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Welcome to our PrizePicks NBA DFS prop picks for June 7, 2023. The NBA Finals have arrived, and goodness, is it interesting with a 1-1 series tie. Despite a 40-point performance from the Western Conference Finals MVP Nikola Jokic, the Miami Heat staved off a near fourth-quarter comeback from the Denver Nuggets in Game 2. As the Nuggets head to hot-and-humid Florida for Game 3 of the Finals, RotoBaller selected three over/under props from the PrizePicks app.
These props hold significant weight in a series where the momentum swings back and forth like a pendulum. All it takes is a few good open looks that haven't fallen from certain role players and bam, you're in the money. With that said, these picks aren't stone-cold locks. Nonetheless, consider the props worth the bet - a reminder to those following along from home, only one player with a parlay, per PrizePicks rules.
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PrizePicks NBA Over/Under Props for June 7
Kentavius Caldwell-Pope OVER 1.5 3-PT Made
While Kentavious Caldwell-Pope did closeout on perimeter shooters in Game 2, he did a terrible job in light of the two fouls on three-point attempts. Conversely, the 2020 NBA champion hasn't produced his typical stat line from deep with only two conversions. However, with Jokic coming off a rare low-assists game, expect the role players to have extra juice in their attempts. Look for Caldwell-Pope to convert over the 1.5 line on shots from deep, as he's averaged 2.2 three-point conversions in his last five contests.
Duncan Robinson UNDER 0.5 Turnovers
Duncan Robinson's 10-point performance from Game 2 raised eyebrows and also sparked a comeback victory for the Heat. Following Denver head coach Michael Malone's comment on his team's lack of discipline in Game 2, don't expect the same success from the recently-rejuvenated guard.
Although Robinson committed a turnover in his last outing, it came from a seldom-committed offensive foul. It's likely the Heat guard will lack the touches to choke up the ball in Game 3. Either Robinson shoots the ball contested or the rock goes elsewhere as he won't have the same open looks from the last contest, giving us good reason to go under on 0.5 turnovers.
Jamal Murray OVER 24.5 Points
Pressure makes diamonds or burst pipes, but it also brings the best out of Jamal Murray. Averaging 29.6 points in the Nuggets' last five road games, Murray genuinely means business away from home. On the heels of his eight-point fourth-quarter performance in Game 2, Murray's hunger for more will rise in Miami, with or without Jimmy Butler as the primary defender. Aside from the dangerous two-man game with Jokic, Denver needs Murray's aggressive nature to win the championship.
With the series momentum in the balance, tied 1-1, the same pressure most people shy from, Murray basks in the heat of the stressful situation. Considering the recent stats, and Murray's history, mash the over on 24.5 points for Murray, and enjoy the show.
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