X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

MNF NFL DFS Lineup Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings - Rams vs 49ers Showdown

Happy Monday, RotoBallers! I hope your Week 10 has been profitable so far. I personally had a great day in cash yesterday, cleaning the house on all four of the major slates. I hope to carry this momentum into tonight in what should be an exciting matchup as the Rams (7-2) try to bounce back from last week's performance as they head to San Francisco for another prime-time matchup against the 49ers (3-5). Thanks to the advanced analytics of today, I'll do my best to provide you with as much in-depth analysis as possible regarding positional matchups and the like to help put some lunch money in your pocket. Let's break it down. 

In this article I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Monday Night Football slate on November 15th. These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you have any questions you can follow me on Twitter @LucidMediaDFS and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with me and other NFL DFS analysts any time you'd like. Let's make some coin this season gang, and let's get right to it!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 30% off using code SUMMER! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

NFL DFS Captain Plays

Matthew Stafford ($16,200 DK, $17,000 FD)

Key Stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 2,771 passing yards, 23 touchdowns, six interceptions.
  • Offensive Pass DVOA: 44.8% (3rd)
  • Opposing Defense Pass DVOA: 19.1% (25th)

Luckily we get a slight discount on Stafford tonight, with Cooper Kupp being the highest-priced player on DraftKings. It's unfortunate that the Rams lost Robert Woods this week, but they made a solid addition in Odell Beckham Jr. I don't think OBJ makes a massive difference in this game tonight, but with the matchup being what it is I think it's tough to fade Stafford. He's an absolute must in optimal lineups on FD, and I'll have a decent percentage of him on DK.

Recommendation: Cash (DK/FD)

Best Correlations: Cooper Kupp, Van Jefferson, Deebo Samuel

 

George Kittle ($11,700 DK, $10,500 FD)

Key Stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 36 targets, 25 receptions, 328 yards, one touchdown.
  • 2021 Data: 92.42% target rate, 21.3% target rate, 6.25% red-zone target rate, 2 end-zone targets
  • Opposing DVOA vs TE: -21.4% (8th)
  • Individual Matchup (vs Ernest Jones): 12% target per route, 90% catch rate, 0.25 fantasy points per route.

It's been an injury-ridden year for Kittle, but boy did he come back last week with a vengeance. After he missed four consecutive weeks, he logged six receptions on eight targets for 101 yards and a touchdown against Arizona last Sunday. Out of all the Niners' pass-catchers, Kittle has the best matchup of the week. He's shown recent success against the Rams, catching 20 of 26 targets for 191 yards and two touchdowns in his last three games against them.

Recommendation: Cash (DK), GPP (FD)

Best Correlations: Jimmy Garoppolo, Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp

Other Captains: Cooper Kupp, Brandon Aiyuk

 

NFL DFS Flex Plays

Jimmy Garoppolo ($10,000 DK, $14,000 FD)

Key Stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 1,754 passing yards, eight touchdowns, five interceptions.
  • Offensive Pass DVOA: 26% (8th)
  • Opposing Defense Pass DVOA: -6.7% (5th)

This is more of a FanDuel play for me, as I really don't think Jimmy G will be optimal on DraftKings tonight. I feel like the 49ers' 26% pass DVOA is a bit misleading, considering the 49ers really try to establish and use the run to move down the field. The matchup isn't particularly great either, but it's worth noting that Garoppolo threw for 268 yards and three touchdowns against the Rams last October. Overall though, I'd rather spread my ownership around the 49ers pass catchers and use the extra salary elsewhere on DraftKings.

Recommendation: Cash (FD), GPP (DK)

Best Correlations: George Kittle, Deebo Samuel, Cooper Kupp

 

Elijah Mitchell ($6,400 DK, $11,500 FD)

Key Stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 89 attempts, 469 rushing yards, three rushing touchdowns, nine targets, nine receptions, 73 receiving yards.
  • 2021 Data: 64.82% snap rate, 57.42% attempt rate, 47.62% red-zone attempt rate, 25% attempt rate withing the 5yd line.
  • Offensive Rush DVOA: 3.5% (3rd)
  • Opposing Defense Pass DVOA: -13.5% (14th)
  • Opposing DVOA vs RB (receiving): -4.1% (18th)

I'm a bit confused as to why Mitchell is so cheap on DraftKings, but we'll take it nonetheless. He showed his versatility last week, catching five of five targets for 43 yards, but this week I would have to assume Kyle Shanahan's game plan will be to use Mitchell and the running game to control the clock and keep the ball out of Matthew Stafford's hands. We could get dumped if the game becomes too out of hand too quickly, but the upside is certainly worth the risk.

Recommendation: Cash (DK, FD), GPP (CPT, DK)

Best Correlations: Matthew Stafford, George Kittle, Robbie Gould

Other Flex Plays: Deebo Samuel, Tyler Higbee, O'dell Beckham Jr.,

NFL DFS Value Plays

Van Jefferson Jr. ($5,400 DK, $8,000 FD)

Key Stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 46 targets, 27 receptions, 433 yards, three touchdowns.
  • 2021 Data: 78.19% snap rate, 14.33% target rate, 11.94% red-zone target rate, five end-zone targets.
  • Defensive DVOA vs 'Other WR': 10.3% (25th)
  • Individual Matchup (vs Emmanuel Moseley): 19% target per route, 54% catch rate, 0.21 fantasy points per route.

I understand why Jefferson is a bit cheaper, as the news about Robert Woods's ACL injury didn't come out until Friday. Again, we'll take the value we can get on this slate, especially because I truly don't believe that OBJ will have a huge factor in this game. Robert Woods took up 21.5% of the target share, so it's not crazy to assume guys like Jefferson and Higbee will have some positive regression in the target department. While his matchup is average, it shouldn't be hard for Jefferson to hit value tonight, and he's a must-play in cash lineups on DK.

Recommendation: Cash (DK/FD)

Best Correlations: Matthew Stafford, Jimmy Garoppolo

 

Rams D/ST ($4,600 DK)

Key Stats:

  • 2021 Stats: 28 sacks, 12 interceptions, two fumble recoveries.
  • Defensive DVOA: -9.4% (9th)
  • Opposing Offense DVOA: 13.1% (7th)

I consider this more of a GPP play tonight, as I'm about 50/50 on which way this game could go. You really never know what you're going to get from San Francisco's offense, but I do think there's a very real chance that Jimmy is a dud tonight and the Rams absolutely dominate. They've been ball-hawking all season and should get some decent pressure on Garoppolo and force him to make mistakes. It's also worth that in the last two games against the Rams they've allowed 23 and 24 points.

Recommendation: GPP (DK)

Best Correlations: Darrell Henderson Jr., Matthew Stafford, Robbie Gould

Other Value Plays: Robbie Gould, Matt Gay

 

NFL DFS: Overall Slate Notes

I think this is a super interesting, yet unpredictable matchup. I think the Rams snap their four-game losing streak against San Francisco, but I also think that this should be a game that could go down the wire. All outcomes feel possible, so I'll be spreading my lineups out accordingly. Unlike last night, though, I do think this game can be a "cash" slate as well, as both offenses seem rather consolidated. I know it's somewhat "going against the grain" to play cash games in a showdown slate, but I've found myself having success over the last few years.

Have a good week everyone, good luck, and I'll talk to you again on Thursday. 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!




Win More With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Weekly DFS Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

James Conner29 mins ago

Hopes To Build On 2023 Campaign
AJ Dillon51 mins ago

Enters Training Camp On Roster Bubble
Dustin Hopkins59 mins ago

Browns, Dustin Hopkins Agree To Three-Year Extension
Taylor Moore1 hour ago

Needs To Get Off To Better Start
Keaton Mitchell2 hours ago

Placed On PUP List
Mike Trout2 hours ago

Targeting Late-July Return
Tracy Cortez3 hours ago

Suffers Her First UFC Loss
Rose Namajunas3 hours ago

Dominates Tracy Cortez
Tyler Reddick3 hours ago

Incredible Consistency Continues At Pocono
Alex Bowman3 hours ago

Captures Third Place At Pocono
Muslim Salikhov3 hours ago

Edges Out Split Decision At UFC Denver
Santiago Ponzinibbio3 hours ago

Loses Second Fight In A Row
Ange Loosa4 hours ago

Drops Decision Matchup
Gabriel Bonfim4 hours ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Denver
Brad Keselowski5 hours ago

Finishes Seventh At The Great American Getaway 400
Chris Buescher5 hours ago

Earns Spot In DraftKings Winning Lineup At Pocono
Nick Chubb6 hours ago

Making Good Progress After Knee Surgery
Joey Logano6 hours ago

Finishes Fifth At Pocono On Sunday
William Byron6 hours ago

Still Ends Up In Top Five At Pocono
Cam Whitmore10 hours ago

Continues Domination In Summer League
Julian Strawther11 hours ago

Bags 32 Points Against Raptors
Brandin Podziemski11 hours ago

Records Impressive Double-Double
Miami Marlins11 hours ago

Marlins Tab Carter Johnson With Pick No. 56
Matas Buzelis11 hours ago

Goes Off For 28 Points Versus Warriors
Minnesota Twins11 hours ago

Billy Amick Slips To Twins At Pick No. 60
Seattle Mariners11 hours ago

Ryan Sloan Slips To Mariners With 55th Pick
Craig Porter Jr.11 hours ago

Logs Full Line On Sunday
Oakland Athletics11 hours ago

Tommy White Lands With Athletics At Pick No. 40
Zaccharie Risacher11 hours ago

Struggles Versus Spurs
Michael Toglia19 hours ago

Belts Three Homers On Sunday
Lawrence Butler19 hours ago

Hits Three Homers, Drives In Six
Reed Sheppard21 hours ago

Has Another Quality Outing
Texas Rangers22 hours ago

Malcolm Moore Selected By Texas Rangers At Pick 30
Arizona Diamondbacks22 hours ago

Diamondbacks Select Slade Caldwell At Pick 29
Abdul Razak Alhassan22 hours ago

Gets a NC At UFC Denver
Cody Brundage22 hours ago

Fight Ends Early Due To Illegal Shots
Christian Rodriguez23 hours ago

Gets Submitted At UFC Denver
Julian Erosa23 hours ago

Pulls Off Upset At UFC Denver
Drew Dober23 hours ago

Suffers Stoppage Loss At UFC Denver
Drew Dober23 hours ago

Jean Silva Dominates Drew Dober At UFC Denver
Miami Marlins23 hours ago

Marlins Select PJ Morlando At Pick 16
Washington Nationals23 hours ago

Seaver King Selected With The Tenth Pick By Washington
Jordan Addison23 hours ago

Arrested On Friday Night
Pittsburgh Pirates23 hours ago

Pirates Select Konnor Griffin With Ninth Overall Pick
Caleb Williams23 hours ago

Not Involved In Contract Discussions
Los Angeles Angels24 hours ago

Christian Moore Taken By Los Angeles Angels At Pick No. 8
Tyreek Hill24 hours ago

Still Not Concerned About A New Deal
St. Louis Cardinals24 hours ago

JJ Wetherholt Goes No. 7 To St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals24 hours ago

Royals Take Jac Caglianone At Pick No. 6
Kyle Pitts24 hours ago

"Learning Basically Two Positions"
Chicago White Sox24 hours ago

White Sox Select Hagen Smith At No. 5 Overall
Oakland Athletics24 hours ago

Nick Kurtz Taken Fourth Overall By The A's
Colorado Rockies1 day ago

Charlie Condon Taken Third Overall By Colorado
Cincinnati Reds1 day ago

Chase Burns Goes Second To Cincinnati
Cleveland Guardians1 day ago

Travis Bazzana Selected First Overall
Carlos Correa1 day ago

Diagnosed With Plantar Fasciitis
Jamal Murray1 day ago

Nuggets Eager To Get Deal Done With Jamal Murray
Lonzo Ball1 day ago

"Moving Closer" To A Return
Tee Higgins1 day ago

Won't Be Extended By Monday's Deadline
NASCAR1 day ago

Bubba Wallace Is One Of The Top DFS Options For Pocono
Martin Truex Jr1 day ago

. Is A Top Favorite To Win At Pocono
Joey Logano1 day ago

Will Start 10th At Pocono This Week
Brad Keselowski1 day ago

Should Fantasy Players Roster Brad Keselowski At Pocono?
Chase Elliott1 day ago

Will Start 11th At Pocono This Week
Austin Cindric1 day ago

Is A Capable Value Pick For Pocono
William Byron1 day ago

Expect William Byron To Compete For The Win At Pocono
Denny Hamlin1 day ago

The Favorite To Win At Pocono
Tyler Reddick1 day ago

Should Be Strong At Pocono
Kyle Busch1 day ago

Is Kyle Busch Worth Consideration For DFS At Pocono?
Ty Gibbs1 day ago

Eyeing First Career Cup Series Win At Pocono
Kyle Larson1 day ago

Looking For Speed At Pocono
Brice Sensabaugh1 day ago

Doesn't Return On Saturday
Ricky Stenhouse Jr1 day ago

. A Strong DFS Play At Pocono
Cody Williams1 day ago

Notches 21 Points
Josh Berry1 day ago

Surprises with Top Five Qualifying Effort at Pocono
AJ Allmendinger1 day ago

a Sleeper Pick at Pocono
Taj Gibson1 day ago

Joining Hornets
Patrick Williams1 day ago

Should Be Ready For Camp
Adam Thielen2 days ago

Feels He Has More To Prove
DaRon Holmes II2 days ago

Suffers An Achilles Tear
Nikola Jovic2 days ago

Expected To Be Ready For Camp
Bijan Robinson2 days ago

Falcons Continue To Build Offense Around Bijan Robinson
Aaron Rodgers2 days ago

Says He Feels Good
Reed Sheppard3 days ago

Has A Solid Game On Friday
Alexandre Sarr3 days ago

Shines Defensively In Win
Zaccharie Risacher3 days ago

Leads Atlanta In Scoring Friday
Bronny James3 days ago

Struggles On Friday Night
Scotty Pippen Jr.3 days ago

Leads Memphis To A Win
Jake LaRavia3 days ago

Leads All Scorers Versus Sacramento
Jordan Love3 days ago

Shows Off Improved Footwork
Davante Adams3 days ago

Trade Rumors Resurfacing
Christiaan Bezuidenhout3 days ago

Withdraws From Genesis Scottish Open
Tracy Cortez4 days ago

Looks For 12th Victory In A Row
Rose Namajunas4 days ago

Headlines UFC Denver
Santiago Ponzinibbio4 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Denver
Muslim Salikhov4 days ago

Set To Face Santiago Ponzinibbio At UFC Denver
Gabriel Bonfim4 days ago

Looks To Get Back In Win Column
Ange Loosa4 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Denver
Cody Brundage4 days ago

An Underdog Again At UFC Denver
Abdul Razak Alhassan4 days ago

Looks To Return To Win Column At UFC Denver
Julian Erosa4 days ago

A Big Underdog At UFC Denver
Davante Adams4 days ago

Believes Aidan O'Connell Is The Starter
Tennessee Titans4 days ago

Jamal Adams Signing With Titans
Viktor Hovland5 days ago

Multiple Chips Off The Old Block
PGA5 days ago

Byeong Hun An Seeking First PGA Tour Win At Scottish Open
Si Woo Kim5 days ago

Looking To Contend At Scottish Open
Corey Conners5 days ago

In Top Form Heading To The Renaissance Club
Mackenzie Hughes5 days ago

Needs The Scottish Winds To Blow
Aaron Rai5 days ago

Has Found His Putter
Nicolai Hojgaard5 days ago

Looking To Break Poor Form Back In Europe
Matt Fitzpatrick5 days ago

A Volatile Option
Jordan Spieth5 days ago

A Risky Play Despite Links History
Ludvig Aberg5 days ago

Seeking Second Tour Victory At Scottish Open
Max Homa5 days ago

Seeking A Return To Form In North Berwick
Adam Scott5 days ago

A Safe Option At The Scottish Open
Cam Davis5 days ago

Tough To Trust At Scottish Open
Dak Prescott5 days ago

Cowboys Have Had Extension Talks
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
C.J. Stroud - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Top Candidates To Dethrone Josh Allen As The QB1 In Dynasty Fantasy Football

Dynasty fantasy football has become more popular over the past decade. While having an elite quarterback is more important in the NFL than fantasy football, it’s nice to have one of the top passers in the game. Josh Allen has been the QB1 in dynasty leagues for the past few years. However, his time as... Read More


Trey McBride - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers, Tight End

Top Candidates To Dethrone Sam LaPorta As The TE1 In Dynasty Fantasy Football

While fantasy players still love redraft leagues, dynasty fantasy football has become a massive part of the community. Travis Kelce has been the TE1 in dynasty leagues for the past several years. However, that title now belongs to Sam LaPorta. Last season, the former Iowa star was the TE1, averaging 11.5 half-point PPR fantasy points... Read More


Ja'Marr Chase - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS and Betting Picks

Top 400: Updated PPR Fantasy Football Rankings (2024)

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to some more of our freshly-updated fantasy football rankings to prepare for 2024 drafts! It's an exciting time for football fans as players will report to training camp next week, and we will have preseason games shortly after. The heart of the fantasy football season is here! Today we’ll be taking a... Read More


Bijan Robinson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

Top Fantasy Football Dynasty Players For Each Team: NFC South

It’s time to break down the top dynasty players in the NFC South. In this series, I am breaking down the teams by division and selecting who I believe is the most valuable dynasty fantasy player on each roster. It seems like forever since Tom Brady, Matt Ryan, and Drew Brees were keeping this division... Read More


CeeDee Lamb - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Targets, NFL Injury News

Dallas Cowboys 2024 Fantasy Football Team Preview - QB, RB, WR, TE Outlooks

Welcome to my 2024 fantasy football preview for the Dallas Cowboys as part of my team-by-team fantasy football outlooks series. This new 32-part series will dissect each NFL team through a fantasy football lens. We'll look at each of the four primary positions—quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end—and identify each player's value at... Read More


Jaleel McLaughlin - Fantasy Football Rankings, DFS and Betting Picks, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Best Ball Sleepers: Who To Target After Round 10

The 2024 NFL regular season is still a few months away. While redraft leagues won’t start drafting until mid-August, July is the perfect time for a best ball draft. There are a few differences between a redraft league and a best ball draft. Unlike redraft leagues, fantasy players don’t set their lineup or make weekly... Read More


Kyler Murray - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Five Quarterbacks Set To Outperform Their ADP In 2024 Fantasy Football Leagues

Quarterback is arguably the most important position in all of professional sports. If a team can find a stud quarterback, it makes their life much easier. This applies to fantasy football managers and their teams as well. While paying up for quarterback is a necessity in the NFL, it’s not always the most prudent approach... Read More


Tee Higgins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Fantasy Football Bounce-Back Candidates To Target In FFPC Best Ball Drafts

Disappointment is unfortunately a large part of fantasy football. Despite the best research and intentions, we are all wrong on many players after the draft season is over and the cleats are laced up for real games. Consider Austin Ekeler in 2023. He was drafted fifth overall in most formats, but finished the year as... Read More


MIles Garrett - Fantasy Football Defense Rankings, D/ST Streamers, Waiver Wire, IDP Pickups

Fantasy Football Defense Rankings (D/ST)

    Fantasy Football Rankings by NFL Position ALL - QB - RB - WR - TE - DEF   Defense (D/ST) Rankings Articles On this page you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings for team defenses (D/ST) and the NFL season. All of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings analysis, advice and articles related to the defense position appear here. Our fantasy football rankings articles include analysis on numerous league... Read More


Sam LaPorta - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Tight End Rankings (TE)

    Fantasy Football Rankings by NFL Position ALL - QB - RB - WR - TE - DEF   Tight End (TE) Rankings Articles On this page you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings for tight ends (TE) and the NFL season. All of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings analysis, advice and articles related to the tight end position appear here. Our fantasy football rankings articles include analysis on... Read More


Jared Goff - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Players To Target And Avoid – NFC North

The 2024 NFL regular season is still a few months away. However, the Scott Fish Bowl is underway, meaning it’s officially redraft fantasy football season. While most redraft leagues won’t kick off until mid-August, it’s never too early to prepare. Fantasy players can build a winning roster in multiple ways. Your draft strategy could change... Read More


Will Levis - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

2024 Fantasy Football Draft Sleepers List by Nick Mariano

This premium article is part of our 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit and a free sample of the expert analysis loaded up in RotoBaller's Draft Kit. Enjoy this premium article for free for a limited time. All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Sleeper remains a mythical word that can mean... Read More


Sam LaPorta - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Early-Round Overvalued Draft Picks for QB, RB, WR, TE (Premium Content)

This premium article is part of our 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit and a free sample of the expert analysis loaded up in RotoBaller's Draft Kit. Enjoy this premium article for free for a limited time. All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. While writing about sleepers and positive outcomes is... Read More