RADIO
Let's all celebrate the end of the bye weeks, which means that our Sunday slates go back to being loaded with 13 games. Hang on, what do you mean it's only an 11-game slate?! The only downside of Thanksgiving is that it leaves just 11 games on the featured DraftKings slate for Week 13. That is not a huge issue, but having those extra games gives you more opportunities to differentiate yourself.
We have perhaps the best spread of games we have ever had this season in terms of projected totals. Six of the 11 games are projected over 45, one of which is projected over 50. Of the other five, two games fall below 40 points, with the remaining three between 40-and-45. That wide spread of projected totals offers plenty of opportunities to find some value this week.
Let's take a look at the DFS cash game value plays for Week 13 of the 2019 NFL season. This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries.
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Quarterback DFS Cash Game Value Picks
Sam Darnold, NYJ @ CIN | DK: $6,100, FD: $7,600
Darnold has really been rolling recently. The Jets quarterback has scored an average of 26.5 fantasy points in the last three weeks. Not only does he have seven passing touchdowns in that time, but he has also added another two on the ground. This could be another good week for Darnold against a defense allowing 22.5 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.
Nick Foles, JAX vs. TB | DK: $5,700, FD: $7,500
This is a play against the Buccaneers Defense as much as it is a show of strength in Foles. The Buccaneers are allowing over 23 FPPG to quarterbacks and their games often turn into a shootout. Foles and the Jaguars desperately need to really get rolling offensive, and this is the game to do it.
Running Back DFS Cash Game Value Picks
Miles Sanders, PHI @ MIA | DK: $5,400, FD: $5,800
Last week saw a nice return from Sanders as he rolled for over five yards per carry against the Seahawks. This week is a much easier matchup, against a Dolphins Defense allowing an average of 18.8 FPPG against lead backs. This should be a game where the Eagles get their offense rolling and Sanders should be able to return double-digit fantasy points even if he only sees the 11 carries he has averaged the past three weeks.
Jonathan Williams, IND vs. TEN | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,800
How do you go against a guy who carried the ball 26 times last time out? The results in terms of yards per attempt are not pretty, but a 20-point return is not to be sniffed at. Williams should be the lead back once again this week in an offense that should keep the ball on the floor in an attempt to control the clock and the game. This could be another 20 carry week for Williams, which should yield close to 15 fantasy points.
Phillip Lindsay, DEN vs. LAC | DK: $5,000, FD: $6,300
This price is solid for Lindsay, who has seen double-digit carries in all but two of his games this year. The Chargers are allowing 17 FPPG to lead running backs this year, which is the role Lindsay continues to occupy for this offense. This is not a sexy pick, but it a pick with a nice floor, that could have a significant upside if Linsay can find the end zone.
Wide Receiver DFS Cash Game Value Picks
Robert Woods, LAR @ ARI | DK: $5,500, FD: $7,100
I love this price on DraftKings for one of my favorite wide receivers around right now. Woods has not had the season he would have hoped for, but he has seen 20 targets across his last two games. In those two games, he has averaged 16 FPPG, and appears to be the favorite target of Jared Goff right now. The Rams offense needs to get right this week, and Woods is a big part of that.
Woods price does not really offer any value on FanDuel.
Chris Conley, JAX vs. TB | DK: $4,500, FD: $6,000
Conley has been a solid target in the Jaguars offense this season, seeing 38 targets through the last five weeks. Those targets have returned mixed results, but this week, against a defense nearly 50 FPPG to the wide receiver position he could turn those targets into a very successful week.
Auden Tate, CIN vs. NYJ | DK: $3,800, FD: $5,200
Tate will be one of many people in Bengals colors relieved to see Andy Dalton back under center. Tate has not completely rumbled with Ryan Finley, but he was seeing more targets with Dalton marshaling the offense. All of Tate's four double-digit performances came with Dalton, and with Dalton fighting for his career, he should be spreading the ball around plenty in this one.
Tight End DFS Cash Game Value Picks
Ryan Griffin, NYJ @ CIN | DK: $4,300, FD: $5,600
It has become hard to ignore Griffin. He appears to have become a trusted target of Darnold and has found the end zone in both of the past two weeks. Griffin should see somewhere around three to five targets this week, and there is a good chance he will be leaned on around the red zone.
Dallas Goedert, PHI @ MIA | DK: $4,100, FD: $5,200
Last week was not pretty for Goedert, as he ended with just under 10 fantasy points. It was solid, but it was not the monster return you were hoping for. This week the Eagles offense will continue to be slightly under-strength and Goedert should be able to take advantage of this Dolphins Defense.
