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There's a 14-game slate Wednesday and with that we have a massive selection of options over at Monkey Knife Fight. In the All-Day Star Shootout, we have James Harden and Giannis Antetoukounmpo with incredibly high point totals. There is almost no reason to go with the under on either player, so even though it might feel risky, indulge in the points.
James Harden against the top ranked defense versus point guards doesn't frighten me in the slightest. Do the Heat randomly have a James Harden stopper? Unless Jimmy Butler decides to guard Harden all night, there's no reason why he can't continue his high-scoring trend. As for Antetoounmpo, his 50-point game was a sight to see and what's harder to see is him slowing down against the Hawks. There's also evidence that Antetokounmpo hasn't scored below 30 against the Hawks in the past season and a half so yeah, hit the over.
If you have any questions you can find me in the NBA Chat Room or @HalfCourtJester on Twitter. In case any injuries happen, these lines are subject to change so make sure you stay on top of player updates.
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Joel Embiid (PHI) OVER 23.5 Points
For the sake of Joel Embiid, we will not stress on his scoreless performance, but instead use it as a reason why he has to post at least 20 points tonight. The threshold might say 23.5 points but this has to and will be a statement game for Embiid. He has the right matchup and the Kings are just competitive enough to keep this game close enough for Embiid to be essential. The Sacramento Kings have let up 23 points to one frontcourt player since November 3rd. That player is Pascal Siakam and since Embiid mirrors the scoring ability of Siakam, I am confident he can be an outlier in the Kings stout frontcourt defensive stats.
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Devonte' Graham (CHA) OVER 16.5 Points
The Pistons defense seems stingy on paper and truthfully speaking, Langston Galloway is a talented defender. But other than that the Pistons backcourt consists of Derrick Rose, Luke Kennard, and Bruce Brown Jr., all players who focus more on offense than defense. Not to mention they all lack the size to be impactful defenders as it is.
Regardless, Devonte Graham is simply on a roll. He has laid claim to being the primary scorer in Charlotte and even when Terry Rozier is able to hit his shots, Graham manages to carve out his own production without taking away from the team. 16 points might seem intimidating, but Graham will have to do more scoring this game to keep up with the Pistons anyway, so hopefully he has no problem finding his rhythm early on.
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Bradley Beal (WAS) OVER 27.5 Points
Since Bradley Beal wasn't able to score more than 15 points against the Nuggets, it's easy to see why the under is the safer bet, especially on the second night of a back-to-back. Playing in Denver and suffering from a significant deficit early in the game were the main reasons behind the low-scoring output, but if there's anyone that responds to bad games with incredible games, it's Bradley Beal.
This is a trend that has traced back a few years and while Beal obviously needs to hit his shots, it really shouldn't be a problem against the Suns backcourt. Even if the Suns dominate the Wizards, Beal is going to have the greenest of lights and I think it'll be harder for him to score below 30 with how many attempts he is going to take.
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