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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 10. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of.
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Saints @ Titans: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Ryan Tannehill more 240.5 passing yards and Trevor Siemian more than 219.5 passing yards
Tannehill has hit this total in two of his previous three games and with be without Derrick Henry in a game that passing could be his best friend. The Saints have struggled against quarterbacks recently as they have allowed an average of over 270 passing yards per game over their previous three games, which ranks fifth-worst in the league. Look for the Titans to come out and rely a bit more on the pass against a suspect defense and get Tannehill through this number.
The only concern I have with Siemian in this contest is the fact that Sean Payton loves him some Taysom Hill. Assuming Hill is in for his usual two or three gadget plays, Siemian is in a great spot in this game. He is fresh off his first start of the season in which he threw for 249 passing yards against the Falcons and also put up 159 passing yards in limited action against the Bucs. He gets a Titans' defense that has allowed an average of over 267 passing yards per game across their previous four games.
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Seahawks @ Packers: Touchdown Dance Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Davante Adams, Aaron Jones, and D.K. Metcalf to combine for more than 1.5 touchdowns
Another Green Bay Packers' game and another touchdown dance with highly concentrated players. Adams is the premier selection here as the Seahawks have allowed seven receiving touchdowns to the position on the season. Upon his return, Aaron Rodgers will almost certainly want to get back into rhythm with Adams who he has targeted 73 times across their seven games together this season and connected for three touchdowns.
Aaron Jones makes a ton of sense as the Seahawks have given up over eight receptions per game to running backs over their previous three games, Jones has been a force in this offense as he has caught the ball at least four times in his four previous games with Aaron Rodgers in the lineup and has also carried it 12 or more times in all but two games this season. He should be in line for a solid workload with the Packers currently favored by 3.5 points.
D.K. Metcalf has caught a touchdown pass in all but one game this season and has two games in which he caught two touchdown passes. Russell Wilson will be returning in this one, so his quarterback play should only help improve Metcalf in this game. The Packers have allowed eight touchdowns on the season to wide receivers and are still going to be without stud cornerback, Jaire Alexander. This should be a prime spot for Metcalf to get in the end zone at least once.
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Vikings @ Chargers: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Justin Herbert more than 22.5 fantasy points and Dalvin Cook more than 19.5 fantasy points
Herbert and the Chargers got back to their business last week by passing the ball 38 times for 356 yards and two touchdowns. They will likely look to do the same this week against a Vikings' defense that has allowed quarterbacks to throw for an average of 249 passing yards and two touchdowns per game over their previous three games. This game currently has a total of 53 points, so there should certainly be plenty of fireworks, and this is also a fantasy total that Herbert has gone over in three of his previous five games.
Cook is also in a great spot this week as the Los Angeles Chargers have been awful against the run. Over the previous four weeks, the Chargers have allowed running backs to average 120 rushing yards per game, which is ranked fifth-worst in the league. Just last week, they allowed Jordan Howard to gash them for 71 yards rushing yards. Cook has seen an average of over 21 carries per game across his previous three games, so his workload should certainly be solid this week. This game also has a spread of three points, so this one could come down to the wire and help keep Cook involved on the ground all game.
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