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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 18. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of.
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Titans @ Texans: Fantasy Challenge Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
D'Onta Foreman, A.J. Brown, and Brandin Cooks to combine for more than 50.5 fantasy points
This contest starts with Foreman due to the fact that the Titans will enter this game as 10-point favorites and will likely be relying heavily on the run. This is great news as the Texans have allowed the most fantasy points per game at nearly 29 points to running backs over the previous four weeks. Foreman has also seen solid volume since taking over for Derrick Henry and now has averaged nearly 18 carries per game over the previous five games.
A.J.Brown is the most potent weapon the Titans currently have and he should factor into this game as well considering he has seen 21 targets over his last two games since returning from injury. While he only saw five targets last week, the Titans got up in a hurry and blew the Dolphins' doors off and the weather was awful. This week, he will also be facing a Texans' defense that is allowing over 33 fantasy points per game to wide receivers over the previous four weeks.
Brandin Cooks is basically all the Texans have, and they will need him if they want to try and take the number one seed away from the Titans on Sunday. The matchup for Cooks is solid as the Titans have allowed the most receptions per game to wide receivers on the season by allowing over 14. Cooks has seen double-digit targets and caught at least seven balls in each of his previous three games. This bodes well for him heading into this game as well considering the scoring format on MKF is PPR.
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Jets @ Bills: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Devin Singletary more than 64.5 rushing yards and Michael Carter more than 46.5 rushing yards
Singletary and the Bills will be playing for the AFC East crown as well as the possibility of moving up in the seeding for the AFC, so there is a lot of motivation for them in this one. Singletary should be in line for a solid workload as he has averaged over 19 carries per game over the previous three games and has more than 20 carries in two of those games. He will be facing a Jets defense that has allowed running backs to average 106 rushing yards per game over the previous four weeks. The Bills will also enter this game as 16.5-point favorites, which should lead to plenty of additional running plays for Singletary.
This number feels a little low for Carter as he has run for more than this total in three of his previous four games and four of his previous six games. He was cleared from concussion protocol and returned to practice Thursday, so his workload could look similar to Week 16 when he carried the ball 16 times. He gets a Bills defense that has been struggling against the run recently as they have allowed an average of over 91 rushing yards per game to running backs over the previous four weeks.
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49ers @ Rams: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Matthew Stafford more than 20.5 fantasy points and Elijah Mitchell more than 12.5 fantasy points
Stafford and the Rams will be facing the 49ers on Sunday and need a win in order to remain locked into the number two seed in the NFC. The matchup against the Niners could not come at a better time as a majority of their secondary is likely to miss this game on the Covid list. Even if this was not the case, the matchup would still be solid as the Niners have allowed the 11th-most passing yards to quarterbacks over the previous four weeks. They have also allowed 17 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks in 2021 and Stafford has gone over this total in three of his previous five games while just missing it last week with a 20.26 fantasy performance against the Ravens.
Mitchell is good to go this week and that is great news for the 49ers who will likely need to win this game in order to make the playoffs. Mitchell has been a horse when healthy this season and he has averaged over 24 carries per game over his previous four games played. He has also averaged over 20 fantasy points per game in those four games. While one of those games was just a nine-point performance against the Rams, the Rams have been allowing an average of nearly 23 fantasy points per game to running backs over the previous four weeks.
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