NFL DFS Prop Picks for Monkey Knife Fight - Bills vs. Patriots Thursday Night Football

December 1, 2022

Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13's Thursday Night Football of the Fantasy Football season. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.

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As always, I'm here to give you some solid props to take advantage of in tonight's game, so let's get right to the picks!

Bills @ Patriots More or Less Contest

Recommended Pick:

Josh Allen less than 265.5 passing yards and Mac Jones more than 225.5 passing yards

This is a number Allen has eclipsed in just one of his previous five contests. He will be up against it in this one as well considering the Patriots have allowed the fewest passing yards to quarterbacks over the previous four weeks. On average, New England has allowed quarterbacks to throw for just 160 yards per game over their previous three games. The Bills will also enter as favorites in this one, which could mean they do not need to throw as much.

This opened at 210.5 but is definitely still playable at 225.5 passing yards for Jones. He is fresh off a 382-yard passing game against the Minnesota Vikings on Thanksgiving night and has now eclipsed this total in two straight games. He will be up against a Bills defense that has allowed the fourth-most passing yards over the previous four weeks while allowing quarterbacks to average nearly 270 passing yards per game over that span. Five of the previous quarterbacks the Bills faced have also eclipsed this total.

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Bills @ Patriots More or Less Contest

Recommended Pick:

Devin Singletary less than 55.5 rushing yards and Jakobi Meyers more than 52.5 receiving yards

While Singletary has seen an average of 15 carries per game over his previous three games and eclipsed this total in two of those three games, this is a tough spot for him and the Bills' rushing attack. Just last week, the Patriots held Dalvin Cook to just 42 rushing yards on 22 carries. They have also allowed the third-fewest rushing yards to running backs over the previous four weeks and have not allowed a running back to eclipse this total since Week 7.

Meyers should be a good play here if the wind does not get out of control, so that will be worth monitoring as we move toward kickoff. The Bills have allowed the third-most yards to wide receivers over the previous four weeks by allowing 762 yards. Meyers is the top target in New England as has managed to eclipse this total in two of his previous four games while missing it by just one receiving yard in a third game.

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