RADIO
Jordan Spieth got disqualified for not signing the correct score in Round 2. Spieth remains one of the most polarizing players in the game, hitting death-defying shots from the edge of Pebble Beach cliffs, chipping balls in from just about anywhere, missing four footers once too often, and failing to add up a Par 3 score correctly.
In other news, Patrick Cantlay has a five shot lead over Jason Day, Luke List, and Mackenzie Hughes. He has gained seven strokes putting so far, which will make for some interesting watching as the event unfolds over the weekend.
The general logic to showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. This makes sense as you want to roster players who are playing good golf right now. These players will be higher-owned and chalkier than golfers in the same price range who had an off day, particularly with their irons. These are the golfers I am gravitating toward, as they could very easily bounce the following day at half the ownership.
Featured Promo: New Novig users get a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig deposit, and 6 free months of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL) which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS and more! CLAIM IT NOW
Round 2 Analysis
Winning Lineup
Weather, Course Conditions & Tee Times
Round 3 Strategy
The AM/PM split for Round 2 was a mere 0.18 difference in strokes. The weather advantage of Round 1 was blown away along with the PM wave on Thursday. We will have to be ownership conscious to get an edge this Round 3 slate.
Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?
Like what you read today? You can show your support for Byron by using the discount code MANIAC when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer absolutely crushed it in 2022!
End of the Season Totals: @rotoballer @BettorGolfPod
2017 +54.26 Units
2018 +55.88 Units
2019 +27.743 Units
2020 + 37.015 Units
2021 + 68.846 Units
2022 +67.485 UnitsTotal Winnings: +311.229 Units
Total Outright Wins Since 2017: 36
H2H Totals Inside Thread… https://t.co/pNQrSK1rFE
— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) December 12, 2022
Showdown Model
Below are the power rankings of the golfers who we have our eye on for Round 3. The full-field model is available to premium subscribers HERE. It includes ownership projections, pre-event rankings, round-specific scoring averages, birdie percentages, weighted approach ratings, projected points, and GPP/Cash Ratings for tomorrow's showdown slate.
***Full disclosure: The ownership numbers are based on the $1 20 ENTRY MAX, which is important to note as ownership in showdown can vary from contest to contest depending on field size and entry fee. However, it should provide you with a guide to who will be the most owned and how those around them shake out.
$10,000+
Favorite play: Rory McIlroy is easily the best Round 3 scorer in the field, gaining +2.4 strokes, with the next best being +1.85. We will be going back to the Rory well again. He was a top-five scorer today, only a birdie separating him and the best scorer of the day.
$9,000+
Favorite play: Viktor Hovland grades out as the best projected points scorer for Round 3. He has yet to really get out of second gear this week, giving him some unpopular ownership. He has the opportunity to roar up the leaderboard with ideal iron play out the rough and a putter that is eagerly awaiting ample birdie attempts.
Other options: Collin Morikawa
$8,000+
Favorite play: Sam Burns seems to get better and better as the week unfolds. He is an elite putter when he is playing his best and we should get the explosive Ryder Cupper at single digit ownership.
Other options: Adam Scott, Tommy Fleetwood
$7,000+
Favorite play: Sungjae Im has been struggling lately. However, his Saturday rounds have been incredibly impressive over the last while, ranking second with only Rory ahead of him on strokes gained in Round 3. He is cheap and will be largely unowned, making him one of my more heavily rostered golfers going into the moving day slate.
Other options: Russell Henley, Adam Svensson
$6,000+
Favorite play: Christiaan Bezuidenhout has been making a lot more birdies than we are used to seeing from my fellow South African. He is VERY affordably priced for somebody who started his round with a streak in R2. He currently sits T11 and is not a very popular showdown option usually. Despite his stellar play so far, he won't be owned to reflect that. Let's get hot boytjie!!!
Other options: Nick Taylor, Emiliano Grillo, Lee Hodges
Showdown Optimizer
The optimizer works nicely with the projected ownership from the model. If you are unsure how to work it, at the top of the "PGA Lineup Optimizer" page, there is a video on how to get my projected ownership and/or projected points into your optimizer.
Good luck and may the odds be ever in your favor.
Win More With RotoBaller
Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.
Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:
If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU
— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020
Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.Congrats @tenndolly2 ???
— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020
Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt
