Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Super Bowl DFS GPP Stacks for FanDuel And DraftKings


Hey there RotoBallers! After an exciting Conference Championship Round which saw both games go to overtime, we have an intriguing Super Bowl matchup between the Patriots and the Rams. Will the battle-tested Patriots be taking home yet another Lombardi trophy or will the upstart Rams be able to win their first championship since 2000? An explosive Los Angeles offense figures to give the Pats all they can handle on Sunday. While the stacking options are limited with just two teams in play, I will run through my thoughts for stack options for anyone interested in playing in the single-game slate.

The goal of this weekly column will be to locate some of the best DFS stacks each week. Stacking, or pairing a quarterback with one of his pass-catchers, is a great way to maximize point scoring. This method is generally viewed as a strategy in tournaments, but I also have no problem using safe, high-floor stacks in cash games, as well.

The top Super Bowl DFS stacks will be listed below, sorted by team and then personal preference. All references to team defense DVOA come from Football Outsiders while cornerback and wide receiver matchups and grade references come from Pro Football Focus.

Editor's Note: Get any rest-of-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS Tools, Lineup Optimizer and Premium DFS Research through the Super Bowl. Sign Up Now!

 

New England Super Bowl DFS Stacks

New England QB Tom Brady and WR Julian Edelman

For his ninth Super Bowl appearance, Tom Brady will take on a Rams defense that can bring a fearsome pass rush, led by Aaron Donald. Brady has shown some signs of his age this season, showing less ceiling games and operating more as a low-end QB1/high-end QB2 floor play in fantasy. Making matters worse, Los Angeles was tough against the pass in the regular season, ranking ninth in DVOA. The Patriots would surely love to deploy a run-heavy offensive approach, similar to what they did against the Chiefs in the Conference Championship round when they ran the ball 48 times out of a whopping 94 offensive plays. Provided the defense can prevent Los Angeles from building a big lead, Brady's outlook doesn't look particularly appetizing from a fantasy perspective. If forced to play a quarterback this weekend, I would opt for Jared Goff. The Patriots are 2.5-point favorites in this game but the Rams are a stronger team at most positions so the contrarian approach would be to hope Los Angeles builds an early lead and forces the Patriots to pass often. That will be the tournament approach I will be taking for this game.

Look for Julian Edelman to be Brady's favorite target in the Super Bowl. The veteran wideout has caught 16 of 23 targets for 247 yards in his two playoff games this postseason. He will mostly do battle against slot corner Nickell Robey-Coleman, who is infamous for his uncalled pass interference call against the Saints two weeks ago. Despite the attention for that unfortunate play, Robey-Coleman has been solid this season, earning an 81.3 grade from Pro Football Focus. While Robey-Coleman has been effective in coverage this season, the chemistry between Brady and Edelman is too strong to shy away from the pairing here. If the Patriots fall behind on the scoreboard and are forced to go pass-heavy, Edelman could have a huge game.

New England QB Tom Brady and RB James White

White's Super Bowl heroics from two seasons ago aside, the pass-catching specialist can be projected to be heavily used in the short passing game. White has drawn 23 targets over the two playoff games this postseason, tied with Julian Edelman for the team lead. White would stand to see a huge opportunity if New England is forced to play catchup on the scoreboard. While many fantasy owners will gravitate toward the five touchdowns in two playoff games scored by Sony Michel, White could wind up as a sneaky play (if that is even possible on a two-team slate).

New England QB Tom Brady and WR Phillip Dorsett

I like deep threat Phillip Dorsett as an under the radar GPP play this weekend. While many will roster Rob Gronkowski due to his solid game against the Chiefs and the general lack of options on a two-team slate, Dorsett is worth considering instead. While most of the Rams' defensive attention on passing plays will be on Edelman, Gronk, and James White, Dorsett could go overlooked. The speedy wideout figures to see primary coverage from Marcus Peters, who has been beatable deep over his career. Peters earned just a 58.1 grade from PFF in the regular season.

 

Los Angeles Super Bowl DFS Stacks

Los Angeles QB Jared Goff and WR Robert Woods

Jared Goff will make his first Super Bowl appearance in just the third year of his pro career. While there is some concern that he could be jittery for the big game, Goff has the edge over Brady when it comes to surrounding cast. New England's defense likes to scheme to take away the opponent's top option but the Rams are so deep on offense that someone is bound to go off for a big outing. That being said, Goff hasn't had a huge game yet in the playoffs, which gives some cause for concern as Los Angeles has been skewing more run-heavy of late. The Patriots represent an average matchup for quarterbacks as they ranked 14th in pass defense DVOA and allowed the 18th-most fantasy points per game during the regular season.

Robert Woods doesn't have quite the big-play upside that teammate Brandin Cooks brings to the table but he is steady and heavily-used within the Rams' scheme. The team leader in playoff targets with 19, Woods could benefit from New England's defensive tendencies. The Patriots generally try to limit big plays and negate the opposition's No. 1 option on offense. That would lead me to expect them to pay much more attention to Cooks then they do to Woods. Woods also runs the majority of the routes from the slot, meaning he will mostly avoid coverage from Stephon Gilmore, who was one of PFF's top-rated coverage corners during the regular season. I would expect Woods to lead his team in receiving in the Super Bowl.

Los Angeles QB Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley

Impossible to imagine two months ago, Gurley has almost become a forgotten man on the LA offense. A late-season knee injury that may be worse than the team has been letting on is the primary culprit, but either way, this isn't the Todd Gurley that fantasy owners have become accustomed to seeing. He may have hit a new low in the Conference Championships as he gained just 13 total yards on five touches while Carolina castoff C.J. Anderson led the backfield. While it is very possible that could happen again in the Super Bowl, Gurley will have had two full weeks to rest his knee. He remains infinitely more talented than Anderson and you won't want to be without him in lineups if he turns in a vintage Gurley performance in the big game. Gurley's ability in the passing game makes him an interesting stacking partner with Goff.

Los Angeles QB Jared Goff and TE Tyler Higbee

For the final stack, I will dig deep and recommend tight end Tyler Higbee. Most DFS players don't bother much with Higbee and Gerald Everett because they aren't usually a major part of the passing attack and they tend to cannibalize each other. That being said, there's some reason for optimism when it comes to Higbee in the Super Bowl. He has out-targeted and outproduced Everett in the two playoff games, seven targets (six receptions) to two (one). He should go mostly overlooked in Super Bowl DFS contests and would be a huge advantage in lineups if he has a big game.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers – Jo Adell

The most coveted type of player in fantasy baseball is the batter who can hit home runs, steal bases and hit for contact. Stolen bases are harder to find, as more big-league teams are opting to take a cautious approach to baserunning. Additionally, batting average has declined because hitters are striking out more often, as... Read More


ADP Cost Analysis - Gleyber Torres vs. Corey Seager

Fantasy baseball players acquire draft position through osmosis. The more drafts that take place, the larger sample we gain of how owners of all experience levels feel about someone. Granted, inexperienced players often rely on rankings from experts, which goes to form ADP into something resembling common rankings, but the outcome is unimpeachable, collected data... Read More


ADP Cost Analysis – Aaron Nola vs Lance Lynn

With fantasy baseball draft season in full swing, those of us who partake in this joyous game are now looking through as much draft data as possible in a bid to find players we love who have lower average draft positions (ADP) than we believe they should. All this to eke out as much draft... Read More


2020 Regression Candidates: Breakout Outfielders

Every season in MLB you can count on the fact that you will have breakout performances from players. Sometimes these breakout performances can be seen coming a mile away and sometimes they catch you entirely by surprise. Regardless of which type of breakout we see, you will almost always have to pay up for that... Read More


Bases Loaded Podcast - Quality Start Episode 1

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) and Matt Williams (@MattWi77iams) of the Turn Two Podcast come together for a new co-pod series called "Quality Start". This will be a joint effort and episodes will be found on Bases Loaded as well as the Turn Two Podcast. We are joined by Jorge Montanez (@Roto_Nino) as well for this one.... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Adrian Houser

In life, there seem to be two kinds of people, the flashy and the boring. “Flashy” people like high-end materialistic things such as nice clothing or an expensive car. "Boring” people prefer the simpler things in life like spending time with their loved ones. This seems to be true when it comes to fantasy baseball,... Read More


Taking Out the Trash: Pitchers Who Should Junk Their Worst Pitch

Pitch mix changes can make or break a player’s season. That obviously goes for fantasy value as well as real-life. We've already seen how throwing an effective pitch more often could make a huge improvement a la Patrick Corbin. Sometimes pitchers just need to eliminate a pitch to see their numbers improve. Consider the following: Mitch... Read More


ADP Showdown – Trevor Story vs. Trea Turner

Pitchers and catchers have officially reported and position player workouts are getting underway, which means baseball season is officially upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already started dealing with tough draft position... Read More


Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Pitcher Statcast

Statcast metrics such as Barrels and Brls/BBE are great ways to evaluate a batter's performance, so it is only natural to assume that the metrics would be predictive for pitchers as well. As much as batters want to hit a Barrel every time, pitchers want to avoid them at all costs. Yet there is evidence... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Staff Rankings

Below you will find RotoBaller's 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, tiers and auction dollar values for the 2020 MLB season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Mixed, Head-to-Head, Points, AL/NL Only, Two-Catcher Top 2020 prospects, Dynasty leagues, Keeper values Export the rankings easily... Read More


Bases Loaded Podcast - All Things Fantasy Baseball w/ Nick Pollack (@PitcherList)

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) is  joined by Nick Pollack (@PitcherList) and they discuss all things fantasy baseball! Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune... Read More


Finding Combo-Player Values Using Z-Scores and ATC Projections

Towards the end of last season, I asked the question – “Draft Speed or Pound the Power?” Loaded in this seemingly simple query are two contradictory approaches – one for power and one for speed. Power Approach 1: Home run totals are dramatically up in baseball these days. Therefore, there are many power bats available... Read More


ADP Showdown - Whit Merrifield vs Austin Meadows

Spring training is officially underway, which means baseball season is upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already begun dealing with tough draft position decisions. The outfield position is deep as always, but... Read More


2020 Keeper Value Rankings - Third Base

Keeper Value Rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated draft pick in order to keep a player into the upcoming season. These rankings are based on Keeper "Values". In the marketing world, Value can be defined as the extent to which a good or service (player) is... Read More


2020 Dynasty Leagues: Players to Sell (Premium Content)

As draft day approaches in dynasty leagues, the window to sell-high on a big name has never been better. The first days of spring training are a chance to cash in on players who may have hit their peak value before the 2020 season begins. Bartering is a matter of risk vs reward. You hate... Read More