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STP 500: Daily Fantasy NASCAR DraftKings DFS Lineup Picks

Chris Durell brings you DraftKings fantasy NASCAR advice, DFS lineups picks and sleepers analysis for Chris Durell brings you DraftKings fantasy NASCAR advice, DFS lineups picks and sleepers analysis for the STP 500 at Martinsville Speedway

Welcome back races fans. This week the Monster Energy Cup Series travels to Martinsville Speedway for the STP 500 and the first short track race of the year. Martinsville is a .526 mile track and is unique when comparing to other short tracks as it is shaped like a paperclip with little to no banking(12 degrees of banking). You will hear a lot from driver interviews talking about rhythm as there are 800-foot straightaways followed by heavy breaking, tight corners. You will also see a ton of bumping and banging and if there is a car that makes it through an entire race without dings and dents, they just weren't trying hard enough.

From a fantasy perspective, we are back to a dominator point strategy as there are 500 laps this week. Looking back at some race trends, there has been at least two drivers to lead 100 or more laps in five of the last six races and three times there has been a driver to lead 200 or more laps. There will still be some opportunity for place differential as there have been at least six drivers to gain double-digit place differential in each of the last six races. The only issue this week is the weather as Saturday's qualifying session looks like it will be rained/snowed out. If this is the case, the field will be set by owners points. This will limit the amount of place differential value as most of the top cars will be starting near the front. Stay tuned for updates throughout the day.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR: DraftKings DFS Lineup Picks - STP 500

Martin Truex Jr.($10,700)

Coming off a dominating performance last week in Fontana where he picked up win #1 on the season, Truex appears to be the early favorite here at Martinsville. He was fastest in both practices including 10-lap averages and if qualifying is rained out, he will start at the front of the field. This has not been his best track throughout his career but he is coming off a career-best second place finish in the fall and has finished seventh or better in four of his last six races. He is one of my top dominator picks and safe in all formats.

Kyle Busch($11,000)

Busch has seen the biggest salary jump this week(+$700) and for good reason, as he has been absolutely dominant here at Martinsville lately. He has finished Top 5 in five straight races including two wins and with a whopping total of 813 laps led, leads all drivers with an average of 135.2 DraftKings points per race. He is also one of the best short track racers in the field and led all drivers in 2017 with an average of 116.8 DraftKings points per race across all six races with wins at Martinsville and Bristol.

A.J. Allmendinger($6,400)

Martinsville can be closely correlated to road course racing with the amount of shifting and braking involved and A.J. Allmendinger is one of the best out there. He finished 40th last fall here after Danica Patrick got into him but before that, he had finished Top 10 in three straight Martinsville races including a runner-up in the Spring race in 2016. He was 13th fastest in opening practice and improved on that ranking sixth in final practice. With a price in the mid $6K range, he is safe in all formats this week.

Landon Cassill($4,500)

It will be hard to ignore Cassill this week at minimum price. He takes over the #00 car for Starcom Racing after they parted ways with Jeffrey Earnhardt earlier in the week. Cassill will be making his first start of the season and comes back to a track where he has been pretty good considering the equipment he has raced. He has finished inside the Top 30 in nine straight and 11 of his last 12 races here at Martinsville and will likely be starting near the back giving him some nice place differential upside. At these prices, I would consider him in all formats.

NASCAR DFS Cheat Sheet

Don't have the time to search multiple sites looking for NASCAR stats and data?

Check out my DFS NASCAR cheatsheet which includes Track History(2-Year Trend & Career), Track Type History(2-Year Trend), Current Form, Practice/Qualifying Data, and a weighted system to get an overall rank for each driver each race. Check out it now while it's still in BETA mode and FREE to everyone. Also, be sure to check out the Race by Race Trends Sheet.

 

DFS & Fantasy NASCAR Chat Room

If you have any questions leading up to the race hit me up in the chat below!

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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller!
Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Seth Curry

to Remain Sidelined on Christmas Day
Jae'Sean Tate

Questionable Thursday
Dwight Powell

Likely to Return on Christmas
Jaylin Williams

Misses Fifth Straight Game
Ousmane Dieng

Unavailable on Christmas Day
Guerschon Yabusele

Questionable for Christmas Action
Miles McBride

Remains Out on Christmas
Cameron Johnson

to Miss Time With Bone Bruise in Right Knee
Jaxson Hayes

Considered Questionable for Christmas Matchup
Rui Hachimura

Likely to Return Thursday
Dorian Finney-Smith

Could Make Season Debut on Christmas Day
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Uncertain for Christmas Day
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Listed as Questionable for Christmas Game
Al Horford

on Track to Return Thursday
Jaden McDaniels

Iffy for Christmas Day
Brandon Williams

Expected to Play on Christmas Day
P.J. Washington

at Risk of Missing Second Straight Game
Klay Thompson

Likely to Play on Christmas Day
Max Christie

Probable for Christmas Day
Ajay Mitchell

Out on Christmas Day
Chet Holmgren

Available on Christmas Day
David Montgomery

Questionable to Play With Illness
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Questionable, Expected to Play on Thursday
Rashee Rice

Chiefs Place Rashee Rice on Injured Reserve
T.J. Hockenson

Ruled Out for Week 17
Pete Fairbanks

Marlins Agree on One-Year Deal
Josh Johnson

to Start at QB on Thursday Against Dallas
Brooks Koepka

Leaving LIV Golf
Davante Adams

Could Sit Out Final Two Regular-Season Games
Brock Bowers

Placed on Injured Reserve Due to Lingering Knee Injury
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Expected to Play on Christmas Day Against the Vikings
Connor McDavid

Finishes Battle of Alberta With Five Assists
Karel Vejmelka

Battling Upper-Body Injury
Alexandre Texier

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Against Bruins
Alexander Nikishin

Dealing With Apparent Ankle Injury
Denver Barkey

Exits Early Tuesday
Travis Sanheim

Pulled by Concussion Spotter Tuesday
Ryan O'Hearn

Pirates Agree on Two-Year Deal
DK Metcalf

has Two-Game Suspension Upheld
Philip Rivers

to Remain the Starter in Week 17
George Kittle

Dealing With Mid-to-Low Ankle Sprain
Viktor Arvidsson

a Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Ryan Leonard

Available Tuesday
Tom Wilson

in Danger of Missing First Game of the Season
Phillip Danault

Makes Second Canadiens Debut Tuesday
Collin Graf

Available Against Golden Knights
Jack Eichel

Misses Fourth Straight Game
Vince Dunn

Won't Play Tuesday
Deshaun Watson

Will Not be Activated Off PUP List, 2025 Season is Over
J.J. McCarthy

Ruled Out for Week 17
Rome Odunze

Expected to Return This Season
Christian McCaffrey

Another Monster Game for Christian McCaffrey in Week 16
Brock Purdy

Throws for Five Touchdowns in Week 16
TreVeyon Henderson

in Concussion Protocol, Week 17 Status Unclear
George Kittle

Week 17 Availability in Question?
CFB

Jeff Brohm, Eli Drinkwitz "Names of Interest" for Michigan Head Coach
Timothy Liljegren

to Miss Second Straight Game Tuesday
Will Smith

Out Week-to-Week
Jaccob Slavin

Placed on Injured Reserve, Out Week-to-Week
Seth Jarvis

Considered Week-to-Week
Darren Raddysh

Totals Three Points in Monday's Win
Mason Marchment

Scores Twice Monday
Vince Dunn

Injured in Monday's Win
Rashee Rice

Still in Concussion Protocol, Estimated as Non-Participant on Monday
J.J. McCarthy

Listed as DNP on Monday Ahead of Week 17
Ilya Sorokin

to Miss Tuesday's Game
DK Metcalf

Suspended for Two Games Following Confrontation with Fan
CFB

Byrum Brown Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Bobby Petrino Joining Bill Belichick as North Carolina's Offensive Coordinator
Willson Contreras

Shipped to the Red Sox
Brandon Lowe

Pirates Acquire Brandon Lowe in Three-Team Trade
Shane Baz

Orioles Acquire Shane Baz From the Rays
CFB

Darian Mensah Returning to Duke Next Season
CFB

Josh Hoover Linked to Indiana in Transfer Portal
CFB

Arch Manning Agrees to Reduced Compensation for 2026 Season

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