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Hello everybody and welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 3 Thursday Night Football - Giants vs. 49ers! The 2023 NFL season is well underway and that means our friends over at Sleeper have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for TNF
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Jake Moody OVER 2.5 XPM
The San Francisco 49ers have scored six touchdowns through the first two weeks of the 2023 regular season. And with no surprise, Jake Moody nailed all six of those extra points. The 49ers will be going up against a poor New York Giants defense, who have allowed their opponents to score a total of 68 points in two weeks.
The books have Moody extra point line at 2.5 with -145 odds to go over. Hotstreak has this line at a 1.56X payout while here on Sleeper we are getting it at 1.64X. I expect Brock Purdy to lead the offense to at least three touchdowns in a prime-time TNF game.
George Kittle OVER 39.5 Receiving Yards
George Kittle is currently being listed at an 8% discount with his line being at 39.5 rather than 42.5. Kittle has seen six targets in week one and just three targets in week two. With Brand Aiyuk's status questionable (chest), we should see more Kittle in the offense. Just 40 yards is beyond reasonable for the San Francisco veteran TE.
The books have Kittle to go over 44.5 receiving yards at pretty even odds of -115, giving us a five-yard margin here. Other sites have Kittle listed at 43.5 yards so this is definitely the best value around for this prop.
Parris Campbell UNDER .5 Receiving Touchdowns
This is a pretty safe bet that is at -715 odds to go under. You can add this to slightly increase the multiplier payout.
Campbell has only racked up 23 yards on five targets so far this season. Against a strong 49ers defense, I find it quite unlikely that he record his first touchdown of the year.
Other Recommendations:
- Daniel Jones UNDER 0.5 Anytime TD
- Darren Waller OVER 42.5 Receiving Yards
- Elijah Mitchell OVER 28.5 Rushing Yards
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