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The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for Thursday, March 9.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Terry Rozier OVER 21.5 Points: Let's kick off today's slate by looking at Terry Rozier's point prop. The Charlotte guard has surpassed 21.5 points in three out of his last five games, averaging 21 points during that span. Today, he's up against the Detroit Pistons, one of the worst defenses in the league. Rozier has faced the Pistons three times already this season, and he's managed to exceed this projection every single time, and that was with LaMelo Ball still active. The books have Rozier at -140 to go over 21.5 points, while others list him at 22.5 points, and my prop model projects him for 23.59 points. With excellent value and the stats in his favor, Rozier is my top play for today. It's Scary Terry time!
Draymond Green OVER 13.5 Rebounds+Assists: Next up, let's talk about Draymond Green's rebound+assist prop. Green has been over this projection in only two of his last five games, averaging 12.8 RA during that span. But tonight, he's got a juicy matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies, and when Green faces off against his rival Dillon Brooks, he always brings his A-game. The Warriors have faced the Grizzlies twice already this season, and both times Green crushed his projection with a total of 20 and 26 RA. The books have Green listed at -145 to go over 13.5 RA, and my prop model has him projected for 14.85, so there's some great value here. Don't sleep on this play; Green is going to come out swinging tonight!
Tyrese Haliburton OVER 22.5 Points: I'll wrap things up with Tyrese Haliburton's point prop. Haliburton has exceeded this projection in three of his last five games, averaging an impressive 27.6 points during that span. He faces the Houston Rockets tonight, a team that allows the most points to opposing guards. Haliburton has been on fire recently, averaging a whopping 33.6 points in his last three games, and I don't see why he can't continue this trend against a weak Rockets defense. The books have him listed at -120 odds to surpass this number, and I think he has a great chance of doing so.
Other Recommendations - Tyrese Haliburton UNDER 2.5 Turnovers, Khris Middleton OVER 4.5 Assists, Dillon Brooks UNDER 13.5 Points, James Wiseman OVER 23.5 PR.
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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