RotoBaller's top PGA player props, best bets, and matchup picks for the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open. Get commission-free odds and market edges with Novig golf picks.
Hi golf fans, and thanks for joining me again here at RotoBaller! This week, we'll take a look at some of the juicier matchup spots and finishing position props available for the Texas Children's Houston Open. We were fortunate enough to go 2-0 in last week's Novig matchups in this article, we'll try our best to stay hot in Texas!
This week's picks will all be using the odds on the most unique and fastest-growing sports prediction sites -- Novig. If you're not familiar with the site, I'll explain how it works and provide some of my favorite wagers to place on Novig.
As always, make sure you're following RotoBaller on X and download the RotoBaller app for all your season-long, DFS, and betting needs. Now, here are some of my favorite PGA bets and props for the 2026 Houston Open.
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What is Novig?
Novig is one of the fastest-growing peer-to-peer sports prediction markets. On Novig, users trade directly with each other, without the "vig" typically associated with a sportsbook. The vig is the fee sportsbooks charge you to use their services. It's a hidden cost that can be found in the odds that are being offered on each side of a specific bet. When a book offers -110 odds on both sides of a bet, they're keeping close to 10% of every bettor's wager, regardless of whether you win or lose.
On Novig, users trade with each other on the outcomes of sporting events, similarly to the way that investors trade on the stock market. But instead of having to beat the books, you just have to win against other users -- there's no commission kept by the site.
Users can bet on most traditional sports markets, including moneyline bets, spreads, totals, tournament matchups, player props, parlays, and futures!
Novig operates with two virtual currencies. Novig coins can be wagered for fun and to test out strategies, while Novig cash can be wagered on all markets and then redeemed for real cash prizes.
Access to Novig is widespread; it's now accessible in 36 U.S. states.
How Does Novig Work?
Since users are not playing against the books, there is an opportunity to make more money per wager that you win, and users can usually find better values on bets (in terms of the prices being offered) than on traditional sportsbooks.
There are no oddsmakers; users dictate their own odds. You can either accept the odds that the market is offering or set your own odds.
If you set your own odds, another user has to accept them on the other side for the bet to be activated.
Users drive the market, not the sportsbook or oddsmakers!
PGA Tournament Matchup Picks
All odds are from Novig and were accurate/available as of 3/24/2026. Odds are subject to change.
Brooks Koepka (+102 at Novig) OVER Marco Penge
We've had great success riding Brooks Koepka in the matchups portion of this article, including last week at the Valspar Championship. Despite Koepka's results and underlying stats trending up, books have been somewhat slow to adjust to his recent form. Here again, we can find him as a live dog at Novig this week against Marco Penge.
Penge is an absolute banger off the tee, and this Memorial Park layout, admittedly, projects as a great fit for the PGA Tour rookie. However, this will be the first time he's seen this golf course, and despite a sterling T4 effort last week at Valspar, Penge has been inconsistent in the start to his career in the U.S., missing the cut in half of his six starts on the Tour this year.
Since finding some stability on the greens with the switch to a mallet putter, Koepka's results have skyrocketed during the schedule's stint in Florida. His ball-striking numbers are all pointing up, as he heads to a Memorial Park layout on which he was actually a player-design consultant and logged a T5 back in 2020.
Sudarshan Yellamaraju (+103 at Novig) OVER Michael Brennan
The lazy take is that Yellamaraju's sterling T5 finish at The PLAYERS Championship was a "one-hit wonder" type of performance. In reality, the self-taught Canadian has been quietly piecing together strong results dating back to the latter portion of 2025. This year, Yellamaraju has made the cut in six of seven PGA Tour starts with three top-20 finishes across those outings.
Sudarshan Yellamaraju has taken one of the most improbable routes to the highest level of professional golf.@JosephLaMagna sat down with the PGA Tour rookie ahead of his first Players Championship to learn more about his incredible story. pic.twitter.com/RZw3YIrgo8
— Fried Egg Golf (@fried_egg_golf) March 10, 2026
His statistical profile also pops as a projected fit at Memorial Park. He enters the week ranked 15th on the Tour in Driving Distance, 28th in SG: APP, and 16th in putting.
While Yellamaraju's game has been pointing up in 2026, Michael Brennan has largely struggled to find his footing on the PGA Tour this year. The 24-year-old burst onto the scene in late 2025, racking up three wins on the PGA Tour Americas circuit before a breakthrough victory at the Bank of Utah Championship FedEx Fall event.
Brennan's blistering distance off the tee is certainly an intriguing trait on this week's layout, but he's consistently misfired in other facets of the game - especially putting. He's failed to log a top-25 result this year, and comes in off a missed cut at last week's Valspar Championship.
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PGA Finishing Position Props
All odds are from Novig and were accurate as of 3/24/2026. Odds are subject to change.
Stephan Jaeger WINNER (+7592 at Novig)
Jaeger has been a course horse at Memorial Park in recent years. He sandwiched a 2024 win at the Texas Children's Houston Open between a 2023 T9 and a T11 last year.
Obviously very comfortable on this layout, Jaeger heads to this year's edition on the heels of one of his best outings of 2026 - a T7 in last week's Valspar Championship. The consistency hasn't really been there this year, but the ceiling is what we're really looking at with an outright of this sort. A T5 at Torrey Pines and last week's T7 tell me there's upside present when everything is clicking.
Gary Woodland WINNER (+11011 at Novig)
Poor Gary Woodland has been through some health struggles in recent years that are downright nightmarish. Understandably, those issues have negatively impacted Woody's results on the golf course.
Gary Woodland sits down with Rex Hoggard to discuss his struggle with PTSD following brain surgery in September of 2023. pic.twitter.com/zf7A3EFulk
— Golf Channel (@GolfChannel) March 10, 2026
However, the Kansas native put together by far his best ball-striking performance of the year last week at Innisbrook en route to a T14 in the Valspar. He'll carry that positive momentum to a Memorial Park layout that's been generous to him in the past. Woodland scored a runner-up finish in last year's Houston Open, as well as going T21-T9 in his two previous appearances in this event.
More PGA Analysis and Picks
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