X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

MNF NFL DFS Lineup Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings - Bills vs Titans Showdown

dawson knox fantasy football rankings NFL DFS lineup picks

Happy Monday RotoBallers! I hope your Week Six has been profitable so far. I had a solid day yesterday, once again sweeping the day in cash across the four major slates. Tonight we head to Tennessee as the Bills (4-1) come into town to take on the 3-2 Titans. Bookmakers have Tennessee favored at 5.5 points in this one, with the total sitting at 53.5. It doesn't appear that we should have any weather issues like last night, as the forecast is clear with the chance of rain at 0% throughout the game. Thanks to the advanced analytics of today, I'll do my best to provide you with as much in-depth analysis as possible regarding positional matchups and the like to help put some lunch money in your pocket. Let's break it down. 

In this article I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Monday Night Football slate on October 18th. These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you have any questions you can follow me on Twitter @LucidMediaDFS and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with me and other NFL DFS analysts any time you'd like. Let's make some coin this season gang, and let's get right to it!

Featured Promo: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off and win big in 2023. Exclusive access to our Premium articles, 15 lineup tools, new Team Sync platform, Lineup Optimizer, Premium DFS tools and cheat sheets, and much more! Sign Up Now!

 

NFL DFS Captain Plays

Josh Allen ($19,200 DK, $17,000 FD)

No surprise here, as Josh Allen is starting to hit his stride after a relatively rocky start to the 2021 season. Through five games, Allen has posted a 62.3% completion percentage as well as 1,370 yards, 12 touchdowns to just two interceptions. He matches up well with Tennessee, who comes into this one with a 22.7% DVOA against the pass, which ranks 25th in the NFL. Allen's been getting it done with his legs also, logging 188 yards and two rushing touchdowns so far this season. The Titans have quarterbacks to run for 62 yards and two touchdowns this season, so it's not far-fetched to say that Allen could find the end zone with his legs tonight. He'll be my highest-owned captain/MVP tonight, and I'll likely have him in the 1.5x spot in over 50% of my lineups.

Emmanuel Sanders ($14,700 DK, $10,000 FD)

I choose Sanders over Diggs here specifically for DraftKings. I think Diggs has the better night, but with such a top-heavy showdown slate, you'll need a lower-priced value option at the captain spot in some lineups. It's not like Sanders has lacked production either, catching 19 of 31 targets for 322 yards and four touchdowns to start the season. His fantasy production is more-or-less touchdown-dependent, but he did log 13.1 DK points in week four without catching a touchdown. He draws a solid matchup tonight as well, as the Titans have a DVOA of 37.7% against 'WR2s', which ranks 26th in the league. I love Sanders's upside and will have a bit of him at captain tonight, as it allows me to get all the higher-priced guys I want.

 Other Captains: Stefon Diggs, Derrick Henry

 

NFL DFS Flex Plays

AJ Brown ($7,800 DK, $11,500 FD)

As long as he plays and is at or close to 100%, I'm a fan of A.J. Brown tonight. He's had a slow start to the season for sure, logging just 10 of 25 targets for 130 yards and just one touchdown. He's been slowed down by nagging injuries and is now questionable as I'm writing this with an illness. If he ends up being ruled out I have no problem making the quick pivot to Julio Jones, but I like Brown's matchup tonight. While the Bills' defense is elite, Brown gets a good matchup against Levi Wallace, who allows a 54% catch rate and 0.22 fantasy points per route, per PFF. Since I suspect Tre'Davius White to move around and cover both Brown and Jones, I'll make sure to have shares of both.

Dawson Knox ($7,600 DK, $9,000 FD)

Dawson Knox has absolutely come alive this season, catching 18 passes on 24 targets for 261 yards and a whopping five touchdowns so far this year. While his price has (rightfully) exploded for his production, there's no reason not to be on the train tonight. He draws a solid matchup tonight against the Titans, who have allowed 123 yards and a touchdown on 13 catches to the tight end position this season. While these numbers are relatively low, the only "solid" tight end the Titans have faced this season was Dan Arnold, who logged six catches on eight targets for 64 yards last week. Rashaan Evans will likely be covering Knox on the inside, and he's allowed a 75% catch rate, and receivers are averaging 0.88 yards per route he covers. I think Knox's price is too high to consider him in a TON of my lineups, but he'll be in quite a few.

Other Flex Plays: Ryan Tannehill, Julio Jones

 

NFL DFS Value Plays

Cole Beasley ($5,400 DK, $7,500 FD)

Beasley has slowed down since week three, catching just three passes on four targets for 22 yards since then. We'll need value in this one, though, and Beasley can be just that for us. He has a great matchup against Tennessee and specifically against Chris Jackson who will likely be lined up across from him in the slot. Jackson has allowed an 82% catch percentage and 0.88 yards per route covered and 0.18 fantasy points per route. I'll have a decent amount of him tonight so I can pay up for the big boys.

Tyler Bass ($3,600 DK, $9,000 FD)

Tyler Bass has quietly been one of the best kickers in the league over the last two years. So far this season, he's knocked down 11 of 12 field goals, all within 50 yards. The Titans have allowed just seven field goals in five games this season, so I do think his upside is limited. However, I expect the Bills to put up a bunch of points one way or the other and Bass hasn't missed an extra point this season, so I think he is a viable value play that allows more freedom in roster construction. 

Other Value Plays: Marcus Johnson, Randy Bullock, Bills D/ST

 

OVERALL SLATE NOTE: While this isn't necessarily a "tight player pool" type of slate, I believe it does heavily favor Buffalo from a fantasy player perspective. I'll likely have a lot of 4-2 and 4-1 Buffalo lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel respectively, as well as mixing in some 5-1 Buffalo lineups on DK. While I didn't write him up in full, I believe Marcus Johnson is the best punt on the slate, especially now with A.J. Brown's uncertainty. I'll make sure to have my Derrick Henry hedge lineups, but between game-script and the strength of Buffalo's defense, I won't be as high on him as I would in a more even matchup. I'll probably go lighter on this slate than most, but I still think there's money to be made here.

Have a good Monday everyone, see you on Thursday. 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!




Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Weekly DFS Analysis




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Daniel Bard6 hours ago

Still Off Monday
Blake Sabol6 hours ago

Made "Fantastic Impression" This Spring
Anthony Rendon6 hours ago

On Fire This Spring
Tyler Anderson7 hours ago

Wraps Up Strong Spring Monday
Miguel Rojas7 hours ago

' Two-Strike Approach Leading To Success
Akil Baddoo7 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A Toledo Monday
Zach McKinstry7 hours ago

Tigers Acquire Zach McKinstry Monday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander8 hours ago

Questionable Versus Charlotte
Ja Morant8 hours ago

Doubtful Versus Orlando
Terry Rozier8 hours ago

Out Again On Tuesday Evening
Gordon Hayward8 hours ago

Unlikely To Play Against OKC
Daniel Gafford9 hours ago

Dealing With A Sore Foot
Kyle Palmieri9 hours ago

Records Three Points Monday
Monte Morris9 hours ago

Uncertain For Tuesday Night
Kyle Kuzma9 hours ago

Remains Out Versus Boston
Triston McKenzie9 hours ago

Could Be Out Up To Eight Weeks
Gustav Forsling9 hours ago

Scores Twice Despite Florida Loss
Bradley Beal9 hours ago

Sidelined Again On Tuesday
Nico Hoerner9 hours ago

Cubs, Nico Hoerner Agree On Three-Year Extension
Brady Tkachuk9 hours ago

Logs Two Points In Ottawa Win
New England Patriots9 hours ago

Jerod Mayo To Be Bill Belichick's Successor?
Buffalo Bills9 hours ago

Taylor Rapp Signs One-Year Deal With Bills
Jarrett Stidham10 hours ago

Broncos Think Jarrett Stidham Has Starting Potential
Gardner Minshew10 hours ago

To Compete For Starting Job
Mac Jones10 hours ago

Not Guaranteed To Start In 2023
Samaje Perine10 hours ago

Could Fill In As Starter
Justin Herbert10 hours ago

Chargers Confident They'll Keep Justin Herbert Long Term
Joe Musgrove11 hours ago

Throws In B Game Monday
Michael Brantley11 hours ago

Timeline Moved Back
Jose Altuve11 hours ago

Could Go On 60-Day Injured List
Christopher Morel11 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Ezekiel Elliott11 hours ago

Cowboys Open To Re-Signing Ezekiel Elliott
Rashod Bateman11 hours ago

Will Be Running In Three Weeks
Odell Beckham Jr.12 hours ago

Giants Open To Reunion With Odell Beckham Jr.
Saquon Barkley12 hours ago

Giants Hopeful Of Long-Term Extension With Saquon Barkley
Lamar Jackson12 hours ago

Commanders Won't Pursue Lamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson12 hours ago

Colts Pursuing Lamar Jackson?
Aaron Rodgers12 hours ago

No Timeline On Aaron Rodgers Trade
Jalen Hurts12 hours ago

Eagles Want To Get Extension Done With Jalen Hurts Soon
Fernando Tatis Jr.12 hours ago

Could Serve As Leadoff Man
Maxi Kleber12 hours ago

Questionable On Monday
Jrue Holiday12 hours ago

Ruled Out Monday
Logan O'Hoppe12 hours ago

Makes Opening Day Roster
Max Stassi13 hours ago

Jared Walsh, Max Stassi Opening On The Injured List
Marcus Morris13 hours ago

Sr. Sitting Out On Monday
Trevor May13 hours ago

Jeurys Familia, Dany Jimenez Options For Saves
Karl-Anthony Towns13 hours ago

To Sit Out On Monday
Triston McKenzie13 hours ago

Undergoes MRI Exam
Tyrese Haliburton13 hours ago

Won't Play On Monday
Myles Turner13 hours ago

Unavailable On Monday
Kyle Wright13 hours ago

Officially Placed On Injured List
Brice Turang13 hours ago

Makes Opening Day Roster
Chad Pinder13 hours ago

Signs Minor-League Deal With Nationals
Reilly Smith13 hours ago

Ruled Out For At Least Three Games
Erik Gudbranson13 hours ago

Won't Return This Season
Todd Gilliland13 hours ago

Impressive At COTA
Ville Husso13 hours ago

Could Be Done For The Season
Ty Gibbs14 hours ago

Finds His Footing At COTA
Robby Fabbri14 hours ago

Likely Finished For The Season
Detroit Lions14 hours ago

Calais Campbell To Meet With Lions
Troy Terry14 hours ago

Sits Out Monday's Game
Chris Buescher14 hours ago

Continues To Shine On Road Courses
Bryan Edwards14 hours ago

Joins Saints
Frank Vatrano14 hours ago

Returns To Ducks Lineup
NASCAR14 hours ago

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Finishes Seventh
DeAndre Hopkins14 hours ago

Deandre Hopkins Granted Permission To Seek Trade
Tage Thompson14 hours ago

A Game-Time Call For Monday
Brandon Aiyuk14 hours ago

49ers Planning To Exercise Brandon Aiyuk's Option
Brock Purdy14 hours ago

Viewed As Starter
Austin Cindric14 hours ago

Has A Solid Day
Lamar Jackson14 hours ago

Requests Trade
Jonas Johansson15 hours ago

Tends Twine Monday In Anaheim
Sergei Bobrovsky15 hours ago

In Goal Monday Against Ottawa
Ilya Sorokin15 hours ago

Starting Monday
John Gibson15 hours ago

Minds The Crease For Ducks Monday
Marc-Andre Fleury15 hours ago

Protects The Crease Versus Seattle
Buddy Hield16 hours ago

Listed As Out For Monday
Jake Allen16 hours ago

Between The Pipes Against Buffalo
Luka Doncic16 hours ago

Available On Monday
Giannis Antetokounmpo16 hours ago

To Sit Out On Monday
De'Aaron Fox16 hours ago

Available On Monday
Joel Embiid16 hours ago

Won't Suit Up Versus Nuggets
James Harden16 hours ago

On Track To Play Monday
Marlon Vera19 hours ago

Has Four-Fight Winning Streak Snapped
Cory Sandhagen19 hours ago

Dominates Striking Department
Yana Santos19 hours ago

Dominated In Decision Loss
Holly Holm19 hours ago

Dominates In Co-Main Event
Austin Lingo19 hours ago

Suffers Submission Loss
Nate Landwehr19 hours ago

Shines With Second-Round Submission Win
Andrea Lee19 hours ago

Suffers Defeat In Close Matchup Saturday
Maycee Barber19 hours ago

Takes Close Matchup On Saturday
Chidi Njokuani19 hours ago

Takes Close Loss In Split-Decision Showing
Albert Duraev19 hours ago

Holds Off Opponent In Tight Split Decision
Mikal Bridges21 hours ago

Goes Off For 44 Points Sunday
Viktor Arvidsson22 hours ago

Continues Scoring Surge Versus Blues
Tyson Barrie22 hours ago

Stays Hot With Two Points
William Byron22 hours ago

Rounds Out Top Five At COTA
John Tavares22 hours ago

Has A Three-Point Night Versus Nashville
Ross Chastain22 hours ago

Caught Up To Fourth At COTA On Sunday
Clayton Keller23 hours ago

Stretches Point Streak To 12 Games
Alex Bowman23 hours ago

Brings Home Third Place Finish At COTA
Kyle Busch23 hours ago

Scrambles Up To Second At Austin
Mikko Rantanen23 hours ago

Adds Two Points To His Tally
Tyler Reddick23 hours ago

Dominates And Wins At COTA
Jordan Taylor3 days ago

Making NASCAR Debut At COTA, Will Start 4th
Austin Cindric3 days ago

Excited To Showcase Speed At COTA This Weekend
Austin Dillon3 days ago

Starts 28th At COTA For Sunday
Ricky Stenhouse Jr3 days ago

. In Middle Of Pack For COTA
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

Rough Patch In Qualifying On Saturday
Kyle Busch3 days ago

Starts Ninth For COTA Race On Sunday
Kyle Larson3 days ago

Could Be A Wildcard On Sunday
Noah Gragson3 days ago

Finds Way To Qualify 10th At COTA
Brad Keselowski3 days ago

A Few Seconds Off the COTA Pace
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

Begins 38th For Sunday's Race At COTA
Chase Briscoe3 days ago

Just A Little Off At COTA On Saturday
Cory Sandhagen4 days ago

Can Earn Back-To-Back Victories
Marlon Vera4 days ago

Finds Himself In Main-Event Spotlight Saturday
Yana Santos4 days ago

Looking For Biggest UFC Win Of Her Career
Holly Holm4 days ago

Seeking First Victory Since 2020
Austin Lingo4 days ago

On Verge Of Three-Fight Winning Streak
Nate Landwehr4 days ago

Hoping For Third Straight Strong Performance
Maycee Barber5 days ago

Can Continue Her Flyweight Ascent
Andrea Lee5 days ago

In Need Of Victory To Keep Momentum Going
MMA5 days ago

Manel Kape On The Hunt For Fourth Straight Victory Saturday
Alex Perez5 days ago

Seeking First Victory Since 2020
Albert Duraev5 days ago

Can Rebound With A Victory
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF