Patrick Mahomes - 2025 Fantasy Football Busts and Overvalued Draft Picks

Patrick Mahomes is a potential fantasy football bust and overvalued draft pick to avoid in 2025. Read the fantasy football outlook and draft advice for the Kansas City Chiefs quarterback.

RotoBaller Ranking: QB7

Fantasy Draft Analysis: There's no doubt that Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the best signal-caller in the league. He is a three-time Super Bowl champion and two-time regular-season MVP in his first eight NFL seasons. From a fantasy perspective, though, Mahomes continues to be a disappointing option.

He has finished outside the top 8 at the quarterback position in consecutive seasons and wasn't really a solid QB1 option for most of the 2024 campaign. Mahomes finished as a top-12 quarterback in just six of 16 games. That resulted in the 29-year-old finishing as the QB11 in all formats, the lowest fantasy finish of his career.

Even after posting the worst fantasy numbers of his career last year, Mahomes currently has a QB6 ADP in drafts. That's too rich for a quarterback who hasn't finished that high since 2022. Therefore, the Chiefs quarterback should be on your do-not-draft list in 2025.

Will having Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Marquise Brown, and Travis Kelce in 2025 make Patrick Mahomes a much better fantasy quarterback?

Or is it Matt Nagy holding him back?

— Jake's Fantasy Football (@JakesFFootball) June 17, 2025

The Chiefs haven't needed to rely on him a lot over the past two years, and his limited rushing makes him a risky pick in the fifth round. Mahomes has rushed for under 400 yards in every season of his career. 

There are just better quarterbacks to take later on in drafts. He doesn't nearly have the ceiling of quarterbacks like Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Jayden Daniels, and Jalen Hurts, and his passing numbers have taken a step back in recent years. The two-time MVP has thrown for under 28 touchdowns in back-to-back seasons.

- Joey Pollizze

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