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Happy Veterans Day, RotoBallers! Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for the Sunday Night Game. Welcome to our brand new NFL DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will continue to focus on the NFL DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks -- whether you think a player will score over or under the set lines, and choose your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (e.g., three picks = 6x your bet).
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Sunday Night Game
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Garrett Wilson, 5 Receptions (HIGHER)
Garrett Wilson has turned into Zach Wilson's favorite target and for good reason. He holds a target share of 32% on the season with a 68% catchable target rate. Wilson has now hit 12 or more targets in the New York Jets past three games with back-to-back 13 target games. In those three games, he had eight receptions in Week 6, and seven receptions in Weeks 7 and 8. A five-reception total in Week 10 versus the Las Vegas Raiders seems soft. Zach Wilson doesn't have many options which gives Garrett Wilson his boost in this game. The Proptimizer loves this total as it has him hitting the over at a -125 (55.56%) implied total.
Josh Jacobs, 65.5 Rushing Yards (HIGHER)
All Josh Jacobs and the Raiders needed was a coaching change. Jacobs looked like he returned to his old self last week as he had 26 rushes for 98 yards and two touchdowns. Now he gets the Jets who rank 23rd when it comes to the run game. He has a projection of 84.34 rushing yards and an implied total of -102 (50.54%) of hitting the over. He continues to hold the dominant hand when it comes to the Raiders backfield as he holds a 77% rush attempt share on the season. If the Raiders continue off of what they did last week, Josh Jacobs should hit the over with ease.
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Aidan O'Connell, 208.5 Passing Yards (LOWER)
The Las Vegas Raiders gave the keys to Aidan O'Connell for the season alongside the coaching change. With that comes some big pressure which will cause O'Connell to be eased in to take over. The run game helped the Raiders in Week 9 and most likely will help them this week. The New York Jets rank 11th versus opposing quarterbacks and can cause some costly turnovers. To minimize mistakes, Josh Jacobs will most likely get the heavier workload causing the 208.5 passing yards total hard to hit. Using the Proptimizer, O'Connell sits at a -104 (50.98%) total to hit the under Sunday Night.
Allen Lazard, 26.5 Receiving Yards (LOWER)
The struggles continue to hit Allen Lazard and his target share continues to decline. Lazard struggled to make anything happen in Week 8 versus the Los Angeles Chargers. He had many opportunities to do something as he had six targets on the night. He finished with just two receptions for 18 yards. He had his third lowest target share in Week 8 also with 13% and only a 50% catchable target rate. With a drop in target shares and missed opportunities, Allen Lazard may continue to struggle in this offense.
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