Tony Finau 1.15 1 1 1
Farmers Insurance Talor Gooch -110 over Corey Conners 1.10 1 1 1
American Express K.H. Lee -105 over Michael Thompson 1.05 1 1 1
American Express Gary Woodland -115 over Cameron Champ 1.15 1 0
Sony Billy Horschel +110 over Seamus Power 1.00 1 1 -1
Sony Si Woo Kim +100 over Seamus Power 1.00 1 1 -1
Sentry Patrick Cantlay -108 over Viktor Hovland 1.08 1 1 1
Sentry Jon Rahm -127 over Viktor Hovland 1.27 1 1 1
Sentry Justin Thomas -132 over Viktor Hovland 1.32 1 1 1
Sentry Bryson DeChambeau -112 over Collin Morikawa 1.12 1 1 -1.12
Sentry Jordan Spieth -105 over Hideki Matsuyama 1.05 1 1 -1.05

2022 In-Tournament Head-to-Head Record (65-37-10)

+24.13 Units Year-To-Date From Premium In-Tournament H2H Bets

Tournament
H2H Bet
Risk Units W L T TP Percentage Profit/Loss
126.93 65 37 10 102 63.73% 24.13
Presidents Cup Christiaan Bezuidenhout +100 over Kevin Kisner (R5) 1 1 1 1
Presidents Cup Finau/Kisner -115 over Im/Munoz (R4) 1.15 1 1 -1.15
Presidents Cup Davis/Scott +165 over Spieth/Thomas (R2) 0.8 1 1 -0.8
Presidents Cup Day 1 Winner Team USA -195 (R1) 1.25 1 1 0.64
Fortinet Championship Rickie Fowler -110 over Mackenzie Hughes (R4) 1.1 1 1 1
Fortinet Championship Rickie Fowler -114 over Matthias Schwab (R3) 1.14 1 1 1
Fortinet Championship Adam Svensson -105 over Zac Blair (R3) 1.05 1 1 1
Tour Championship Sungjae Im -115 over Joaquin Niemann (R3) 1.15 1 1 1
Tour Championship Tom Hoge -115 over Sepp Straka (R2) 1.15 1 1 1
Tour Championship Aaron Wise -110 over Sahith Theegala (R1) 1.44 1 1 1.31
BMW Championship Will Zalatoris -110 over Sam Burns (R3) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
BMW Championship Russell Henley -110 over Tyrrell Hatton (R3) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
BMW Championship Sungjae Im -110 over Sam Burns (R2) 1.1 1 0
BMW Championship Taylor Pendrith -118 over Marc Leishman (R2) 1.18 1 1 1
BMW Championship Brendan Steele -110 over Matt Kuchar (R1) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
St. Jude Hayden Buckley -110 over Dylan Frittelli (R3) 1.1 1 1 1
St. Jude Max Homa -120 over J.T. Poston (R2) 1.2 1 1 1
St. Jude Scottier Scheffler -115 over Cameron Smith (R1) 1.15 1 1 -1.15
Wyndham Sungjae Im -125 over Will Zalatoris (R2) 1.25 1 1 -1.25
Wyndham Sungjae Im -115 over Will Zalatoris (R1) 1.15 1 1 1
Rocket Mortgage Sam Ryder -110 over Zach Johnson (R3) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
Rocket Mortgage Cameron Tringale -120 over Kevin Kisner (R2) 1.2 1 1 1
Rocket Mortgage Cameron Tringale -105 over Kevin Kisner (R1) 1.05 1 1 1
3M Open James Hahn -110 over Danny Willett (R4) 1.1 1 1 1
3M Open Doug Ghim -115 over Brice Garnett (R3) 1.15 1 1 1
3M Open Tom Hoge -120 over Dylan Frittelli (R2) 1.2 1 1 1
3M Open Emiliano Grillo -110 over Cameron Champ (R1) 1.1 1 1 1
3M Open Tom Hoge +105 over Dylan Frittelli (R1) 1 1 1 1.05
Scottish Sungjae Im -110 over Ryan Fox (R2) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
Scottish Sungjae Im -110 over Ryan Fox (R1) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
Travelers Aaron Rai -110 over Maverick McNealy (R2) 1.1 1 1 1
Travelers Aaron Rai -129 over Wyndham Clark (R1) 1.29 1 1 -1.29
U.S. Open Scottie Scheffler -115 over Jon Rahm (R4) 1.15 1 1 1
U.S. Open Hideki Matsuyama -115 over Billy Horschel (R2) 1.15 1 1 1
U.S. Open Talor Gooch -120 over Kevin Na (R2) 1.2 1 1 -1.2
U.S. Open Hideki Matsuyama -115 over Billy Horschel (R1) 1.15 1 1 1
RBC Canadian Open Emiliano Grillo +115 over Brendon Todd (R4) 1 1 1 -1
RBC Canadian Open Ryan Armour -120 over Matt Wallace (R3) 1.2 1 1 1
RBC Canadian Open Tyler Duncan +100 over Robert Streb (R3) 1 1 1 1
RBC Canadian Open Stephan Jaeger -115 over Rasmus Hojgaard (R2) 1.15 1 1 -1.15
RBC Canadian Open Brice Garnett +100 over Matt Wallace (R2) 1 1 1 -1
Memorial Charles Howell III -120 over Beau Hossler (R4) 1.2 1 1 1
Memorial Corey Conners -+150 over Jon Rahm (R3) 1 1 1 -1
Memorial Marc Leishman -105 over K.H. Lee (R1) 1.05 1 1 -1.05
Charles Schwab Lucas Glover +100 over Denny McCarthy (R4) 1 1 1 -1
Charles Schwab Lucas Glover -110 over Nick Taylor (R3) 1.1 1 1 1
Charles Schwab Sam Burns -105 over Talor Gooch (R2) 1.05 1 1 1
Charles Schwab Joel Dahmen -125 over Talor Moore (R2) 1.25 1 1 1
Charles Schwab Davis Riley -120 over Denny McCarthy (R2) 1.2 1 1 1
PGA Championship Kramer Hickok +145 over Francesco Molinari (R4) 1 1 1 -1
PGA Championship Louis Oosthuizen +100 over Billy Horschel (R3) 1 1 1 1
Byron Nelson Adam Scott -115 over Dylan Frittelli (R4) 1.15 1 1 1
Byron Nelson Lanto Griffin -110 over Matthias Schwab (R3) 1.1 1 1 1
Byron Nelson Adam Scott -115 over Davis Riley (R3) 1.15 1 1 -1.15
Byron Nelson Alex Noren -110 over Christian Bezuidenhout (R3) 1.1 1 1 -1.1
Byron Nelson Aaron Wise -125 over Ian Poulter (R2) 1.25 1 0
Byron Nelson Sahith Theegala -110 over Taylor Moore (R1) 1.1 1 0
Wells Fargo Kurt Kitayama -120 over Adam Schenk (R4) 1.2 1 1 -1.2
Wells Fargo Austin Smotherman -120 over Kevin Chappell (R3) 1.2 1 1 1
Wells Fargo Max Homa -115 over Jason Day (R2) 1.15 1 1 1
Wells Fargo Brian Harman -105 over Troy Merritt (R2) 1.05 1 1 1
Wells Fargo Lucas Glover -120 over Zach Johnson (R1) 1.2 1 1 -1.20
RBC Heritage Tom Hoge -120 over Mackenzie Hughes (R2) 1.2 1 1 1.00
RBC Heritage Alex Noren -115 over Ian Poulter (R2) 1.15 1 1 -1.15
RBC Heritage J.J. Spaun -110 over Luke List (R1) 1.1 1 1 1.00
Masters Tony Finau -110 over Sergio Garcia (R4) 1.1 1 1 -1.10
Masters Robert McIntyre -125 over Lee Westwood (R3) 1.25 1 1 -1.25
Masters Harry Higgs -105 over Hudson Swafford (R3) 1.05 1 0.00
Masters Tyrrell Hatton +140 over Jon Rahm (R3) 1 1 1 -1.00
Masters Rory McIlroy -120 over Brooks Koepka (R2) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Masters Tyrrell Hatton -120 over Billy Horschel (R2) 1.2 1 1 -1.20
Masters Patrick Reed -120 over Lee Westwood (R2) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Masters Dustin Johnson -120 over Collin Morikawa (R1) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Valspar Adam Svensson -115 over Grayson Sigg (R4) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Valspar Sahith Theegala -115 over Brice Garnett (R3) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Valspar Stewart Cink -110 over Brice Garnett (R2) 1.1 1 1 1.00
Valspar Aaron Wise -105 over Mackenzie Hughes (R2) 1.1 1 1 -1.05
Valspar Aaron Wise -105 over Mackenzie Hughes (R1) 1.1 1 1 1.00
Valspar Brian Harman -110 over Bernd Wiesberger (R1) 1.1 1 1 1.00
API Adam Schenk -125 over Stephan Jaeger (R3) 1.3 1 1 -1.25
API Maverick McNealy -110 over Tommy Fleetwood (R2) 1.1 1 1 -1.10
API Cam Young -120 over Taylor Pendrith (R1) 1.2 1 1 1.00
API Gary Woodland -110 over K.H. Lee (R1) 1.1 1 0.00
API Ian Poulter -120 over Andrew Putnam (R1) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Honda Classic Nick Taylor -120 over Kevin Tway (R2) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Honda Classic Sepp Straka -115 over Vincent Whaley (R1) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Genesis Rickie Fowler -115 over Harry Higgs (R4) 1.2 1 0.00
Genesis Carlos Ortiz -115 over Francesco Molinari (R3) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Genesis Adam Hadwin -120 over Scott Stallings (R2) 1.2 1 1 -1.20
Genesis Paul Casey -110 over Abraham Ancer (R1) 1.1 1 1 1.00
Genesis Russell Henley -110 over Corey Conners (R1) 1.1 1 0.00
Waste Management Luke List -120 over Francesco Molinari (R4) 1.2 1 1 -1.20
Waste Management Max Homa -115 over Kevin Kisner (R3) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Waste Management Brooks Koepka -120 over Gary Woodland (R2) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Waste Management Matthew Fitzpatrick -120 over Aaron Wise (R1) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Pebble Beach Russell Knox -115 over Brendon Todd (R2) 1.2 1 0.00
Pebble Beach Jason Day -110 over Matthew Fitzpatrick (R1) 1.1 1 1 1.00
Farmers Insurance Joaquin Niemann -110 over Billy Horschel (R3) 1.1 1 1 -1.10
Farmers Insurance Matt Jones -110 over Hudson Swafford (R1) 1.1 1 1 -1.10
Sony Keegan Bradley -120 over Hayden Buckley (R4) 1.2 1 0.00
Sony Adam Svensson +165 over Seamus Power (R4) 0.8 1 1 -0.80
Sony Hayden Buckley -118 over Vincent Whaley (R3) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Sony Corey Conners -125 over Seamus Power (R2) 1.3 1 1 1.00
Sony Keegan Bradley -110 over Harry Higgs (R2) 1.1 1 1 1.00
Sony Michael Thompson +112 over Erik Van Rooyen (R1) 1.0 1 1 1.12
Sony Keegan Bradley -115 over Harry Higgs (R1) 1.0 1 0.00
Sentry Abraham Ancer -145 over Branden Grace (R4) 1.5 1 1 -1.45
Sentry Sungjae Im -115 over Hideki Matsuyama (R3) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Sentry Marc Leishman -130 over Lucas Herbert (R2) 1.3 1 1 1.00
Sentry Lucas Herbert -115 over Matt Jones (R1) 1.2 1 1 1.00
Sentry Patrick Cantlay -135 over Harris English (R1) 1.4 1 1 1.00
Sentry Brooks Koepka +125 over Viktor Hovland (R1) 1.0 1 1 1.25

2022 Bets That Have Finished Inside The Top-10

Player Event Odds Finish Position
Sam Burns Charles Schwab 90 1
Joaquin Niemann Genesis Invitational 75 1
Scottie Scheffler Waste Management 30 1
Will Zalatoris St. Jude 28 1
Viktor Hovland Arnold Palmer 18 2
Rory McIlroy Masters 22 2
Tony Finau Mexico Open 25 2
Jordan Spieth Pebble Beach 22 2
Matt Jones Valero 130 2
Tony Finau RBC Canadian Open 30 2
Sungjae Im 3M Open 25 2
Sungjae Im Tour Championship 22 2
Jason Day Farmers Insurance 110 3
Corey Conners Match Play Rollover 3
Cam Davis RBC Heritage 180 3
Xander Schauffele Waste Management 16 3
Joaquin Niemann Memorial 75 3
Scottie Scheffler BMW Championship 18 3
Daniel Berger Honda Classic 16 4
Troy Merritt Valero 100 4
Tom Hoge 3M Open 80 4
Justin Thomas Byron Nelson 14 5
Ryan Palmer Byron Nelson 120 5
Brooks Koepka Match Play Rollover 5
Matthew Fitzpatrick PGA Championship 50 5
Tommy Fleetwood PGA Championship 110 5
Daniel Berger Memorial 60 5
Russell Henley Wyndham 22 5
Corey Conners BMW Championship 50 5
Justin Thomas Genesis Invitational 16 6
Alex Smalley Mexico Open 90 6
Billy Horschel Waste Management 66 6
Dustin Johnson Open 40 6
Aaron Wise Tour Championship 45 6
Kevin Na Charles Schwab 60 7
Chris Kirk Honda Classic 70 7
Callum Tarren 3M Open 130 7
Rory McIlroy PGA Championship 18 8
Patrick Cantlay Open 33 8
Tyrrell Hatton Wyndham 60 8
Jon Rahm BMW Championship 14 8
Tyrrell Hatton Match Play Rollover 9
Brian Harman Wells Fargo 75 9
J.T. Poston Tour Championship 90 9
Erik Van Rooyen RBC Heritage 110 10
Tommy Fleetwood RBC Heritage 55 10
Keith Mitchell Waste Management 110 10
Sungjae Im Memorial 40 10

Yearly Record

2017 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets (10-2-2) +8.03 Units
Outright Winners (5)
Dustin Johnson Genesis Open (10/1)
Sergio Garcia Masters (50/1)
Brooks Koepka U.S. Open (45/1)
Justin Thomas PGA Championship (35/1)
Dustin Johnson Northern Trust (14/1)
Overall Units Won (+54.26) 194.24% ROI

2018 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets
(37-18-2) +26.64 Units
Outright Winners (6)
Phil Mickelson WGC-Mexico (22/1)
Bubba Watson WGC- Match Play (45/1)
Brooks Koepka U.S. Open In-Play Wager (14/1)
Dustin Johnson RBC Canadian Open (7/1)
Justin Thomas WGC-Bridgestone (30/1)
Matt Kuchar Mayakoba Golf Classic (66/1)
Overall Units Won (+55.88) 51.70% ROI

2019 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets
(16-8-2) +8.48 Units
Outright Winners (4)
Corey Conners Valero Texas Open (200/1)
Rory McIlroy RBC Canadian Open  (10/1)
Brooks Koepka WGC- St. Jude Classic (12/1)
Rory McIlroy Tour Championship (8/1)
Overall Units Won (+27.743) 40.70% ROI

2020 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets
(13-14-2) -1.46 Units
Outright Winners (5)
Bryson DeChambeau U.S. Open (33/1)
Dustin Johnson Travelers Championship (30/1)
Sungjae Im Honda Classic (35/1)
Patrick Reed WGC-Mexico (50/1)
Cameron Smith Sony Open (55/1)
Overall Units Won (+37.015) 20.21% ROI

2021 Golf Betting:
Top Head to Head Bets
(17-13-1) +1.97 Units
Outright Winners (10)
Daniel Berger Pebble Beach (18/1)
Max Homa Genesis Invitational (66/1)
Justin Thomas Players Championship (22/1)
Billy Horschel Match Play (150/1)
Cameron Davis Rocket Mortgage (150/1)
Seamus Power Barbasol Championship (20/1)
Kevin Kisner Wyndham Championship (40/1)
Tony Finau Northern Trust (60/1)
Patrick Cantlay BMW Championship (25/1)
Rory McIlroy CJ Cup (20/1)
Overall Units Won (+68.846) 14.22% ROI

 

Career Record (Excluding 2022 Season Results)

Top Head-to-Head Bets (93-55-9) +43.66 Units 
Other Head-to-Head Bets (81-88-9) -4.82 Units
In-Tournament Head-to-Head Bets (125-82-22) +26.27 Units 
Outright Winners (30)
Top 5s (Didn't Track in 2017)
2018 - 16
2019 - 26
2020 - 19
2021 - 32
Top 10s (Didn't Track in 2017)
2018 - 31
2019 - 41
2020 - 41
2021 - 60 

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Mason Miller9 hours ago

Could Spark Bidding War At Trade Deadline
Justin Lawrence9 hours ago

Headed For Paternity List
DJ Chark Jr.10 hours ago

Signs With Chargers
Kadarius Toney10 hours ago

Chiefs Decline Kadarius Toney's Fifth-Year Option
Matt McLain11 hours ago

Due For A Checkup
Braxton Garrett11 hours ago

Sharp In Rehab Start
Khris Middleton11 hours ago

Can't Lift Milwaukee To A Win
Brooks Raley11 hours ago

Mets Fear Brooks Raley Could Miss Rest Of 2024
Damian Lillard11 hours ago

Plays Well In Return
Merrill Kelly11 hours ago

Transferred To 60-Day Injured List
Jarrett Allen11 hours ago

Officially Questionable For Friday
Tim Hardaway11 hours ago

Jr. Still Out For Game 6
Gerrit Cole12 hours ago

Now Targeting Mid-June Return
Terance Mann12 hours ago

On The Injury Report For Game 6
Kawhi Leonard12 hours ago

Remains Out On Friday
Mitchell Robinson12 hours ago

Will Play In Game 6
Joel Embiid12 hours ago

Ready For Action Thursday
Jordan Hicks13 hours ago

Set To Start Friday Against Phillies
Juan Soto14 hours ago

Extends Hit Streak To 10 Games
Max Scherzer14 hours ago

Likely To Make Rehab Start Next Week
Edward Cabrera14 hours ago

Strikes Out Nine In No-Decision
Tyrese Haliburton15 hours ago

Officially Available On Thursday
Patrick Beverley15 hours ago

Ready For Action Thursday
Khris Middleton15 hours ago

Upgraded To Available
Giannis Antetokounmpo15 hours ago

To Remain Out On Thursday
Damian Lillard15 hours ago

Back For Bucks On Thursday
Cristian Javier15 hours ago

To Start Rehab Assignment This Weekend
Steven Stamkos15 hours ago

Begins Contract Talks With Lightning
Gary Harris15 hours ago

A Game-Time Decision For Friday
Brett Pesce15 hours ago

A Potential Option For Round 2
Sam Bennett15 hours ago

Should Be Good For Round 2
Adam Fox16 hours ago

Doesn't Skate Again On Thursday
Luke Schenn16 hours ago

Hopeful For Game 6
Auston Matthews16 hours ago

Out For Game 6
Nathan Eovaldi16 hours ago

Leaves Thursday's Start With Groin Tightness
Vaughn Grissom16 hours ago

Ready To Return Friday
Masataka Yoshida16 hours ago

Could Be Facing Surgery
Justin Fields16 hours ago

Steelers Decline Fifth-Year Option On Justin Fields
Paul Skenes16 hours ago

To Make Another Triple-A Start On Sunday
Najee Harris16 hours ago

Fifth-Year Option On Najee Harris Declined By Steelers
Zac Gallen16 hours ago

In Line To Pitch Tuesday
Christian Scott17 hours ago

To Make MLB Debut On Saturday
Alex Caruso17 hours ago

Wins NBA's Hustle Award
Jarrett Allen17 hours ago

Misses Practice Thursday
Damian Lillard17 hours ago

Upgraded To Questionable For Thursday
JuJu Smith-Schuster18 hours ago

Could Be On His Way Out
Khalil Herbert18 hours ago

A Trade Candidate?
T.J. Hockenson18 hours ago

Ahead Of Schedule In His Rehab
Nick Chubb19 hours ago

"Progressing Nicely"
Walker Buehler20 hours ago

To Make Season Debut On Monday
Francisco Lindor20 hours ago

Out Sick Again Thursday
Alex Verdugo20 hours ago

Back From Paternity List
Ivica Zubac22 hours ago

Enjoys Great Start In Game 5
Russell Westbrook22 hours ago

Continues To Struggle Wednesday
James Harden23 hours ago

Anonymous In Blowout Loss
Paul George23 hours ago

Cools Off In Game 5
Caio Borralho24 hours ago

Gets Ranked Opponent At UFC 301
Vitor Petrino24 hours ago

Puts Undefeated Record On The Line At UFC 301
Anthony Smith24 hours ago

A Massive Underdog At UFC 301
Jonathan Martinez24 hours ago

Faces A Legend At UFC 301
Jose Aldo24 hours ago

Returns At UFC 301
New York Giants1 day ago

Giants Could Sign A Veteran Running Back
Dallas Cowboys1 day ago

Trevon Diggs Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Daniel Jones1 day ago

Has Been Cutting, Plans To Be Ready For Camp
Malik Nabers1 day ago

To Be No. 1 Receiver Immediately
Trey Lance1 day ago

Cowboys To Decline Trey Lance's Fifth-Year Option
Tyler Boyd2 days ago

To Meet With Chargers, Titans
Jonathon Brooks2 days ago

On Track For Training Camp
Zach Wilson2 days ago

Broncos Not Picking Up Zach Wilson's Fifth-Year Option
Anthony Richardson2 days ago

Looks To Be Fully Healthy
Deebo Samuel2 days ago

Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel Likely To Stay With Niners In 2024
Taylor Pendrith2 days ago

A Volatile Option For CJ Cup
Seamus Power2 days ago

Rounding Into Form Ahead of CJ Cup
Davis Thompson2 days ago

A Player To Watch At CJ Cup
Aaron Rai2 days ago

Lacks Upside At TPC Craig Ranch
Min Woo Lee2 days ago

A Dangerous Pick For CJ Cup
Tom Hoge2 days ago

Seeking Second Tour Victory At CJ Cup
Filip Forsberg2 days ago

Collects Two Apples In Game 5 Win
Juuse Saros2 days ago

Comes Through For Predators In Game 5
Nathan MacKinnon2 days ago

Posts Two More Points In Series-Clinching Win
Mikko Rantanen2 days ago

Helps Finish Off Jets With Three Points
Joseph Woll2 days ago

Excellent In Series-Saving Win
Matthew Knies2 days ago

Bangs In Overtime Winner In Game 5
Evgeny Kuznetsov2 days ago

Posts Goal And Assist In Game 5
Seth Jarvis2 days ago

Puts Up Three Points In Series-Winning Game
Mark Hubbard2 days ago

Will Return To Mediocrity At TPC Craig Ranch
Doug Ghim2 days ago

Putting History In Texas Makes Him A Hard Sell
Nate Lashley2 days ago

Looking To Rebound At Byron Nelson
Kevin Yu2 days ago

A Flier Pick With Likeable Upside At Byron Nelson
Andrew Novak2 days ago

Playing Well Heading To TPC Craig Ranch
Patrick Rodgers2 days ago

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Luke List2 days ago

In Solid Form Heading To TPC Craig Ranch
Tom Kim2 days ago

A Safe Option With A Questionable Ceiling At Byron Nelson
Taylor Montgomery2 days ago

Searching For Form At TPC Craig Ranch
Jason Day3 days ago

To Defend Title At TPC Craig Ranch
Adam Scott3 days ago

Returns To Action At TPC Craig Ranch
Bo Nix3 days ago

Broncos Won't Rush Bo Nix
Boston Scott3 days ago

Reaches Agreement With Rams
PGA3 days ago

Sungjae Im As Good Of A Pick As Any At TPC Craig Ranch
PGA3 days ago

Alex Noren Looks To Take Another Step At TPC Craig Ranch
Mackenzie Hughes3 days ago

Brings Hot Putter To TPC Craig Ranch
Cole Perfetti3 days ago

To Make NHL Postseason Debut Tuesday
Si Woo Kim3 days ago

Trendy Si Woo Kim Heads To Byron Nelson
Connor Hellebuyck3 days ago

Looking To Get Right Tuesday
Jeremy Swayman3 days ago

Back In Action On Tuesday
Matt Martin3 days ago

Out Again Tuesday
Vladislav Namestnikov3 days ago

Brenden Dillon, Vladislav Namestnikov Out Tuesday
Matt Grzelcyk3 days ago

Likely Back In Tuesday
T.J. Oshie3 days ago

Facing Uncertain Future
J.K. Dobbins3 days ago

Says He's 100 Percent Healthy
Chase Elliott4 days ago

Notches Another Top-Five Finish At Dover
Alex Bowman4 days ago

Frustrated After Finishing Eighth At Dover
Matheus Nicolau4 days ago

Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 91
William Byron4 days ago

Botched Pit Stop and Crash Eliminate William Byron From Contention at Dover
NASCAR4 days ago

Martin Truex, Jr. Faded to Third at Dover, but Remains Fastest Driver of 2024
Kyle Larson4 days ago

Late-Race Charge at Dover Comes up Short
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

Takes Checkered Flag at Dover for Third Win of Season
Alex Perez4 days ago

Scores Second-Round Knockout Win At UFC Vegas 91
MMA4 days ago

Ariane Lipski Loses A Decision At UFC Vegas 91
Karine Silva4 days ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Jonathan Pearce4 days ago

Suffers Decision Loss
David Onama4 days ago

Wins Second Fight In A Row
Brad Keselowski4 days ago

A Tire Issue On Lap 118 Impacts Brad Keselowski's Day At Dover
Ryan Blaney4 days ago

Finishes Seventh At Dover
Noah Gragson4 days ago

Nabs A Quality Top 10 Finish At Dover
Kyle Busch4 days ago

Scores His Second Top-10 Finish Of The Year At Dover
Daniel Hemric4 days ago

Ends Up Ninth At Dover
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Sneaks Into Tenth At Dover On Sunday
Martin Truex Jr5 days ago

. Is One Of The Top DFS Plays At Dover
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

Will Start Fourth At Dover
Michael McDowell5 days ago

Fade Michael McDowell For the Wurth 400 At Dover
Joey Logano5 days ago

Will Not Cause Much DFS Excitement At Dover
Noah Gragson5 days ago

Is Noah Gragson A Sneaky Tournament Play At Dover?
Uros Medic5 days ago

Returns To Win Column At UFC Vegas 91
Tim Means5 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 91
Austen Lane5 days ago

Winless In The UFC
Jhonata Diniz5 days ago

Wins UFC Debut
Ryan Spann5 days ago

Suffers Third Straight Loss
Bogdan Guskov5 days ago

Gets Upset Win At UFC Vegas 91
Kyle Larson5 days ago

the Favorite to Win at Dover Despite Qualifying 21st
Chase Elliott5 days ago

a Core DFS Play at Dover
Alex Bowman5 days ago

Always Strong at Dover
Chris Buescher5 days ago

Has DFS Place Differential Upside at Dover
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