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O'Reilly Auto Parts 500: Daily Fantasy NASCAR DraftKings DFS Lineup Picks

Chris Durell brings you DraftKings fantasy NASCAR advice, DFS lineups picks and sleepers analysis for Chris Durell brings you DraftKings fantasy NASCAR advice, DFS lineups picks and sleepers analysis for the O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas Motor Speedway

The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series returns following the Easter break and heads to Texas Motor Speedway for the O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 on Sunday afternoon. While Texas is considered another "cookie cutter" mile and a half intermediate track, they not only repaved before last year's Spring race but also went ahead and performed some re-configurations. They removed four degrees of banking in turns one and two(now 20 degrees) and widened it by 20 feet creating opportunities for more passing. Turns three and four remained at 24 degrees so the track now has two unique ends making it a bit more challenging for car/crew chiefs when setting up the cars.

From a fantasy perspective, we should once again be targeting dominator points to help form our core driver list. Last year saw three(Fall) and two(Spring) drivers lead 50 or more laps each and both races saw one driver lead 100 or more laps. In fact, five of the last six races here have seen multiple drivers lead 50 or laps. Place differential will also be key as last year there were four(Fall) and three(Spring) drivers to start outside the Top 20 and finish inside the Top 10. In the previous 14 races dating back to 2010 here at Texas that has only happened once. With that, let's jump in and take a look at some of the top targets for this week's race.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR: DraftKings DFS Lineup Picks - O'Reilly Auto Parts 500

Kevin Harvick($11,500)

He is the most expensive driver this week by $900 but well worth the money as he has dominated the two mile and a half tracks(Atlanta & Las Vegas) this season leading 395 laps for an average of 132.4 DraftKings points per race. He will start on the front row this week and showed top speed on Saturday ranking fifth and second in the final two practices and also posted the fastest 10-lap average in the rain-shortened final practice. He is the top projected dominator and safe in all formats.

Kyle Larson($9,700)

Larson comes with some nice value this week as the sixth most expensive driver. He was in a crash here last Fall but was terrific in the Spring race starting near the back and finishing runner-up at the end of the race. This time around he will start 10th and showed also showed excellent speed on Saturday ranking eighth and sixth in the final sessions and had even better long-run speed ranking second and fourth in 10-lap averages in those practices. Larson was terrific on mile and a half tracks in 2016 finishing third in average fantasy scoring behind Truex and Harvick and is also safe in all formats.

Erik Jones($7,900)

Jones was on my radar before cars hit the track this week as not only has a sub $8K price tag and has an average GPP ownership of 9% this season but has also been great at Texas. In the Xfinity Series last year, he won both races and has finished Top 5 in six straight and he also finished 10th here in the Cup series in the Fall. This week he provides top place differential value starting 21st and showed Top 10 speed on Saturday ranking sixth and seventh in the final practices including the fourth and second fastest 10-lap averages in those practices.

William Byron($6,700)

There is definitely some risk in rostering Byron this week as this will be his first start here at Texas in a Cup car and he will be starting from the rear after having to change engines during first practice. He ended up qualifying back in the 33rd spot, where he will pick up place differential points from but showed much better speed in the final two practices ranking third and 13th with the ninth fastest 10-lap average in the second practice. Considering the price in the sub $7K range, I think we can consider him in all format despite the risk.

NASCAR DFS Cheat Sheet

Don't have the time to search multiple sites looking for NASCAR stats and data?

Check out my DFS NASCAR cheatsheet which includes Track History(2-Year Trend & Career), Track Type History(2-Year Trend), Current Form, Practice/Qualifying Data, and a weighted system to get an overall rank for each driver each race. Check out it now while it's still in BETA mode and FREE to everyone. Also, be sure to check out the Race by Race Trends Sheet.

 

DFS & Fantasy NASCAR Chat Room

If you have any questions leading up to the race hit me up in the chat below!

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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller!
Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Colten Ellis

to Make Second Career Start Wednesday
Adam Erne

to Miss "a Few Weeks"
Paul George

Moving Closer to Return
Tyson Foerster

on Track to Return Wednesday
Joel Embiid

Showing No Structural Issues in Right Knee
Kayshon Boutte

Ruled Out for Thursday Night
Andre Burakovsky

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
Frank Nazar

Out on Wednesday
Rhamondre Stevenson

Ruled Out For Thursday
Brock Purdy

Working Toward Starting Sunday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Sidelined on Wednesday
Bradley Beal

Will Undergo Season-Ending Hip Surgery
C.J. Stroud

Not at Practice, Set for Another Missed Game?
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Nursing Hand Injury, Set to Play on Sunday
Romeo Doubs

"Should be Good to Go" on Sunday
Rico Dowdle

Held Out on Wednesday, Should Fantasy Managers be Worried?
Lamar Jackson

has Knee Soreness, "Should be Good" for Week 11
Garrett Wilson

Officially Ruled Out for Thursday Night
Brian Thomas Jr.

Practicing, on Track to Return in Week 11?
Joe Burrow

Looking Sharp at Practice
Isiah Pacheco

Won't Practice on Wednesday
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Back at Wednesday's Practice
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"Making Good Strides" and "Running"
Jaxson Dart

in Concussion Protocol, Won't Start in Week 11
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Will Start in Week 11 for Giants
Dalton Kincaid

Won't Practice on Wednesday
CFB

Still No Update on Jermod McCoy's Return Timeline
Rhamondre Stevenson

Expected to Reclaim Lead-Back Role When Healthy?
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Out for Week 11 and "Possibly Longer" Due to Appendicitis
Bucky Irving

Participating in Walkthrough on Wednesday
Sami Valimaki

Riding Momentum Into Bermuda
Bucky Irving

Not Expected to Practice on Wednesday
Matthieu Pavon

Struggling Through a Rough Season
Taylor Montgomery

Hopes to Get Back on Track at Port Royal
Ben Martin

a Risky Play at Bermuda Championship
Bradley Beal

Out with Hip Soreness
Mark Hubbard

Primed for a Bounce-Back Week in Bermuda
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Questionable with Back Spasms
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Questionable with Knee Sprain
Boone Jenner

Exits Win With Upper-Body Injury
Lee Hodges

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Out with Calf Contusion
Frederik Andersen

Pulled by Concussion Spotter
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Sustains Lower-Body Injury in Win
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Thatcher Demko

Suffers Lower-Body Injury Tuesday
Tobias Harris

Out on Wednesday
Thomas Chabot

Injured Versus Stars
Anthony Stolarz

Exits Early Tuesday
Auston Matthews

Hurt in Tuesday's Loss
Bam Adebayo

Still Out Wednesday
Cooper Flagg

Good to Go Wednesday
Anthony Davis

Questionable to Suit Up Wednesday
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Resting on Wednesday
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Won't Play on Wednesday
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Sits Out Wednesday's Game
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Wins Back-to-Back AL Manager of the Year Honors
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Pat Murphy Named NL Manager of the Year Again
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Looking to Bounce Back in Bermuda
Eric Cole

Carrying Momentum into Bermuda
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Doubtful Versus the Bulls
Ausar Thompson

Out Again on Wednesday
Jalen Duren

Expected to Play on Wednesday Night
Cade Cunningham

Questionable Versus Chicago
Tommy Edman

to Have Ankle Surgery Next Week
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks Unlikely to Trade Ketel Marte
Roman Anthony

to Have a Normal Offseason
Jarren Duran

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MacKenzie Gore

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Good to Go for Wednesday
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Back in Action Tuesday
Scott Laughton

Unavailable Tuesday
Ryan Strome

Won't Play Tuesday
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Ready to Face Capitals
Thatcher Demko

Returns to Canucks Crease Tuesday
Tarik Skubal

Tigers Unlikely to Trade Tarik Skubal
Framber Valdez

Cubs Could Land Framber Valdez in Free Agency
Jake Walman

Plays Key Role in Comeback Victory
Alexis Lafrenière

Alexis Lafreniere Bags Three Points in Monday's Win
Sandy Alcantara

Marlins Ready to Trade Sandy Alcantara
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks Motivated to Move Ketel Marte
Hunter Greene

Reds to Listen to Offers on Hunter Greene
Paul Skenes

Pirates Won't Trade Paul Skenes
Pete Alonso

Mets Expected to Let Pete Alonso Walk in Free Agency
Kyle Tucker

to Sign With Yankees, Blue Jays, or Dodgers
Drake Baldwin

Named NL Rookie of the Year
Kyle Hendricks

Hanging Up his Cleats After 12 Seasons
Freddy Peralta

Red Sox Linked to Freddy Peralta
Nick Kurtz

Named AL Rookie of the Year
CFB

Nic Anderson Could Return for LSU this Season
Emmanuel Clase

Indicted on Gambling Charges, Facing 65 Years in Prison
Randy Brown

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Gabriel Bonfim

Extends His Win Streak
Joseph Morales

Gets First-Round Submission Win
Matt Schnell

Suffers First-Round Submission Loss
Muslim Salikhov

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Uros Medic

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ismael Bonfim

Loses Back-to-Back Fights
Chris Padilla

Remains Unbeaten In The UFC
Marco Tulio

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Christian Leroy Duncan

Scores Second-Round Knockout Victory
Aaron Judge

Headlines AL Silver Slugger Award Winners
Randy Brown

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Gabriel Bonfim

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Matt Schnell

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Looks For His Fourth Consecutive Win
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