Outfield Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers, Values: Middle-Round Discounts With Upside

February 11, 2026

Outfield fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts, values for the middle rounds. Discounted outfielders with upside include Kyle Stowers, Ceddanne Rafaela, more.

Baseball is back! The countdown to Opening Day is on, and we'll be breaking down each position for drafts. Today we're looking out middle-round outfield fantasy baseball sleepers, values, targets with upside for 2026 drafts. Outfield can tater off once the top 25 are off the board, so the middle rounds are essential in the draft -- it's where you can really find value at ADP or take a gamble on an upcoming player.

Below are five fantasy baseball outfielders for you to consider drafting at a discount in the middle-rounds of your season-long fantasy leagues this season. Are their ADPs undervalued? Will they make significant fantasy contributions and become a priority mid-round draft target? Read on to see our takes for each player.

The five outlooks below are meant to give you a taste of the in-depth analysis you receive with our industry-leading 2026 Draft Kit. Be sure to subscribe today to our MLB Premium Pass -- get exclusive access to our in-depth 2026 player outlooks and many other premium articles and tools including Team Sync, the Live Draft Assistant, our Custom Rankings Service, and so much more. Let's win some leagues!

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Kyle Stowers, OF, Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins outfielder Kyle Stowers, who went undrafted in most leagues last year, was having a full-on breakout season in 2025 before an oblique injury ended his campaign prematurely in mid August. The left-handed slugger finished with a .288-25-73-61-5 line in 457 plate appearances (117 games), which extrapolates out to a .288-33-96-80-7 pace if given 600 PA.

Kyle Stowers was one of only 10 players to post an OPS above .900 (min. 400 PA)

The young breakout outfielder ran a 19% Barrel Rate, collecting 73 extra-base hits in 2025

He'll look to assert himself as one of the game's premier hitters in 2026! pic.twitter.com/7Pxgp5gy6M

— High Leverage Baseball (@HighLevBaseball) January 12, 2026

Not only that, he hit .364 with a 1.269 OPS in July alone, long after there was plenty of film for opposing pitchers to dissect. A 98th percentile barrel rate should ensure the power returns in 2026, but the downside of all this production was that it came with a lot of swing and miss, registering a bottom 10th percentile Whiff% (32.5 percent) and K% (27.4 percent), so it could prove challenging to repeat a .288 average this season, although both metrics were showing improvement over his final 39 games after July 1.

RotoBaller ranks the 28-year-old at 111 overall, which makes him look like a value at his current NFBC ADP of 128 overall.

-- Jarod Rupp - RotoBaller

Dylan Crews, OF, Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals outfielder Dylan Crews was a popular sleeper pick with tremendous upside heading into the 2025 season. He did not live up to the hype, and last season, Crews experienced growing pains. The 23-year-old struggled out of the gate, slashing .196/.266/.354 with seven home runs and 11 stolen bases over 45 games.

Crews sustained an oblique injury on May 20 and didn't return to action until August 14. He was a little better in his return from the injured list, slashing .222/.295/.348 with three homers and six steals over 40 games. Despite struggling last season, Crews is only 23 years old and still has plenty of upside. He has elite speed, evidenced by his sprint speed of 29.0 feet per second, which puts him in the 89th percentile according to Baseball Savant.

However, there are concerns with Crews as his K% increased from 19.7% in 2024 to 23.5% in 2025, while his BB% dropped from 8.3% to 7.5%. He is projected to hit cleanup in a young lineup with potential that includes James Wood and CJ Abrams. There is 20/20 upside for Crews, and ATC projects him to slash .236/.299/.389 with 16 home runs, 23 stolen bases, and a .688 OPS over 133 games in 2026.

With an NFBC ADP around 164 and a RotoBaller ranking of 168, Crews is a solid pick in the middle rounds, providing decent power and speed with the potential for more.

-- Brad Camara - RotoBaller

Jakob Marsee, OF, Miami Marlins

Jakob Marsee's Miami debut was loud, hitting .292/.363/.478 with five homers and 14 steals in 234 plate appearances. What will the 24-year-old do for an encore? Likely a bit of everything. With 46 steals on the farm in 2023, 51 in 2024, and 47 in just 429 plate appearances at Triple-A last season, fantasy managers can expect the steals to keep flowing.

His 8.0% percent rate of Brls/BBE, 111.1 mph max exit velocity, and 93 mph average airborne exit velocity are all around league-average and should translate to a HR total in the teens. The biggest knock on Marsee is batting average risk, and his .357 BABIP probably won't repeat.

Jakob Marsee enjoyed a productive 2025 season, posting a 133 wRC+ over 234 PA w/ 2.1 fWAR. He showed great plate discipline, highlighted by his 19.9% Chase% & made plenty of in zone contact coupled w/ a .278 xBA & .346 xwOBA. The Marlins outfield will be fun to watch in 2026! pic.twitter.com/Sk8pMlOn84

— Running From The OPS (@OPS_BASEBALL) January 23, 2026

However, his expected batting average of .278 would still be a fantasy plus, and his 28.1 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed may be high enough to perform consistently above his xBA.

Marsee also demonstrated strong plate discipline last season, posting a 9.4 BB% and 20.5 K% backed by double-digit walk rates and a sub-23 K% at every MiLB stop. Miami's leadoff man should deliver plenty of runs scored in an improving lineup, making Marsee a solid value at his 147.87 ADP.

-- Rick Lucks- RotoBaller

Ceddanne Rafaela, OF, Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox second baseman/outfielder Ceddanne Rafaela slashed .249/.295/.414 with 16 home runs, 63 RBI, 84 runs, and 20 stolen bases across 156 games in 2025. It was a tale of two halves for the 25-year-old. Rafaela was much better in the first half, where he hit 14 of his 16 home runs with a .271 batting average compared to an abysmal .218 average and only two long balls in the second half.

Although he did manage to cut down his K% from 26.4% in 2024 to 19.9% in 2025 while increasing his BB% from 2.6% to 4.8%. His elite defense will keep him in the lineup after winning a Gold Glove as a centerfielder in 2025. He is expected to be Boston's everyday CF and will qualify at 2B after playing 24 games there last season.

However, he is projected to hit ninth in the order. Rafaela is RotoBaller's 10th-ranked second baseman and 36th among outfielders in traditional roto leagues. ATC projects another 15/20 season for Rafaela by projecting him to slash .250/.291/.409 with 16 home runs, 20 stolen bases, and a .303 wOBA over 141 games in 2026.

Rafaela has an NFBC ADP of 139.26, which aligns with his RotoBaller ranking of 135. Fantasy managers searching for double-digit homers and steals with multiple legibility can look to draft Rafaela in the middle rounds, but his draft stock is lower in OBP formats.

-- Brad Camara - RotoBaller

Chandler Simpson, OF, Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays outfielder Chandler Simpson had a strong showing in his first season as a big leaguer, although a midseason demotion and a lack of power were some drawbacks for fantasy. The demotion was not a result of poor hitting, as the Georgia Tech product was batting .285 with 19 steals in 35 games prior to being sent back down at the end of May, and in all, he hit .295 with 44 steals in 109 games, tied for second most in all of baseball despite playing just two-thirds of the season in the big leagues.

With an 89.8 percent contact rate and 98th percentile K% of 9.8 percent (and a history of strong contact rates in the minors), expect the strong batting average to continue, while fantasy managers who draft the speedster could be getting the likely 2026 stolen base leader; however, it comes at a cost.

The 25-year-old owns one career home run, which came in the minors, meaning there is a clear liability in the power categories (HR, RBI). Even so, the left-handed slugger can be had late in many drafts, going around 150 overall per his NFBC ADP, while RotoBaller ranks him much more favorably, at 132 overall.

-- Jarod Rupp - RotoBaller

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