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Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 12 - Sunday Night Slate! The 2023 NFL season is well underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.
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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests
PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play.
On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point.
Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.
If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 13 Sunday Night
Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Isiah Pacheco MORE than .5 pass + rush + rec touchdowns
I initially took a look at Pacheco's rushing yards prop as the Packers have struggled against the run by allowing running backs to average 105 rushing yards per game, however, 68 rushing yards might be a bit too high for him.
That being said, Green Bay has also allowed nine touchdowns to the running back position, which means Pacheco should have some success on the ground in this game with a chance to find pay dirt. He has averaged 17 carries per game over the previous three weeks along with two receptions per game. He has also scored in five games this season.
Patrick Mahomes MORE than 21.5 rushing yards
Patrick Mahomes has eclipsed this total in a solid eight of 11 games played this season. In fact, he has averaged nearly 28 rushing yards per game and this includes a donut he put up against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 5. He is going against a tough Packers' passing defense that has allowed an average of just 227 passing yards per game to the quarterback position, so it is likely he will have to use his legs to make some plays on Sunday night.
This is good news as Green Bay has allowed the sixth-most total rushing yards to the quarterback position while also allowing an average of 24 rushing yards per game to the position. A total of three quarterbacks have eclipsed this number, including Justin Herbert, who rushed for a whopping 73 yards against them just two weeks ago. Obviously, the Herbert numbers skew this stat a bit, however, Green Bay also has not faced many quarterbacks as mobile as Mahomes.
Christian Watson LESS than 45.5 receiving yards
This is currently listed as the top prop for Sunday night's game on the PrizePicks Optimizer with a 54.34% chance of success. The reason this prop is listed atop the optimizer is due to the fact that most books have under 43.5 receiving yards set to -118, so we are getting a two-yard discount here. The Chiefs have also been solid against the wide receiver position as they have allowed the eighth-fewest total receiving yards to wide receivers. They have also allowed an average of just 136 receiving yards per game to wide receivers.
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