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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Friday, April 7th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Heat @ Wizards
The Heat take on the Wizards on Friday, April 7th at Capital One Arena, Washington. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Miami Heat (43-37) vs. Washington Wizards (34-46)
- Date: Friday, April 7th
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Heat @ Wizards
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Heat & Wizards Key Injuries
Heat
- Kyle Lowry (Out) Knee
- Nikola Jovic (Out) Back
Wizards
- Bradley Beal (Out) Knee
- Kristaps Porzingis (Out) Conditioning
- Kyle Kuzma (Out) Ankle
- Monte Morris (Out) Ankle
- Deni Avdija (Out) Elbow
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the 76ers by a score of 129-101, the Heat are riding a three-game win streak. Tyler Herro led the way in scoring with 24 points. Miami was a 2.5-point underdog heading into the game, giving them an ATS win.
With the win, the team has moved to 43-37, placing them 7th in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have gone 26-14 at home and 17-23 on the road. Miami's record against the spread is below .500 at 30-48.
“I don’t need to shoot the ball 20 times to be effective. If I wanted to shoot the ball 20 times, I could and then my numbers would go up. But I don’t play for numbers.”
(Via Yahoo Sports) pic.twitter.com/SxII4m1jCn
— Heat Nation (@HeatNationCom) April 6, 2023
The Heat come into today's game ranked just 30th in scoring at 109.3 points per contest. Across their last five games, the unit is averaging 112 points per game. A key to the Heat's offensive struggles is their inability to consistently knock down three-pointers. So far, Miami is 10th in three-point attempts and 27th in percentage at 34.3%. The team's scoring numbers are also hampered by a below-average pace of play. For the season, the Heat are just 96.0 in possessions per game.
This season, the Heat have allowed an average of 105.6 points per game, good for 2nd in the league. In terms of three-point shooting, opponents have knocked down 34.0% of their looks from beyond the arc (21st) and 44.8% of their overall field goal attempts. Miami's overall defensive numbers have been good despite the unit's struggles on the glass, sitting just 14th in defensive rebounds per game. The Heat are also a below-average group in forced turnovers, at just 12.7 per game.
Washington Wizards - NBA Betting Analysis
The Wizards enter today's game having lost four straight, including a 134-116 loss to the Hawks. Daniel Gafford led the team in scoring with 25 points on 80.0% shooting. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Washington as the 13.0-point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Wizards' overall record sits at 34-46, placing them 12th in the Eastern Conference. The team's current record at home is 18-21 and 16-25 on the road. Washington's record against the spread is below .500 at 36-42.
With a scoring average of 113.2 points per game, the Wizards rank 20th among the league's offenses. In their last five games have picked up their production, with an average of 118 points scored per contest. The Wizards have struggled with three-point shooting, making only 35.8% of their attempts, placing them just 17th in the league. Their overall field goal percentage enters as 48.6% (26th). Additionally, the team's pace of play is slower than the league average, at 98.2 possessions per game, placing them 19th. In terms of getting to the line, the Wizards are 19th in attempts and 2nd in free-throw shooting percentage.
The Wizards enter today's game ranked 2nd in the league with an average of 105.6 points allowed per game. Opponents have a 34.0% success rate from three-point range and have an overall field goal percentage of 44.8%. However, Washington has shown some weaknesses on the boards, ranking 14th in defensive rebounds per game. They are also a below-average unit at forcing turnovers, at just 13.3 per game.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Heat vs. Wizards
Today's matchup will be the 3rd game of the season between the Heat and Wizards. So far, the Heat have the leg up in the series 2-1. In the last head-to-head matchup, the Wizards were favored by 7.5 points. With their 107-106 win, they also covered the spread. The oddsmakers had the over/under line set at 216.5 points, which the teams did not surpass.
In the Heat's previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 against the spread. In their last three road contests, they are 1-2 ATS and 2-1 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 6-4 with an average of 221 points per contest.
Across Washington's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 0-5 straight-up. As the underdog, the Wizards are 0-3 straight up on an average scoring differential of -13 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 2-1. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 231 points per game and an over/under mark of 8-2.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: WAS +6
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under OFF
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