X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Pitcher Buy-Lows - Second Half Fantasy Baseball Outlooks for Zack Wheeler, Nick Lodolo, Yu Darvish, more

Zack Wheeler - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB News, DFS Picks, Betting

The annual All-Star break offers fantasy baseball managers a great chance to assess and revamp their rosters for the stretch run. With both the fantasy and real-life trade deadlines looming, this stage of the season signifies one of the last key opportunities to make a potentially league-winning swap.

These buy-low picks consider a combination of statistic discrepancies on Statcast as well as prospective upcoming deadline moves. Many of these players probably required significant capital in most spring drafts, which can also indicate an underachiever.

I experienced some success in calling out buy-low candidates with this method earlier this year, viewing Aroldis Chapman as such back in early-June with the notion he could be traded. He threw for an adequate 3.10 ERA across his initial 20 1/3 innings pitched in Kanas City. Since the calendar turned to June, Chapman has pitched lights out with a 0.75 ERA over his last 12 IP, since being moved to Texas which should only enhance his rest-of-season outlook. Let's see if we can find more situations like this using a similar approach.

 

Top Fantasy Baseball Buy-Low Candidates

Chris Sale - SP, Boston Red Sox

Many of you may not want to touch this one with a ten-foot pole, but hear me out. Since Sale bagged a lucrative five-year deal in 2020, he’s pitched a mere 22 games.

The oft-injured seven-time All-Star suffered yet another setback just when it seemed he was finally rounding back into form a bit, this time with left shoulder inflammation on June 2. Even though Sale is still a number of weeks away from a potential return, his season 4.58 ERA may tell a misleading story.

Sale’s latest injury may have led to some impatient fantasy managers dropping him in shallow formats. The 34-year-old should be scooped up wherever this is the case for rosters ahead in their league's standings aiming to load up for a playoff push.

Sale is admittedly perpetually injury-prone, but Boston remains in position to push for a Wild Card berth, minimizing the likelihood of a potential late-season Sale shutdown. The strikeout machine remains MLB's all-time K/9 leader with a career 11.1 figure.

 

Zack Wheeler - SP, Philadelphia Phillies

Wheeler's recent stumble (11 ER in 16 1/3 IP pre-All-Star break) has opened up a buy-low window for the ace-caliber hurler. The 33-year-old still leads the NL in pitches per game (100.4), indicating he’s an arm to depend on for start-to-start length and a regular dose of punchouts.

Wheeler's expected numbers don't turn out glaring discrepancies, but his other percentile rankings paint nothing but good-to-great results across the board.

The former All-Star is no stranger to first-half struggles, experiencing such back in both 2018 and 2019. Wheeler logged a 4.44 ERA pre-break (18 GS) in ‘18 followed by a dominant 1.68 ERA post-break (11 GS). The right-hander posted a 4.69 ERA pre-break (19 GS) in ‘19 before finishing strong once again with a 2.83 ERA post-break (12 GS).

Wheeler’s imminent schedule is navigable post-break in '23, tentatively positioned for matchups vs. SD, @CLE, @PIT, @MIA, vs. WAS, and vs. MIN based on a five-man rotation.

 

Nick Lodolo - SP, Cincinnati Reds

Former top Reds prospect Lodolo represented a popular '23 fantasy breakout candidate with exciting bat-missing stuff coupled with a promising 2022 second half. The 25-year-old turned heads post-break in ‘22, toting a 2.92 ERA with 93 punchouts covering 77 frames.

Lodolo tantalized once more with a 2.12 ERA through his first three ‘23 starts, only to thrash to a hideous 10.38 ERA over the subsequent four starts. But the southpaw is probably the biggest Statcast darling on this list, clearly underachieving by their metrics.

Lodolo signifies a premium fantasy stash while sidelined on a hungry Cincy team craving starting-pitching help. Here’s to hoping the young lefty comes back strong from a stress reaction in his tibia which has shelved him since mid-May.

If Lodolo can improve at keeping the ball in the yard (a big if at the Great American Ball Park), he covers most of the bases that can help dictate fantasy prosperity with excellent strikeout and walk rates. Lodolo's arsenal reminds almost of another Chris Sale type of thrower.

 

A.J. Puk - RP, Miami Marlins

Puk was originally acquired by Miami for former top prospect JJ Bleday straight up this past offseason. That’s just reiterated to demonstrate what kind of esteem the Marlins hold Puk in. The former first-rounder has already collected 15 saves as the club's closer, so the buy-low case here isn’t as obvious.

However, Puk’s struggles after coming off the injured list on June 6 after experiencing irritation in his throwing elbow may very well decrease his trade price just enough to make him a valuable fantasy deadline buy-low.

Much like with Wheeler, Puk's Statcast page boasts awesome stuff, checking virtually every box. I don’t expect the Fish to prioritize significant bullpen fortification at the deadline with more pressing roster needs offensively, perhaps in the form of a thumper to capitalize on Luis Arraez's .400 BA pursuit.

Despite three blown saves and eight ER allowed over his last 7 1/3 IP, Puk should be viewed as a top-12 fantasy reliever, at worst, for the rest of the season and an aggressive fantasy trade target.

 

Yu Darvish - SP, San Diego Padres

Darvish has endured a very bumpy ride in '23, most recently missing multiple starts with a flu-like bout he couldn’t overcome for a few weeks. The 36-year-old is on pace for his worst full season as a pro yet, limping to a 4.87 ERA across 85 IP this year.

However, Darvish features the resumé and track record to suggest he'll right the proverbial ship during the second half. The five-time All-Star's Statcast profile produces a fairly encouraging tune.

Darvish held an acceptable 3.67 ERA over his initial nine 2023 starts (54 IP) but has since tumbled with a 6.97 ERA since a seven-run implosion against the New York Yankees on May 28. The righty has notched only one quality start during this difficult stretch.

Things won’t get much easier for Darvish out of the break, tentatively lining up @PHI, @TOR, vs. PIT, vs. TEX, vs. LAD, and @ARI based on a five-man rotation. Perhaps this buy-low opportunity extends past the commencement of play resumption.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Nolan Arenado11 mins ago

Not In Tuesday's Lineup
Tony Finau17 mins ago

Brings Great Form To Travelers
Orelvis Martinez19 mins ago

Called Up To The Big Leagues
Patrick Cantlay22 mins ago

Looks For Ninth Career Win In Connecticut
Bo Bichette24 mins ago

Placed On 10-Day Injured List Tuesday
Al Horford32 mins ago

Returning For His 18th NBA Season
José Ramírez2 hours ago

Jose Ramirez Activated From Paternity List
Corbin Carroll2 hours ago

Expected To Play On Tuesday
Kyle Manzardo2 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Justin Verlander2 hours ago

Could Miss Thursday's Start
Kirk Cousins2 hours ago

Confident He'll Be Full-Go For Training Camp
Tom Kim4 hours ago

Striking The Ball Well Ahead Of Travelers
Ludvig Aberg4 hours ago

Seeks Second Tour Victory At Travelers
Tommy Fleetwood4 hours ago

Lacks Upside At TPC River Highlands
Russell Henley4 hours ago

An Intriguing Option At Travelers
Ty France4 hours ago

Back From The Injured List
Shane Lowry4 hours ago

Be Wary Of Shane Lowry At Travelers Championship
Si Woo Kim4 hours ago

Still Trying To Putt Consistently
Denny McCarthy4 hours ago

To Unleash His Putter This Week
Cameron Young4 hours ago

Trying To Regain Form Amid Tough June
PGA5 hours ago

Byeong Hun An Wants To Put U.S Open Behind Him
Kyrie Irving7 hours ago

Limited To 15 Points In Game 5 Loss
Luka Doncic7 hours ago

Ends Finals With Historic Numbers
Al Horford7 hours ago

Finally Celebrates Championship Win In 186th Playoff Game
Kristaps Porzingis7 hours ago

Set For Surgery After Helping Celtics Clinch Title
Jayson Tatum7 hours ago

Finishes Finals With Big Effort
Jaylen Brown8 hours ago

Named Finals MVP
Ben Rice8 hours ago

Yankees To Promote Ben Rice
Tyler O'Neill16 hours ago

Homers Twice Monday
Kyle Schwarber16 hours ago

Hits A Pair Of Two-Run Homers Monday
Josh Berry17 hours ago

Grabs Another Top-10 Finish At Iowa
Ricky Stenhouse Jr17 hours ago

. Delivers Massive Day For DFS Managers
Ryan Blaney17 hours ago

Secures Spot In Playoffs With Iowa Win
Hurston Waldrep18 hours ago

Shut Down For A Week
William Contreras18 hours ago

Avoids Concussion
NASCAR18 hours ago

Daniel Suárez Inches Up To Ninth Place Sunday
Gavin Williams18 hours ago

To Make Another Rehab Start Friday
Brad Keselowski18 hours ago

Holds On To Top-10 Finish At Iowa
Wilyer Abreu18 hours ago

To Begin Rehab Assignment Tuesday
19 hours ago

Athletics Designate J.D. Davis For Assignment
LaMonte Wade Jr.19 hours ago

Unlikely To Return Thursday
Mike Tauchman19 hours ago

Has Groin Tightness
David Hamilton19 hours ago

Exits With Side Discomfort
Amari Cooper19 hours ago

Andrew Berry: Amari Cooper "A Big Part Of Our Team"
Deshaun Watson20 hours ago

"Really Actually Ahead Of Schedule"
Blake Snell20 hours ago

To Throw Sim Game On Tuesday
Ladd McConkey20 hours ago

Signs Rookie Deal
Joe Musgrove20 hours ago

To Throw This Week
Rory McIlroy21 hours ago

Withdraws From Travelers Championship
Tyler Reddick21 hours ago

Unlucky at Iowa, but Still a Relative Non-Factor Before That
Kyle Larson21 hours ago

Made Electrifying Charge Through Field at Iowa Until Late Race Crash
Denny Hamlin21 hours ago

Inexplicably Slow in Inaugural Iowa Race
Christopher Bell21 hours ago

the Sole Bright Spot for Toyota at Iowa
Klay Thompson22 hours ago

Open To All "External Options"
Martin Truex Jr1 day ago

. Finishes One Lap Down In 15th At Iowa
Chase Elliott1 day ago

Obtains A Great Finish Of Third At Iowa
Joey Logano1 day ago

Finishes Sixth In The Iowa Corn 350
Alex Bowman1 day ago

Rallies Through The Field To Finish Eighth At Iowa
William Byron1 day ago

Exceeds Value In DFS At Iowa
Brandon Aiyuk1 day ago

49ers Don't Want Brandon Aiyuk Back?
Tatsuro Taira1 day ago

Remains Undefeated
Alex Perez1 day ago

Unable To Continue After Suffering A Knee Injury
Garrett Armfield1 day ago

Submitted At UFC Vegas 93
Brady Hiestand1 day ago

Gets Third-Round Submission Win
Jose Johnson1 day ago

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 93
MMA1 day ago

Asu Almbayev Extends Win Streak
NBA1 day ago

Monty Williams Set To Remain With Pistons
Collin Sexton1 day ago

Could Be On The Move Again
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope1 day ago

Nuggets "Concerned" Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Will Decline His Player Option
Harrison Barnes1 day ago

Kevin Huerter And Harrison Barnes Expected To Be Available On Trade Market
NBA1 day ago

Mario Hezonja Linked With Return To NBA
Andre Drummond1 day ago

Reportedly Looking For New Team
Jonas Valanciunas2 days ago

Pelicans Likely To "Move On" From Jonas Valanciunas
Jarrett Allen2 days ago

Pelicans Reportedly Interested In Jarrett Allen
Pittsburgh Steelers2 days ago

Cameron Heyward Wants To Retire A Pittsburgh Steeler
Luka Doncic2 days ago

Expected To Play On Monday Night
Kristaps Porzingis2 days ago

Questionable For Game 5
Josh Quinlan2 days ago

Losing Streak Hits Three At UFC Vegas 93
Adam Fugitt2 days ago

Edges Out Split Decision At UFC Vegas 93
Timmy Cuamba2 days ago

Still Winless In The UFC
Lucas Almeida2 days ago

Pulls Off Upset At UFC Vegas 93
Douglas Silva de Andrade2 days ago

Falls Short At UFC Vegas 93
Miles Johns2 days ago

Picks Up Decision Win At UFC Vegas 93
Daniel Suarez2 days ago

Why You Should Fade Daniel Suarez In DFS This Weekend At Iowa
Corey Lajoie2 days ago

Should You Roster Corey Lajoie In DFS This Weekend?
Carson Hocevar2 days ago

Will Start 20th At Iowa Speedway
NASCAR2 days ago

Bubba Wallace Will Start 16th At Iowa Speedway
Michael McDowell2 days ago

Might Have A Positive Result At Iowa
Joey Logano2 days ago

Could Joey Logano Be A Sneaky Tournament Play At Iowa?
Justin Haley2 days ago

Consider Justin Haley A Great Value Pick For Iowa?
Dak Prescott3 days ago

May Command More In Contract Talks
NFL3 days ago

Stephon Gilmore Not In A Rush To Sign A Deal
Isaiah Hartenstein3 days ago

Drawing Interest From Several Teams
Jarace Walker3 days ago

Could Be On The Move
Jalen Smith3 days ago

"Early Belief" Jalen Smith Will Decline Player Option
Tee Higgins3 days ago

Signs His Franchise Tender
Jarrett Stidham4 days ago

Has The Advantage Over Bo Nix
Tim Patrick4 days ago

Looking Healthy This Offseason
Jayden Daniels4 days ago

Commanders Sign Jayden Daniels To Rookie Deal
Tatsuro Taira4 days ago

Looks To Win 16th Fight In A Row
Alex Perez4 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 93
Brady Hiestand4 days ago

Looking To Extend His Win Streak
Garrett Armfield4 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 93
Jose Johnson4 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA4 days ago

Asu Almbayev Looks To Win His Third UFC Fight In A Row
Breece Hall4 days ago

Jets Being Cautious With Breece Hall
Leon Draisaitl4 days ago

On First Three-Game Scoring Drought Since March 2020
Connor McDavid4 days ago

Finishes Game 3 Loss With Two Assists
Sam Bennett4 days ago

Extends Point Streak To Six Games
Vladimir Tarasenko4 days ago

Nets Fourth Postseason Goal
Sam Reinhart4 days ago

Ends Goal Drought During Multi-Point Effort
Aleksander Barkov4 days ago

Establishes New Panthers Record With Eighth Multi-Point Outing
Darius Slayton5 days ago

Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Cleveland Browns5 days ago

Myles Garrett Tweaks His Hamstring In Minicamp
Amari Cooper5 days ago

Holds Out Of Final Day Of Minicamp
Trevor Lawrence5 days ago

Jaguars, Trevor Lawrence Agree On Five-Year, $275 Million Extension
Alvin Kamara5 days ago

Skips Practice For Contract-Related Reasons
Courtland Sutton5 days ago

Hints At Training Camp Holdout
Gus Edwards5 days ago

"Likely" To Be Back For Training Camp
SJ5 days ago

Sharks Appoint Ryan Warsofsky As Head Coach
Jalen Chatfield5 days ago

Agrees To Three-Year Extension With Hurricanes
Kaapo Kakko5 days ago

Signs One-Year Extension With Rangers
Patrik Laine5 days ago

Poised To Move On From Columbus
Evan Rodrigues5 days ago

Promoted To First Line Thursday
Aleksander Barkov5 days ago

Will Play In Game 3 Versus Oilers
Juwan Johnson5 days ago

To Undergo Foot Surgery
Josh Quinlan5 days ago

On Two-Fight Losing Streak
Adam Fugitt5 days ago

Could Be Fighting For His Job At UFC Vegas 93
Douglas Silva de Andrade5 days ago

Searching For 30th Career Win At UFC Vegas 93
Laurent Brossoit6 days ago

Maple Leafs Have "Mutual Interest"
Jaccob Slavin6 days ago

Working On Long-Term Extension With Hurricanes
Corey Perry6 days ago

Set To Re-Enter Oilers Lineup On Thursday
Evander Kane6 days ago

Uncertain For Thursday's Game 3
Darnell Nurse6 days ago

Expected To Play In Game 3
Aleksander Barkov6 days ago

Practices On Wednesday, Will Travel To Edmonton
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Joe Burrow - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS and Betting Picks

Fantasy Football Injury Reports (Offseason Updates): Joe Burrow, Deshaun Watson, Breece Hall, Jonathon Brooks, Gus Edwards, Josh Jacobs, and more

Fantasy football drafts happen all year long, but the thick of draft season is ahead. That said, it's important to start monitoring the latest injury news around the NFL. Our offseason injury updates and reports as of Tuesday, June 18, 2024, will give you the latest updates on key guys. In the thick of mandatory... Read More


Cooper Kupp - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, Draft Targets

Fantasy Football Preview - Los Angeles Rams Edition

Welcome to my 2024 fantasy football preview for the Los Angeles Rams, as part of my team-by-team fantasy football outlooks series. We are starting with the NFC West before moving to the AFC West and then down to the NFC/AFC South divisions. Our first entry focused on the Seattle Seahawks. For this second entry, we'll... Read More


Noah Fant - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Tight Ends, NFL Injury News

2024 Fantasy Football Deep Sleepers: Tight End

I know we say it every year, but this year, tight end is deep. I mean, Kyle Pitts is TE6, and George Kittle is TE7. Either one of those guys can finish as the overall TE1 this season. Then you’ve got guys like Evan Engram, Jake Ferguson, and Brock Bowers just behind them. The position... Read More


Fantasy Football Rookie Spotlight: Cody Schrader

Cody Schrader took an unconventional path to the NFL, beginning his career at the Division II level before walking on at Missouri. He wasn't drafted in the 2024 NFL Draft. Schrader landed as a UDFA with the 49ers, where he'll look to carve out a role behind Christian McCaffrey. What will the 24-year-old running back... Read More


Jaleel McLaughlin - Fantasy Football Rankings, DFS and Betting Picks, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football RB Stat Busts/Sleepers - Missed Tackles Forced Per Attempt

With the steady increase of committees over the years, running back has become one of the most frustrating positions for fantasy football managers. The days of endless bell-cow backs are gone. Despite the rise of committees, running back remains one of the most important positions in fantasy football. Gamers still need to pay sharp attention... Read More


Late-Round Sleepers and Undervalued Picks for 2024 Fantasy Football

In every fantasy draft, managers focus heavily on their early-round picks. After all, these are the players who are going to lead your fantasy team. However, the late-round picks are just as important, especially if those "sleepers" turn out to be consistent fantasy options. Just look at the 2023 fantasy season, as several sleepers helped... Read More


Jaxon Smith-Njigba Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Ladd McConkey vs. Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Who Should I Draft in 2024 Fantasy Football?

Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Ladd McConkey are young wide receivers with unlimited upside. With Smith-Njigba playing in his second season and McConkey about to get his first taste of NFL action, they should have a long way to go in building successful pro football careers. Luckily, some great offensive minds can help them succeed. Smith-Njigba will... Read More


James Cook - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Players To Fade for Fantasy Football Best Ball Drafts Include Josh Jacobs, James Cook, Chris Olave, David Njoku, more

Fantasy football best ball drafts and contests continue to grow and grow each year. The number of tournaments and strategies deployed surrounding the format is exploding, which means we must stay sharp! Social media is filled with best ball builds and screenshots of different approaches. It's everywhere! But before you can win these leagues, you... Read More


Drake London - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Targets and Fades - FFPC Main Event Contest

Even though the calendar still shows it's the first half of June, fantasy football drafts are back in full swing in many best ball leagues, tournaments, and high-stakes contests. These early drafts can help all fantasy football managers get a feel for how the market perceives players and where they will end up in drafts... Read More


Geno Smith - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Fantasy Football Preview - Seattle Seahawks Edition

This new 32-part series will dissect each NFL team through a fantasy football lens. We'll look at each of the four primary positions—quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end—and identify each player's value at their current ADP. Through this series, we'll also recognize players fantasy managers should avoid and target at their current ADP.... Read More


Ricky Pearsall - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Five Fantasy Football Rookies That Will Fail To Make An Instant Impact In 2024

In recent years, we have seen more rookies than ever before provide immediate fantasy football results. Just last year, we watched Puka Nacua and C.J. Stroud have impressive debut seasons. However, not every rookie can make an immediate impact. Whether it’s due to circumstances or lack of experience, there are times when first-year players disappoint.... Read More


UFL RANKINGS, FANTASY FOOTBALL,

Free UFL Betting Picks - Best Bets, Odds, Predictions for the UFL Championship

Sadly and sweetly, we have reached the conclusory game of the 2024 UFL season. I am already yearning for the start of the 2025 season and eager to follow along as the draft happens, the rosters change, and 2024 stars get their NFL opportunities. There is plenty to reflect on: the great attendance numbers for... Read More


Sneaky QB1 Candidates? 2024 Fantasy Football Quarterback Sleepers

The NFL season is right around the corner, which means that fantasy football drafts will soon take place. Drafting your fantasy team is one of the most exciting times for managers. But it also is one of the most stressful times, especially when making certain decisions like when is the best time to draft a... Read More