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RIVAL Fantasy MLB DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Friday, July 7th, 2023

Bailey Ober - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, Draft Sleepers

Kyle Ringstad's MLB DFS prop picks for RIVAL fantasy contests for Friday, July 7th, 2023. Sign up for RIVAL fantasy and use his MLB DFS prop picks to win money.

Welcome to our new series covering RIVAL Fantasy picks for MLB! We will focus on two fantasy contest types offered on RIVAL - Challenges and FantasyBook (Over/Under).

Challenges are H2H matchups between two MLB players. You choose which one you think will score the most fantasy points, then place a bet to back it. If another user decides on the other player at any time before the contest, the bet is on! If your player scores more fantasy points, you win 1.8x your bet.

FantasyBook is more traditional over/under DFS prop picks - whether you think pitchers and hitters will score Over or Under the set lines, and choosing your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (ex: 3 picks = 5x your bet).

RIVAL Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win MLB DFS games. There are no large-field tournaments filled with sharks where you have to get lucky to place. At RIVAL Fantasy, you're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Check here for the updated rules and scoring.

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RIVAL Challenge Picks

Adolis Garcia OVER Randy Arozarena

You'll find that I don't like picking against Morton with the UNDER pick on Arozarena below, so it makes sense that I like hitters in good spots who are matched up against him. Garcia has been a catalyst of the surprisingly explosive Rangers' offense all season, and he's in great form as he has exceeded 12 FPTS in six of his last 11 games. He posted 19 FPTS or more in four games during that stretch, and today's matchup against the vulnerable Trevor Williams is the icing on the cake.

Tyler Glasnow OVER Carlos Rodon

Take the money on this one and run. Rodon will be making his season debut tonight after missing the first four months of the season with back and forearm issues. He threw 58 pitches in his latest rehab start, so it is unlikely that the Yankees will allow him to exceed 70 pitches tonight. Glasnow is averaging 19.37 FPTS per game this season and is coming off games of 23.35 and 30.25 FPTS.

RIVAL Over/Under Picks

Aaron Civale (UNDER), Bailey Ober (OVER), Corbin Burnes (UNDER)

Civale is facing the Royals, who are usually a team we'd want to target opposing pitchers against. However, Civale hasn't been good either, from a daily fantasy perspective. The Cleveland hurler holds a solid 2.96 ERA over eight starts this season, but he averages 14.64 FPTS per game and hasn't exceeded 18.2 FPTS in seven consecutive starts. His low 18.4% strikeout rate is the main reason he doesn't rack up fantasy points - he generated just two punchouts in his most recent outing (vs. CHC).

Ober has exceeded the 18.47 FPTS he needs tonight in three of his last four starts, highlighted by a monster 33.95 FPTS outing against Baltimore in his latest turn on the mound. The 27-year-old holds a solid 24.9% strikeout rate, limits hard hits (32.7% hard-hit rate), and rarely issues walks (5.1% walk rate). He'll be facing the O's again tonight, and while they're coming off a 14-run annihilation over the Yankees, I suspect they're due for a letdown tonight against Ober and the Twins in Target Field. The books have Minnesota with -161 odds to win, and they've placed a low 4.2-run implied total on the Orioles.

Burnes has had a topsy-turvy season, and that has been on full display over his last five starts, where he scored 27.35, 4.75, -2.75, 18.7, and 38.8 FPTS. He posted an ugly 4.99 ERA over five starts in June, and tonight he holds the highest FPTS line and will be facing one of the hottest offenses in the MLB in the Reds. Cincinnati ranks third in OPS (.810), third in woBA (.352), fourth in ISO *(.192),  and 24th in K% (20.5%) against right-handed pitching since the calendar turned to June.

Alex Verdugo (UNDER), Randy Arozarena (UNDER), Austin Hays (UNDER)

There's no reason Verdugo should be listed as one of the highest-priced hitters on the board today. He has scored under seven FPTS in seven of his last eight games, and while the matchup against Medina is prime, the A's pitcher has allowed one earned run or less in two of his last three starts. I can't get behind the over on the outfielder tonight.

Arozarena and the Rays have a tough matchup against Charlie Morton and a tough Braves bullpen tonight, and I love smashing the under on the key Tampa Bay bats. Arozarena is just 4-for-20 with one homer and one RBI in July, and Morton holds a solid 3.57 ERA and is looking to build off a four-hit, zero-earned run outing against the Marlins in his last time on the mound.

Hays has finished under what he needs tonight in nine of his last ten games. If we're playing the "probability" game, we're backing the under on him tonight. This is a correlated play with the "over" pick on Ober above, as Hays will need to do his damage against a pitcher with a 2.70 ERA and a slightly-better-than average bullpen (4.14 xFIP).

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Homers Twice, Drives in Three
Brice Matthews

Joining Astros
MLB

White Sox-Guardians Postponed on Thursday
Brandon Aiyuk

Likely to Begin Season on PUP List, but Not Ruled Out for Week 1
Jameson Williams

Not in the Team's Long-Term Plans?
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Micah Parsons

Plans to be Present for Start of Training Camp
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Ikem Ekwonu

Next Up for Extension in Carolina?
Jalen Thompson

Heading into Last Year With Cardinals?
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Najee Harris

Suffers Eye Injury in Fireworks Mishap
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Alex Bregman

Will Return to Red Sox This Weekend
Chris Sale

Braves Won't Consider Trading Chris Sale
Clarke Schmidt

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery on Friday
Nick Nash

Unlikely to Make Falcons Active Roster
Lane Johnson

in No Rush To Retire
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Blake Corum

has "Gotten His Speed Back"
Jarquez Hunter

Picking Up Rams Offense Quickly
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Kirk Cousins

Feels Misled by Falcons
Bijan Robinson

Says Falcons Have "Outlandish Goals" for the Running Game
Luther Burden III

Bears Expect Luther Burden III to be Ready for Training Camp
Cole Kmet

an Unlikely Trade Piece
Tony Pollard

Titans Hope to Balance Rushing Attack With Tony Pollard, Tyjae Spears
Byron Buxton

Sitting Thursday
Quentin Johnston

Not Assured of Starting Role
Cordarrelle Patterson

on the Roster Bubble in Pittsburgh?
Shedeur Sanders

Not Assured of Roster Spot in Cleveland?
Wan'Dale Robinson

Hoping For More Downfield Opportunities
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Homers Twice on Wednesday
Mike Trout

Homers Twice in Win Over Rangers
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Leads Yankees to Victory
Salvador Perez

Crushes Two Homers in Win
Cleveland Browns

Greg Newsome on the Trade Block?
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Zach Tom

An Extension Candidate in Green Bay
Devin Booker

Agrees to Extension with Phoenix
Trevor Williams

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery
Byron Buxton

Exits After Hit-by-Pitch, X-Rays Negative
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Playing on Wednesday
Alex Bregman

has "Really Good Chance" to Return Before All-Star Break
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Expected to Return on Friday
Walter Clayton Jr.

Leads Jazz to Summer League Win
Carter Bryant

Struggles in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Drops a Double-Double in Summer League Action on Tuesday
Oklahoma City Thunder

Malevy Leons Logs Impressive Summer League Outing on Tuesday
Dalton Knecht

Collects 25 Points in Lakers Summer League Win
Los Angeles Lakers

Darius Bazley Drops 27 Points in Summer League on Tuesday
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Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

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Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
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Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Chet Holmgren

Agrees to Rookie Max Extension
Alex Bregman

Not Returning Wednesday
Jhoan Duran

Unavailable Due to Illness
Shane McClanahan

Tosses Clean Frame in First Rehab Appearance
Jacob Wilson

Day-to-Day After HBP
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. to be Reassessed Wednesday
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Malaki Branham

Traded to Washington
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Blake Wesley

Moves to Washington
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Kelly Olynyk

on the Move Again
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Anthony Davis

Recovering From Eye Surgery
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
Sonny Milano

on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Jakub Dobes

Signs Two-Year Deal with Canadiens
NHL

Hendrix Lapierre Signs One-Year Deal with Capitals
Carson Hocevar

Should DFS Players Consider Carson Hocevar for Chicago Lineups?
Tye Kartye

Kraken Re-Sign Tye Kartye for Two Years
Ross Chastain

May be A Decent DFS Option for Chicago Lineups
Dmitri Voronkov

Signs Two-Year, $8.35 Million Extension with Blue Jackets
Ryan Preece

Should DFS Players Roster Ryan Preece at Chicago?
Austin Dillon

Is Too Great of A Risk to Add to Chicago Lineups
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Is A Value Play Worth Rostering At Chicago
Austin Hill

is A Favorable Value Option for Chicago DFS Lineups
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William Byron

Qualifying Crash Makes William Byron a Likely DFS Must-Have
Alex Bowman

Should Finish Well, but Probably Costs Too Much for Serious DFS Consideration
Joey Logano

Has Been Relatively Mediocre on Road Courses Lately
Ryan Blaney

Doesn't Really Fit Neatly into Optimal DFS Lineups
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SP
RP

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K
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