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The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, February 23.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
De'Aaron Fox OVER 26.5 Points: I'll start today's slate with De'Aaron Fox's points prop. Fox has been on a scoring tear lately, scoring over 26.5 points in four of his last five games, averaging 30.2 points during that span. On October 22nd, when the Kings faced the Blazers earlier this season, Fox recorded a 33-point performance against Damian Lillard. The books have Fox listed at -122 odds to hit the over, and my model projects him to record 28.8 points tonight, supporting this play with great value.
Nikola Jokic OVER 35.3 Points+Rebounds: Next, let's take a look at Nikola Jokic's points+rebounds prop. Jokic has hit the over on this in his last three out of five games. In January, Jokic recorded an impressive 43 combined points and rebounds against the Cleveland Cavaliers, even with Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon both playing. With Gordon (ribs) listed out and Murray (knee) listed as questionable for tonight's game, Jokic will likely take on an even bigger load and be set up to exceed this number once again vs. the Cavs. The books also support this play, listing Jokic at -155 odds to surpass this number.
LeBron James OVER 13.5 Rebounds+Assists: I'll wrap things off with LeBron James' RA prop. James has exceeded this number in three of his last five games, averaging 14.4 combined rebounds and assists during that span. When facing the Warriors previously this season, he totaled a combined 23 rebounds and assists, almost doubling his current line of 13.5. Playing the Warriors again tonight, I expect James to smash this number. The books support this play as well, listing James to hit the over with -165 odds. A lot is in James' favor to hit the over here, and this should be considered a strong play.
Other Recommendations - Jayson Tatum OVER 4 Assists, Zach Collins OVER 7.5 Rebounds, Kevon Looney OVER 10 Rebounds, Bogdan Bogdanovic OVER 22.5 Points.
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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