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Happy Friday, RotoBallers! Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for Week 9, Sunday Late Slate. Welcome to our brand new NFL DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will continue to focus on the NFL DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks -- whether you think a player will score Over or Under the set lines, and choose your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (e.g., three picks = 6x your bet). Underdog Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games. At Underdog Fantasy, you're not playing against other people -- you're just playing against the projections.
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Sunday Late Slate
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Adam Thielen, 69.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
Adam Thielen has found father time in Carolina and is having a very good season stat-wise. In seven games this season, Thielen has only missed 69.5 receiving yards in the first two weeks of the season. He has recorded three games with 100 receiving yards or more already. He has a 29% target share on the season but in his past three games, he has recorded two 39% target share games with the third being 37% in Week 8. With a projection of 81 receiving yards this Sunday, Thielen has an implied total of -101 (50.1%) to hit the over when using the Proptimizer. The Indianapolis Colts rank 17th against opposing wide receivers which gives Adam Thielen a good shot of hitting the over once again.
A.J. Brown, 81.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
It's hard to pass up on A.J. Brown in any given scenario. Brown has now recorded six straight games with 125 or more receiving yards. In three of those six games, he has double-digit targets. On the season, 79% of his targets have been catchable with a target share of 32%. Since Week 2, he has only dropped below a 30% target share three times. He is the focus point of this Philadelphia Eagles offense. Dallas will be a challenge as they rank second against defending opposing receivers but with multiple weapons for Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown will find his way to be open.
CeeDee Lamb, 73.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
Staying within the same game, CeeDee Lamb has a much better matchup for himself. Getting to face the Philadelphia Eagles who struggle against opposing receivers, Lamb should be in store for some good work. Using the Proptimizer, he has an implied total of -113 (53.05%) to hit the over. In a similar fashion to A.J. Brown, Lamb has now recorded back-to-back games of 100 receiving yards or more. In Week 6, he recorded six receptions off of six targets for 117 yards. Fresh off of a bye week in Week 7, he recorded 12 receptions off of 14 targets for 158 yards and two touchdowns in Week 8.
Josh Jacobs, 74.5 Rushing Yards (LOWER)
A lot is going on with the Las Vegas Raiders and Josh Jacobs searching for the 2022-2023 version of himself is one of them. Besides the offense being one of the ugliest in the NFL, Jacobs has only hit over 74.5 rushing yards once so far this season. He's projected for just 69.2 rushing yards versus the New York Giants. sitting him at an implied total of -102 (50.43%) to hit the under. Jacobs holds a heavy hand on the backfield as he holds a 77% rush attempt share for the Raiders, giving him the lion's share of the carries. He just hasn't done anything with those opportunities this season to make him trustworthy.
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