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The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, February 16.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Kyle Kuzma OVER 7.5 Rebounds - I'll start today's slate off with Kyle Kuzma's rebounds prop. Kuzma has been good on the glass, clearing this number in three of his last five and seven of his last ten. The matchup isn't great, but isn't bad either, as the Timberwolves rank 17th in rebounds allowed to small forwards over the course of the season and eighth over the last seven days. My model projects Kuzma for 8.9 rebounds tonight, so we're getting solid value here.
Mike Conley OVER 6.5 Assists - I'll take a look on the other side of the Wizards/Timberwolves game next, with Mike Conley's assists prop. Conley has cleared this number in one of two games since joining the TWolves, most recently logging nine assists against Dallas on Monday night. He'll have a tougher matchup against Washington tonight, who ranks seventh in assists allowed to point guards over the course of the season and second over the last seven days. Regardless, my model projects Conley for 8.43 assists tonight.
Paul George OVER 25.5 Points + Rebounds - I'll wrap things up with Paul George's PR prop. PG has cleared this number in three of his last five and seven of his last ten. He draws a solid matchup against Phoenix, who ranks 27th in points allowed to shooting guards and 10th in rebounds allowed to shooting guards over the course of the season, while ranking 23rd and 7th over the last seven days, respectively. I personally think he could clear this number with just his points, but my model projects him for 31.2 PR tonight, so we're getting really solid value at this number.
Other Recommendations - Kristaps Porzingis OVER 23.5 Points, Bradley Beal OVER 3.5 Rebounds, Daniel Gafford OVER 15.5 Points + Rebounds, Kawhi Leonard OVER 1.5 Blocks + Steals
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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