Sleeper.com NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Week 13 Thursday Night Football

November 29, 2023

Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13 Thursday Night Football (November 30, 2023). Use Dan's NFL over/under props recommendations to win money on Sleeper.

Welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13 Thursday Night Football: Seahawks vs. Cowboys. Each week we’ll highlight three top props for Thursday’s game and track how our picks do over time. 

Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting – there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are a few of our favorite prop picks for TNF on Sleeper DFS.

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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Thursday Night Football

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Dak Prescott UNDER 13.5 Rushing Yards

Prescott’s rushing prop this week is right in line with his weekly average of 13.7 rushing yards per game this season. In games where Dallas has won by over three points, however, Prescott’s rushing average drops to 10.1 yards per game. The Cowboys are 8.5-point favorites this week against the Seahawks per DraftKings Sportsbook. 

Prescott has failed to hit 13 rushing yards in two straight games, both blowout wins. The Seahawks have also given up a total of 2 rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks over the last two weeks. 

A kneel-down or two is also likely for Prescott with Dallas being heavy favorites on Thursday, giving multiple ways for this prop to hit. 

Zach Charbonnet OVER 40.5 Rushing Yards

Charbonnet had a serviceable first start last week in RB Kenneth Walker’s absence, garnering 18 touches for 58 total yards against a stingy San Francisco defense. Walker missed Tuesday’s practice and is unlikely to play on a short week, meaning a second straight start for the rookie. 

The Cowboys have given up 40 or more rushing yards to a running back in five straight games, including to RBs Chuba Hubbard and Royce Freeman. Charbonnet has tallied at least 85% of snaps and 14 rushes in two straight games and is likely to see more of the same as the Seahawks starter again on Thursday. The rookie is seeing enough volume to make this prop worth betting on this week. Grab it before it ticks upwards. 

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Geno Smith OVER 0.5 Interceptions

Smith has eight interceptions entering Week 13, tied for 12th-most among quarterbacks this year. The Cowboys have picked off 12 balls so far this season, the fourth-best mark in the league. 

Smith has played three games against defenses that rank in the top 6 in DVOA, with four of his eight interceptions coming in these games. The Cowboys have the third-ranked defense according to DVOA.

Dallas also has the hottest corner in the league right now in DaRon Bland. Last week Bland broke the record for pick-sixes in a season with five, with six games still to play. With the Seahawks likely playing from behind, there will be plenty of opportunities for the Cowboys secondary to continue their turnover streak.

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