RADIO
Aaron Radziucz's League of Leagues (LoL) analysis and LCS DFS lineup picks for FanDuel, DraftKings on 6/27/20. He discusses the LC LoL slate and his top targets for cash games and GPPs.
Hello there, LoL enthusiasts, and welcome back to RotoBaller's coverage of LCS for the Summer split on FanDuel and DraftKings.
Both favorites won last night, though CLG and TL kept both matches close until the late game. It’s a four-game slate today with some good matchups. I think ownership will be pretty spread out so having the right stacks will be more important than ever.
Today I'll be bringing you my League of Legends advice, analysis, and picks, for the four-game LCS slate on FanDuel and DraftKings that locks on Saturday, June 27th, at 4:00 PM. Feel free to follow me on Twitter @Governor98. Thanks for reading, now let's get to the strategy and picks!
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League of Legends DFS Basics
Since LCS contests are being offered on both FanDuel and DraftKings, it's important to note some pricing discrepancies from site to site, but the roster slots, scoring, and roster construction rules are almost entirely identical with the only exception being that FanDuel forces you to roster at least one player (or team slot) from a third team, while you can play only two teams among your seven roster slots on DraftKings.
- Stacking in LoL DFS lineups is very important. 4-3 stacks are the order of the day (on DraftKings) with 3-3-1 becoming more popular (and necessary on FanDuel) as people try to differentiate their lineups in these suddenly large-field GPPs.
- In LoL DFS, it is very important to focus on players from winning teams. Think in terms of baseball, one side of the matchup is like a pitcher and the other side the batter. This means there is a very negative correlation between teams in the same match. Players score by accumulating kills, which costs the other side points in deaths. Just like earned runs bring down your pitcher’s score.
- Along with this another mistake I see beginners making is trusting average scoring. Players' scoring potential is only realized in games that are won. If player X averages 50 DKP, that likely comes from scoring 70 in a 2-0 win and 30 in an 0-2 defeat. What this means is that someone who looks like a value at $4800 suddenly might not end up being such a great point-per-dollar play.
- Finally, you're going to want to do your best you fill your captain slot with an ADC or MID. Depending on which teams and players you decide to stack that might not be feasible. The order of preference for your captain slot is generally ADC, MID, JNG, TOP, SUP. Some players in some positions may stand out above the others so consider stats like kill share before you make your final decision.
Game 1: 100 Thieves (-155) vs. Counter Logic Gaming
CLG lost last night to FLY but I actually am leaning towards playing them here versus 100T. My first instinct was to try and capitalize on the recency bias and try and play a low owned CLG here. Pobeltor is a rock in the middle of CLG's team and is going against 100T's worst laner in Ryoma. Ruin has been playing decently as of late but has to go up against Ssumday who's a monster and the bot lanes are about equal all things considered. It's going to depend a lot on draft but I tend to lean CLG (which I assume is contrarian).
Top CLG plays:
- Pobeltor, Stixxay, Wiggly, Ruin, Smoothie,
Top 100T plays:
- CodySun, Ssumday
Game 2: TSM vs. EG (-215)
Here’s another really interesting matchup on paper. Both of these teams are towards the upper end of the standings and in any version of the LCS without C9 these are two top title contenders. TSM has beaten the teams they have supposed to and lost to some in the same bracket as them. It will again be interesting to see their drafts, as that is what has plagued them to begin the season. If TSM wins I'd expect a big game from BrokenBlade. He's been quiet so far this split but he has the biggest lane mismatch within this matchup. If EG win I'd expect Jizuke and Bang to have good showings.
Top TSM plays:
- BrokenBlade, Bjergsen, Doublelift,
Top EG plays:
- Bang, Jizuke, Svenskeren,
Game 3: TL (-475) vs. DIG
Here comes the chalk! I expect TL to be the highest owned team by far on the slate as they've had a strong start to the season and DIG has done the opposite of that. Lourlo is starting in the top lane for DIg in replace of V1per. Lourlo is fine but won't change the outcome of this one, I like TL handily here. Tactical should be in for a huge game as he has a KP of 77%. TL plays through tactical and allows him to carry games in the later stages of the game so this a great spot for him.
Top TL plays:
- Tactical, Jensen, CoreJJ, Broxah, TL team
Game 4: GGS(-215) vs. IMT
IMT is a total mess right now. To start the season they benched 2/5 starters, fired the coach and now it has been announced that they will start an academy ADC this week. We are only a third of the way through the season, it really can't get much worse than this. With that being said I really don't know how IMT plans on winning a game this split. I don't have confidence that they can close a game let alone get a lead in the early game. Stay away from IMT until they show you otherwise.
Top DIG plays:
- CLoser, Damonte, Hauntzer, FBI, Huhi, GGS Team.
Summary:
- Favorite stacks: TL, GGS
- My underdog special is CLG > 100T.
- Players are listed in the order that I prefer playing them.
On that note, if anyone has any questions or needs some suggestions, feel free to @ me in the Slack.
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