X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

MNF NFL DFS Lineup Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings - Rams vs 49ers Showdown

John's top NFL DFS lineup picks for FanDuel, and DraftKings for Monday Night Football - Rams vs 49ers showdown slate. His Week 10 MNF daily fantasy football advice.

Happy Monday, RotoBallers! I hope your Week 10 has been profitable so far. I personally had a great day in cash yesterday, cleaning the house on all four of the major slates. I hope to carry this momentum into tonight in what should be an exciting matchup as the Rams (7-2) try to bounce back from last week's performance as they head to San Francisco for another prime-time matchup against the 49ers (3-5). Thanks to the advanced analytics of today, I'll do my best to provide you with as much in-depth analysis as possible regarding positional matchups and the like to help put some lunch money in your pocket. Let's break it down. 

In this article I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Monday Night Football slate on November 15th. These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you have any questions you can follow me on Twitter @LucidMediaDFS and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with me and other NFL DFS analysts any time you'd like. Let's make some coin this season gang, and let's get right to it!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 50% off using code SUMMER! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

NFL DFS Captain Plays

Matthew Stafford ($16,200 DK, $17,000 FD)

Key Stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 2,771 passing yards, 23 touchdowns, six interceptions.
  • Offensive Pass DVOA: 44.8% (3rd)
  • Opposing Defense Pass DVOA: 19.1% (25th)

Luckily we get a slight discount on Stafford tonight, with Cooper Kupp being the highest-priced player on DraftKings. It's unfortunate that the Rams lost Robert Woods this week, but they made a solid addition in Odell Beckham Jr. I don't think OBJ makes a massive difference in this game tonight, but with the matchup being what it is I think it's tough to fade Stafford. He's an absolute must in optimal lineups on FD, and I'll have a decent percentage of him on DK.

Recommendation: Cash (DK/FD)

Best Correlations: Cooper Kupp, Van Jefferson, Deebo Samuel

 

George Kittle ($11,700 DK, $10,500 FD)

Key Stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 36 targets, 25 receptions, 328 yards, one touchdown.
  • 2021 Data: 92.42% target rate, 21.3% target rate, 6.25% red-zone target rate, 2 end-zone targets
  • Opposing DVOA vs TE: -21.4% (8th)
  • Individual Matchup (vs Ernest Jones): 12% target per route, 90% catch rate, 0.25 fantasy points per route.

It's been an injury-ridden year for Kittle, but boy did he come back last week with a vengeance. After he missed four consecutive weeks, he logged six receptions on eight targets for 101 yards and a touchdown against Arizona last Sunday. Out of all the Niners' pass-catchers, Kittle has the best matchup of the week. He's shown recent success against the Rams, catching 20 of 26 targets for 191 yards and two touchdowns in his last three games against them.

Recommendation: Cash (DK), GPP (FD)

Best Correlations: Jimmy Garoppolo, Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp

Other Captains: Cooper Kupp, Brandon Aiyuk

 

NFL DFS Flex Plays

Jimmy Garoppolo ($10,000 DK, $14,000 FD)

Key Stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 1,754 passing yards, eight touchdowns, five interceptions.
  • Offensive Pass DVOA: 26% (8th)
  • Opposing Defense Pass DVOA: -6.7% (5th)

This is more of a FanDuel play for me, as I really don't think Jimmy G will be optimal on DraftKings tonight. I feel like the 49ers' 26% pass DVOA is a bit misleading, considering the 49ers really try to establish and use the run to move down the field. The matchup isn't particularly great either, but it's worth noting that Garoppolo threw for 268 yards and three touchdowns against the Rams last October. Overall though, I'd rather spread my ownership around the 49ers pass catchers and use the extra salary elsewhere on DraftKings.

Recommendation: Cash (FD), GPP (DK)

Best Correlations: George Kittle, Deebo Samuel, Cooper Kupp

 

Elijah Mitchell ($6,400 DK, $11,500 FD)

Key Stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 89 attempts, 469 rushing yards, three rushing touchdowns, nine targets, nine receptions, 73 receiving yards.
  • 2021 Data: 64.82% snap rate, 57.42% attempt rate, 47.62% red-zone attempt rate, 25% attempt rate withing the 5yd line.
  • Offensive Rush DVOA: 3.5% (3rd)
  • Opposing Defense Pass DVOA: -13.5% (14th)
  • Opposing DVOA vs RB (receiving): -4.1% (18th)

I'm a bit confused as to why Mitchell is so cheap on DraftKings, but we'll take it nonetheless. He showed his versatility last week, catching five of five targets for 43 yards, but this week I would have to assume Kyle Shanahan's game plan will be to use Mitchell and the running game to control the clock and keep the ball out of Matthew Stafford's hands. We could get dumped if the game becomes too out of hand too quickly, but the upside is certainly worth the risk.

Recommendation: Cash (DK, FD), GPP (CPT, DK)

Best Correlations: Matthew Stafford, George Kittle, Robbie Gould

Other Flex Plays: Deebo Samuel, Tyler Higbee, O'dell Beckham Jr.,

 

NFL DFS Value Plays

Van Jefferson Jr. ($5,400 DK, $8,000 FD)

Key Stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 46 targets, 27 receptions, 433 yards, three touchdowns.
  • 2021 Data: 78.19% snap rate, 14.33% target rate, 11.94% red-zone target rate, five end-zone targets.
  • Defensive DVOA vs 'Other WR': 10.3% (25th)
  • Individual Matchup (vs Emmanuel Moseley): 19% target per route, 54% catch rate, 0.21 fantasy points per route.

I understand why Jefferson is a bit cheaper, as the news about Robert Woods's ACL injury didn't come out until Friday. Again, we'll take the value we can get on this slate, especially because I truly don't believe that OBJ will have a huge factor in this game. Robert Woods took up 21.5% of the target share, so it's not crazy to assume guys like Jefferson and Higbee will have some positive regression in the target department. While his matchup is average, it shouldn't be hard for Jefferson to hit value tonight, and he's a must-play in cash lineups on DK.

Recommendation: Cash (DK/FD)

Best Correlations: Matthew Stafford, Jimmy Garoppolo

 

Rams D/ST ($4,600 DK)

Key Stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 28 sacks, 12 interceptions, two fumble recoveries.
  • Defensive DVOA: -9.4% (9th)
  • Opposing Offense DVOA: 13.1% (7th)

I consider this more of a GPP play tonight, as I'm about 50/50 on which way this game could go. You really never know what you're going to get from San Francisco's offense, but I do think there's a very real chance that Jimmy is a dud tonight and the Rams absolutely dominate. They've been ball-hawking all season and should get some decent pressure on Garoppolo and force him to make mistakes. It's also worth that in the last two games against the Rams they've allowed 23 and 24 points.

Recommendation: GPP (DK)

Best Correlations: Darrell Henderson Jr., Matthew Stafford, Robbie Gould

Other Value Plays: Robbie Gould, Matt Gay

 

NFL DFS: Overall Slate Notes

I think this is a super interesting, yet unpredictable matchup. I think the Rams snap their four-game losing streak against San Francisco, but I also think that this should be a game that could go down the wire. All outcomes feel possible, so I'll be spreading my lineups out accordingly. Unlike last night, though, I do think this game can be a "cash" slate as well, as both offenses seem rather consolidated. I know it's somewhat "going against the grain" to play cash games in a showdown slate, but I've found myself having success over the last few years.

Have a good week everyone, good luck, and I'll talk to you again on Thursday. 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Weekly DFS Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jack Bech

Signs Rookie Contract with Raiders
Yegor Chinakhov

Requests Trade
Dakota Joshua

Maple Leafs Acquire Dakota Joshua
Lukas Dostal

Signs Five-Year Extension with Ducks
Shemar Stewart

Not Practicing With College Team
Uchenna Nwosu

Seahawks Place Uchenna Nwosu on PUP List
Taylor Decker

Alim McNeill, Taylor Decker Placed on PUP List
Tyrion Davis-Price

Titans Waive Tyrion Davis-Price
Tre Harris

Chargers Relying on Tre Harris to Be Starting X Receiver
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Expected Back Friday
Micah Parsons

Will Become Highest-Paid Non-QB
MarShawn Lloyd

Vying for RB2 Role
Keandre Lambert-Smith

KeAndre Lambert-Smith Finds End Zone in First Training Camp Practice
Tyler Shough

Pushing for Fully Guaranteed Rookie Deal
Ar'Darius Washington

Goes on PUP List
Lamar Jackson

to be Even Better in 2025?
Tre Harris

Agrees to Terms on Rookie Deal
Justin Herbert

Off to Good Start at Training Camp
Jameson Williams

Earning Rave Reviews from Lions Coaches
Christian Mahogany

Expected to Start for Lions
Zach Allen

an Extension Candidate in Denver?
Zaire Franklin

May Miss Start of Training Camp
Portland Trail Blazers

Damian Lillard Returning to Portland
Mason Taylor

to Play "Crucial" Role in Jets' Offense
Paul Skenes

Pirates Could Preserve Paul Skenes in Second Half
T.J. Watt

Once Again Becomes Highest-Paid Non-QB
RJ Harvey

Reaches Agreement on Four-Year Rookie Contract
Brooks Barnhizer

Grabs 19 Points, Nine Boards in Summer League Win
Jeremiah Fears

Scores 22 Points in Summer League Loss to Thunder
Isaiah Collier

Collects 17 Points In Summer League Win
Caleb Houstan

Joins Hawks
AJ Johnson

Erupts for 25 Points in Summer League Loss
Washington Wizards

Leaky Black Logs Double-Double in Loss to Jazz
Connor Norby

Undergoes Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-8 Weeks
Trey Alexander

Tallies 25 Points in Losing Effort
Johni Broome

Records Second Consecutive Double-Double
Jahmir Young

Has Historic Summer League Outing
Rob Dillingham

Plays Big Role in Wednesday's Win
Tyrese Proctor

Erupts for 35 Points Against Kings
Cody Williams

Leads Jazz to Victory Against Wizards
LeBron James

Mavs Not Interested in "Gutting its Roster" For LeBron James
Josh Hart

Undergoes a Procedure on Right Finger
Jake Burger

Goes on 10-Day Injured List With Quad Strain
Sal Frelick

Dealing With Grade 1 Hamstring Strain, TBD for Start of Second Half
Chris Sale

Plays Catch
Los Angeles Clippers

Bradley Beal Heading to Los Angeles to Join Clippers After Contract Buyout
Rayan Rupert

Scores 24 Points in Summer League Win
Derik Queen

Collects Third Consecutive Double-Double in Summer League Loss
GG Jackson II

Records 13 Points in Summer League Action on Tuesday
Johni Broome

Logs Double-Double Against Wizards
DaRon Holmes II

Records Double-Double in Summer League Loss to Raptors
Kyle Schwarber

Named All-Star Game MVP
Harris English

Takes Stellar 2025 Performance to The Open Championship
Aldrich Potgieter

Seeks Better Result in Northern Ireland
Cameron Young

Likely to Hang Around at The Open Championship
Cameron Smith

Just Trying to Make the Cut at Royal Portrush
Jordan Spieth

Is Jordan Spieth Still a Natural for Links Style Golf?
Patrick Reed

a Viable Option at The Open Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Wants to Rebound from Last Experience at Royal Portrush
Xander Schauffele

Looks to Defend His Claret Jug at Royal Portrush
Tony Finau

Trying to Turn Tide at Royal Portrush
Daniel Brown

Seeks a Rebound at The Open Championship
Rory McIlroy

Will be the Most Watched Player This Week at Royal Portrush
Daniel Berger

Trending Poorly as The Open Championship Looms
Clayton Kershaw

Retires Both Batters In ASG Appearance
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Hit In Pinky In All-Star Game, X-Rays Negative
MLB

NL All-Stars Win On Tie-Breaker Home Run Swing-Off
Robert MacIntyre

Hoping to Bounce Back at Open Championship
Shane Lowry

Hopes to Repeat at Royal Portrush
Brian Harman

Hopes to Rekindle Some Magic at the 153rd Open
UTA

Michael Carcone Returns to Utah on One-Year Contract
Bowen Byram

Signs Two-Year Deal with Sabres
Morgan Barron

Jets Re-Sign Morgan Barron for Two Years
PGA

Chris Gotterup Punches Ticket to Royal Portrush With Win at Scottish Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Hopes to Reverse Links Golf Struggle at the 153rd Open
Keegan Bradley

Needs to Find The Weekend at Royal Portrush for Ryder Cup Hopes
Oneil Cruz

Ties Home Run Derby Distance Record
Cal Raleigh

Wins 2025 Home Run Derby
Justin Thomas

Finishes Tied For 22nd at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Genesis Scottish Open
Jon Rahm

Finishes in Second at LIV Andalucia
Tallison Teixeira

Suffers First-Round TKO
Derrick Lewis

Scores First-Round TKO
Michael Lorenzen

Royals Put Michael Lorenzen on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Stephen Thompson

Loses Controversial Split Decision
Gabriel Bonfim

Wins Controversial Split Decision
Calvin Kattar

Gets Outclassed At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Extends His Win Streak
Nate Landwehr

Gets Knocked Out
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Scores Third-Round Knockout
Austen Lane

Suffers Submission Loss
Vitor Petrino

Scores First-Round Submission In Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Earns His First UFC Win
Junior Tafa

Unsuccessful in his Light-Heavyweight Debut
Chase Elliott

Charges to A Finish of Third At Sonoma
Chase Briscoe

Finishes Second With his First Career Road-Course Top-Five at Sonoma
Christopher Bell

Rollercoaster Day Ends With Top-5 Finish at Sonoma
William Byron

Maintains the Regular-Season Points Lead
Kyle Busch

Earns A Hard-Fought Top-10 Finish At Sonoma
Alex Ovechkin

Not Thinking About Retirement
PIT

Penguins Acquire Arturs Silovs
NHL

Nikolai Kovalenko Returns to Russia
Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Tosses Gem Against Giants
Shota Imanaga

Shuts Down Yankees on Sunday
Nathan Eovaldi

Dominant Again in Seventh Win
Tyler Reddick

Evades Near Upset to Remain Alive in In-Season Challenge
Ty Gibbs

One of Three Tylers to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinals
Kyle Larson

Curiously Mediocre at Sonoma Before Late-Race Crash
NASCAR

John H. Nemechek Edges Out Teammate to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Alex Bowman

Ty Dillon Bumps Alex Bowman to Advance to In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Chicago White Sox

Billy Carlson Goes 10th Overall to White Sox
Cincinnati Reds

Steele Hall Selected Ninth by Cincinnati
Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays Select JoJo Parker with Eighth Overall Pick
Miami Marlins

Marlins Select Aiva Arquette With Seventh Overall Pick
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pirates Select Seth Hernandez with Sixth Overall Pick
Shane Van Gisbergen

Can Anyone Beat Shane van Gisbergen at Sonoma?
Tyler Reddick

Better at Sonoma Than Record Shows
Chase Elliott

a Prime DFS Option at Sonoma
Michael McDowell

Struggling a Bit at Sonoma
NASCAR

Christopher Bell Has Never Finished Better Than Ninth at Sonoma
Ryan Blaney

Has Top-10 Upside at Sonoma
NASCAR

Sunday at Sonoma Will Likely Be a Long Race for Bubba Wallace
Kyle Larson

Is A Likely Top-Five Contender for Sonoma
Ryan Preece

Points Position Could Affect Race at Sonoma
Todd Gilliland

Struggling to Find Speed at Sonoma
Ty Gibbs

May be an Underrated Favorite to Compete for the Win at Sonoma
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF