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TicketGuardian 500: Daily Fantasy NASCAR DraftKings DFS Lineup Picks

Chris Durell brings you DraftKings fantasy NASCAR advice, DFS lineups picks and sleepers analysis for Chris Durell brings you DraftKings fantasy NASCAR advice, DFS lineups picks and sleepers analysis for the TicketGuardian 500 at ISM Raceway

Welcome back to another week of daily fantasy NASCAR. This week the Monster Energy Cup Series travels to Avondale, Arizona and ISM Raceway for the TicketGuardian 500 this Sunday. The track is a one-mile short track that is very flat with 10° to 11° of banking in turns one and two and 8° to 9° of banking in turns three and four. This presents a challenge for the teams to get the cars set up to work well at both ends of the track and makes for some excellent racing.

From a fantasy strategy standpoint, dominator points will once again be key to building our core. There has been at least one driver lead 130 or more laps and at least two drivers to lead 50 or more laps in five of the last six races here at ISM Raceway(formerly Phoenix Raceway). Place differential, as always, will be a factor as well as at least four drivers have finished with double-digit place differential in five of the last six race. Let's now jump into the picks for this week.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR: DraftKings DFS Lineup Picks - TicketGuardian 500

Kevin Harvick($11,400)

Harvick has won back to back races and now comes back to a track where he has finished sixth or better in nine straight and 11 of his last 12 races including six wins. Making the pick even better is the fact he qualified 10th giving him some place differential upside and he also has a shot to lead a ton of laps. He posted the top speed in both practices on Saturday and was also had the fastest 10-lap average in final practice. All things considered, he is the top play and safe in all formats.

Brad Keselowski($9,900)

This isn't Keselowski's best track as he has yet to pick up a win here but considering he is starting back in the 25th position on Sunday, he makes an elite place differential value. He has been consistent with eight Top 10 finishes in his last 12 races here at ISM Raceway and has finished outside of 16th just once in that time so with a price under $10K this week, he is a near lock in all formats. He will likely be very chalky(high owned) so in GPP formats if you are looking to be contrarian, he is definitely worth a fade in a few lineups.

Aric Almirola($8,100)

It has been a hot start to the season for Almirola who moved into the #10 car for Stewart-Haas Racing. He finished 11th at Daytona after almost winning on the final turn, 13th at Atlanta, and 10th at Las Vegas last week. Phoenix has not been his best track in his career but he is coming off a ninth-place finish last fall and provides us place differential value this week starting 22nd. More good news as he was 12th in second practice and fourth in final practice and also posted the third-fastest 10-lap average in final practice.

Michael McDowell($5,200)

If you are planning on running some stars an scrubs this week, either in cash or GPP, consider Michael McDowell. He will be starting back in 31st place this week and got better through the weekend ranking 29th in second practice then 21st in final practice along with a 21st rank in the 10-lap averages in final practice. He hasn' t been great here in his career but finished 24th and 22nd in the two races at Phoenix last year.

NASCAR DFS Cheat Sheet

Don't have the time to search multiple sites looking for NASCAR stats and data?

Check out my DFS NASCAR cheatsheet which includes Track History(2-Year Trend & Career), Track Type History(2-Year Trend), Current Form, Practice/Qualifying Data, and a weighted system to get an overall rank for each driver each race. Check out it now while it's still in BETA mode and FREE to everyone. Also, be sure to check out the Race by Race Trends Sheet.

 

DFS & Fantasy NASCAR Chat Room

If you have any questions leading up to the race hit me up in the chat below!

[iflychat_embed id="c-59" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller!
Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

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Ruled Out Thursday
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Ruled Out Thursday vs. Cavaliers
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Dealing With Multiple Injuries
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Missing From Practice Again on Thursday
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Active Wednesday, Not In Starting Lineup
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Downgraded to Unavailable on Wednesday
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Unavailable Wednesday
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Misses Practice With Back Injury Wednesday
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Sidelined Again on Wednesday
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Downgraded Versus Chicago
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Not Practicing, IR Move Undecided
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Out Wednesday, Expected to Play in Week 11
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to Make Second Career Start Wednesday
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to Miss "a Few Weeks"
Tyson Foerster

on Track to Return Wednesday
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Ruled Out for Thursday Night
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a Game-Time Call Wednesday
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Out on Wednesday
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Ruled Out For Thursday
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Working Toward Starting Sunday
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Not at Practice, Set for Another Missed Game?
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Nursing Hand Injury, Set to Play on Sunday
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"Should be Good to Go" on Sunday
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Held Out on Wednesday, Should Fantasy Managers be Worried?
Lamar Jackson

has Knee Soreness, "Should be Good" for Week 11
Garrett Wilson

Officially Ruled Out for Thursday Night
Brian Thomas Jr.

Practicing, on Track to Return in Week 11?
Joe Burrow

Looking Sharp at Practice
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Won't Practice on Wednesday
Calvin Ridley

Back at Wednesday's Practice
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Still No Update on Jermod McCoy's Return Timeline
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Struggling Through a Rough Season
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Hopes to Get Back on Track at Port Royal
Ben Martin

a Risky Play at Bermuda Championship
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Searching for a Spark in Bermuda
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Tigers Unlikely to Trade Tarik Skubal
Framber Valdez

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Marlins Ready to Trade Sandy Alcantara
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RANKINGS

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RB
WR
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K
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C
1B
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3B
SS
OF
SP
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