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O'Reilly Auto Parts 500: Daily Fantasy NASCAR DraftKings DFS Lineup Picks

Chris Durell brings you DraftKings fantasy NASCAR advice, DFS lineups picks and sleepers analysis for Chris Durell brings you DraftKings fantasy NASCAR advice, DFS lineups picks and sleepers analysis for the O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas Motor Speedway

The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series returns following the Easter break and heads to Texas Motor Speedway for the O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 on Sunday afternoon. While Texas is considered another "cookie cutter" mile and a half intermediate track, they not only repaved before last year's Spring race but also went ahead and performed some re-configurations. They removed four degrees of banking in turns one and two(now 20 degrees) and widened it by 20 feet creating opportunities for more passing. Turns three and four remained at 24 degrees so the track now has two unique ends making it a bit more challenging for car/crew chiefs when setting up the cars.

From a fantasy perspective, we should once again be targeting dominator points to help form our core driver list. Last year saw three(Fall) and two(Spring) drivers lead 50 or more laps each and both races saw one driver lead 100 or more laps. In fact, five of the last six races here have seen multiple drivers lead 50 or laps. Place differential will also be key as last year there were four(Fall) and three(Spring) drivers to start outside the Top 20 and finish inside the Top 10. In the previous 14 races dating back to 2010 here at Texas that has only happened once. With that, let's jump in and take a look at some of the top targets for this week's race.

Daily Fantasy NASCAR: DraftKings DFS Lineup Picks - O'Reilly Auto Parts 500

Kevin Harvick($11,500)

He is the most expensive driver this week by $900 but well worth the money as he has dominated the two mile and a half tracks(Atlanta & Las Vegas) this season leading 395 laps for an average of 132.4 DraftKings points per race. He will start on the front row this week and showed top speed on Saturday ranking fifth and second in the final two practices and also posted the fastest 10-lap average in the rain-shortened final practice. He is the top projected dominator and safe in all formats.

Kyle Larson($9,700)

Larson comes with some nice value this week as the sixth most expensive driver. He was in a crash here last Fall but was terrific in the Spring race starting near the back and finishing runner-up at the end of the race. This time around he will start 10th and showed also showed excellent speed on Saturday ranking eighth and sixth in the final sessions and had even better long-run speed ranking second and fourth in 10-lap averages in those practices. Larson was terrific on mile and a half tracks in 2016 finishing third in average fantasy scoring behind Truex and Harvick and is also safe in all formats.

Erik Jones($7,900)

Jones was on my radar before cars hit the track this week as not only has a sub $8K price tag and has an average GPP ownership of 9% this season but has also been great at Texas. In the Xfinity Series last year, he won both races and has finished Top 5 in six straight and he also finished 10th here in the Cup series in the Fall. This week he provides top place differential value starting 21st and showed Top 10 speed on Saturday ranking sixth and seventh in the final practices including the fourth and second fastest 10-lap averages in those practices.

William Byron($6,700)

There is definitely some risk in rostering Byron this week as this will be his first start here at Texas in a Cup car and he will be starting from the rear after having to change engines during first practice. He ended up qualifying back in the 33rd spot, where he will pick up place differential points from but showed much better speed in the final two practices ranking third and 13th with the ninth fastest 10-lap average in the second practice. Considering the price in the sub $7K range, I think we can consider him in all format despite the risk.

NASCAR DFS Cheat Sheet

Don't have the time to search multiple sites looking for NASCAR stats and data?

Check out my DFS NASCAR cheatsheet which includes Track History(2-Year Trend & Career), Track Type History(2-Year Trend), Current Form, Practice/Qualifying Data, and a weighted system to get an overall rank for each driver each race. Check out it now while it's still in BETA mode and FREE to everyone. Also, be sure to check out the Race by Race Trends Sheet.

 

DFS & Fantasy NASCAR Chat Room

If you have any questions leading up to the race hit me up in the chat below!

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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller!
Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Egor Demin

Available Against Hornets
Justin Herbert

Planning to Play Through Broken Bone in Left Hand in Week 14
Terance Mann

in Danger of Missing Monday's Game
Sauce Gardner

Likely to Miss a "Couple of Weeks" With Calf Strain
Noah Clowney

Considered Probable for Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Listed as Probable for Monday's Matchup
Caris LeVert

Expected Back Monday
Duncan Robinson

Questionable to Face Hawks
Jalen Duren

Likely to Return Against Hawks Monday
Brock Bowers

Records Two Touchdown Grabs in Week 13
Alexandre Sarr

Iffy for Monday
Mark Williams

Available Against Lakers Monday
Ryan Dunn

on Track to Return Monday
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Uncertain for Monday
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Returning to Bulls Lineup Monday
Paolo Banchero

Unavailable Monday
Larry Nance Jr.

to Miss 3-4 Weeks
Jarrett Allen

to Miss a Week of Action
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Listed as Probable for Monday
Anthony Davis

Likely to Play Against Nuggets Monday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Considered Probable for Monday
Justin Herbert

Suffers Fractured Hand in Week 13, Will Have Surgery
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Won't Play Sunday
Kimani Vidal

has Season-High in Rushing Yards in Win Over Raiders
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Looks Unstoppable on the Ground in Week 13
Davante Adams

has Another Two-Touchdown Game
Aaron Jones Sr.

is Questionable to Return With Shoulder Injury
Adonai Mitchell

has Career Day With 102 Yards, Touchdown in Win
Andre Drummond

Available Versus Atlanta
VJ Edgecombe

Cleared to Suit Up on Sunday
Bijan Robinson

Compiles 191 Total Yards, Touchdown in Loss to Jets
Shedeur Sanders

Will Start Again in Week 14 Against Titans
Mike Evans

Could Return in Week 14
Keon Coleman

Active for Week 13
Dalton Kincaid

Officially Inactive for Week 13
Kyren Williams

Returns in Week 13 After Injury Scare
Kyren Williams

Suffers Apparent Leg Injury in Week 13, Status Unclear
Woody Marks

Returns in Week 13 After Injury Scare
Sauce Gardner

Colts Rule Out Sauce Gardner With Knee Injury
Woody Marks

Questionable to Return With Foot Injury
Kyler Murray

Not Fully Healthy Yet
Keon Coleman

Expected to Play Against Steelers
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Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
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Owen Tippett

Amasses Three Points in Saturday's Win
Stuart Skinner

Bounces Back With Shutout
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Notches Four Points in Big Win
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Sustains Upper-Body Injury
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Hurt in Saturday's Loss
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Not Ready to Return Saturday
Simon Benoit

Won't Play Saturday
Henri Jokiharju

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Likely to Return in May
Pavel Zacha

a Game-Time Call Saturday
Ryan Helsley

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David Pastrnak

Out for Second Consecutive Game
William Nylander

Available Saturday
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Out for 6-8 Months With Torn ACL
Jake Walman

Sidelined for Third Consecutive Game
Jack Roslovic

to Miss Two Weeks
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

to Return Saturday
Mattias Samuelsson

in Concussion Protocol
Kyle Palmieri

Sustains Lower-Body Injury
Lukas Dostal

Ruled Out for 2-3 Weeks
Kirill Marchenko

Misses Third Straight Game
Jaden Schwartz

to Miss Six Weeks
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Anthony Rendon

Angels Could Buy Out Final Year of Anthony Rendon's Contract
Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

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J.T. Realmuto

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CFB

Jeremiah Smith, Makai Lemon, Skyler Bell Named Biletnikoff Award Finalists
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to Play for Team Japan in 2026 World Baseball Classic

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