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Nolan's expert League of Legends (LoL) DFS advice and DraftKings, FanDuel lineup picks for LEC on 7/15/22. His top LoL value plays and eSports DFS recommendations.
Welcome back to another League of Legends DFS fantasy slate! We are now onto week 4 of the LEC summer split after a one-week hiatus with plenty of exciting matchups ahead.
I'll provide my League of Legends DFS advice, analysis, and lineup picks for this LEC slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that locks at 12:00 PM EST on Friday, July 15th, 2022. If you have any questions about the slate or anything please reach out to me on Twitter @nolanroth10. I'll do my best to provide some useful analysis, and the odds listed are from Pinnacle. Let's jump right into the matchups, and good luck RotoBallers.
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LEC Matches
XL (-360) vs. AST (+250)
XL is tied with FNC and RGE for first place with a record of 5-2. AST on the other hand sits just outside a playoff spot with a record of 3-4. XL has been the biggest surprise for me this split. I expected them to be one of the better teams but I didn't expect them to come out of the gate looking as good as they have.
XL as a team has the second most kills in the league, while also having the lowest death count. I like XL to take this one and they are one of the teams I will be looking to target on this slate. Patrik and Markoon both sit above 30% KS and Mikyx leads the team with a 74% KP. Top laner Finn has been given the counter pick in 6 of 7 games so far but has only translated that into 57% KP and 14% KS. I will be fading him in this one.
Top XL plays:Patrik, Markoon, Mikyx, Nukeduck
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BDS (+365) vs. MAD (-600)
This should be a pretty easy victory for MAD. These two teams are at opposite ends of the spectrum with MAD one game out of first and BDS tied with SK for last place. Nothing I have seen from BDS has given me any hope that they will be able to turn the split around and MAD simply outclass them in every lane. Both teams sit in the bottom half of the league in terms of CKPM (combined kills per minute) which means we could see a lower overall kill total in this one. With that being said there are still a few MAD players worth taking a look at.
Unforgiven has a 34% KS which is 13% higher than his next teammate. He also leads the team in gold share meaning MAD has made Unforgiven a focus this split. Nisqy leads the team in KS at 74% which is quite impressive for a mid laner, his kill totals have been down but with how involved he has been a pop-off game is coming and we will exposure when to him when it does.
Top MAD plays: Unforgiven, Nisqy, Elyoya, Kaiser
MSF (+178) vs. FNC (-240)
FNC is my favorite team to stack on this slate, MSF has 16 more deaths than the next closest team and also has the highest CKPM. MSF has started to turn their split around after an 0-3 first weekend, winning 3 of the next 4 but they haven't shown anything that makes me think they can hang with FNC. If playing the upset angle I would lean towards Vetheo, Neon, and Mersa as my core 3.
FNC come in tied for first and dismantled G2 in their last match. They have an extremely talented roster and look like they have finally put it all together this split. Upset and Razork have been the kill threats so far with Humanoid playing more of a support mid-lane role. I like Wunder in this matchup against Irrelevant and we should see him improve on his 19% KS.
Top MSF plays: Vetheo, Neon, Mersa
Top FNC plays: Upset, Razork, Wunder, Hylissang, Humanoid
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SK (+460) vs. G2 (-800)
G2 dropped both games in week 3, a game against SK is just what they want to see as they look to get back into the win collum. SK has an average gold difference of -1900 at the 15-minute mark and has only been able to find 38 kills in 7 games this split. I can see taking some long shots on SK in large GPP's hoping for no ownership, but I don't see a way G2 drops this one.
It has been the Caps show for G2 this split and he looks to have claimed his spot as the best player in the LEC. We had seen some down splits from him but he has found his groove again. BrokenBlade is an easy choice in the top lane as G2 more than any other team is willing to put him on carry champs and play through the top side. Everyone on G2 is in play here.
Top G2 plays: Caps, BrokenBlade, Targamas, Jankos, Flakked
VIT (+151) vs. RGE (-190)
The last game of the slate is the closest game based on betting odds. This slate on paper should be dominated by the favorites but in best of ones, anything can happen. I have not been a fan of this VIT team and what was supposed to be a super team just one split ago is now clinging to the bottom tier of playoff spots. I don't love this game from a DFS perspective on either side but RGE is where I would look for exposure to this game.
On the VIT side, I would look toward Haru and Perkz who are second and third in KP% and first and second KS% wise. Labrov leads the team with an 80% KP but I don't see VIT racking up kills in this one.
For RGE Comp and Larssen are the clear top choices when looking to rack up kills. Trymbi's KP numbers are surprisingly low but I expect to see them in the mid to low 70s by end of the split. Odoamne went the first 3 games without getting a kill but has now racked up 18 in his last 4.
Top VIT plays: Haru, Labrov, Perkz
Top RGE plays: Comp, Larssen, Trymbi
Summary
- GPP Stacks: FNC/XL/MAD - MSF&SK worth a few shots in large fields
- Cash Stacks: G2/FNC/XL
Good luck tomorrow RotoBallers!
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