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Happy Wild Card Weekend, RotoBallers! Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for the games on Saturday, January 13, 2024. Welcome to our brand new NFL DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will continue to focus on the NFL DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks -- whether you think a player will score Over or Under the set lines, and choose your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (e.g., three picks = 6x your bet). Underdog Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games. At Underdog Fantasy, you're not playing against other people -- you're just playing against the projections.
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Saturday, January 13
Be sure also to check out our brand new Props Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Joe Flacco, 268.5 Passing Yards (HIGHER)
Joe Flacco returned to the NFL this season to help out an injured quarterback situation in Cleveland, but no one expected prime Flacco. Flacco started his first game in Week 13 versus the Los Angeles Rams where he threw for 254 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. That has been his lowest so far through five starts. He hasn't hit below 300 yards since then. Now, he gets to face a young Houston Texans squad.
The Texans currently rank 23rd against opposing quarterbacks and rank 14th in total yards allowed per game. Flacco, who seems to not be able to miss, has a 60.29% completion rate while averaging two or more touchdowns per game. He is projected for 285.8 passing yards and 1.8 passing touchdowns this Saturday to kick off the Wild Card weekend.
Jerome Ford, 17.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
Jerome Ford has been benefiting pretty well with Joe Flacco under center when it comes to the passing game. Ford has reached 18 receiving yards or higher in three of his last five games. He holds a 19% target per route ran share with an 11% target share on the season. He had down weeks in Weeks 15 and 16 but quickly bounced back. He has a projection of 2.5 receptions and 18 receiving yards. Overall, Jerome Ford holds the two highest odds to hit for this matchup with -124 (55.36%) to hit the over in receiving yards when using the Proptimizer.
Nico Collins, 73.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
Nico Collins has been stepping up with the injuries happening around the Houston Texans. Collins is coming off of a huge game in Week 18 versus Indianapolis where he recorded nine receptions off of nine targets for 195 receiving yards and one touchdown. He has recorded five or more targets in nine of the last 10 games he has played. He is becoming a solid WR2 behind a healthy Tank Dell.
The Cleveland Browns have been one of the top defenses in the league and currently rank fourth when it comes to receivers. They will most likely cause some hiccups for the Texans offense but Nico Collins will still be heavily relied on. He is projected for 5.5 receptions off of 7.5 targets for 78.2 receiving yards.
Tyreek Hill, 6.5 Receptions (HIGHER)
Tyreek Hill could be similar to Nico Collins as Jaylen Waddle is currently questionable for Saturday's action. However, even if Waddle plays, Hill is going to do what he usually does no matter what. He has only dipped below six receptions in four of the 17 games where he has been active. He currently holds a 31% target share on the season with a 35% target per route ran. Without Waddle active, Tyreek Hill has scored in two of the three games while recording nine receptions versus Denver, six receptions versus Baltimore, and seven receptions versus Buffalo. Even with a tough Kansas City defense matchup, Hill holds the sixth-highest odds to go over with -115 (53.41%) when using the Proptimizer.
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