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The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, February 2.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Spencer Dinwiddie OVER 19.5 Points - I'll start today's slate off with, as my buddy likes to call it, a "model Hall of Famer". Dinwiddie has been reliable clearing his props all season, and I don't see tonight to be any different. He's hit this number in four of his last five and seven of his last ten, and my model projects him to score 21.51 points against the Pelicans this evening.
Jrue Holiday OVER 6.5 Assists - I'll take a look at Jrue Holiday's assists prop next. Holiday has cleared this number just once in his last four games but did manage to log at least seven assists in the six games prior. It's a tough matchup against the Clippers, but I'm expecting a big night out of the stars. My model projects Holiday for 8.23 assists tonight, and I'll look for him to repeat his 13-assist performance against LA almost a year ago to the day.
Terry Rozier OVER 2.5 Three-Pointers Made - I'll wrap things up with Terry Rozier's points prop. Rozier has flip-flopped on this line basically all season; clearing 2.5 threes in three of his last five, six of his last ten, 11 of his last 20, and at a 50% clip on the season. So, if this is essentially a "coin flip", why am I taking this prop? Well, the Bulls have been struggling against the shooting guard position, allowing 3.22 threes made per game which ranks 26th in the NBA. My model projects Rozier to make 3.72 threes tonight, so we're getting good value on this number.
Other Recommendations - Mason Plumlee OVER 13.5 Points, Patrick Williams OVER 19.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists, Luka Doncic UNDER 34.5 Points, Paul George UNDER 30.5 Points + Rebounds
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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