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Free NBA Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (12/5/22)

Thunder Dan's top NBA betting picks and best bets for today's NBA games on 12/5/22. His free picks against the spread, teasers, parlays, and NBA player props.

After a fairly successful weekend of wagering on the NFL (which hasn't been all that easy this year), I'm ready to slide back over to covering the NBA today for this solid eight-game slate of action. I am going with a relatively small card here on this smaller slate as there are only a few spots that really jump out at me once I finished crunching the numbers.

If you love data and player props, then consider subscribing to my sports betting substack here as I put out something each evening Monday through Friday, too. But for now, I am just tackling game totals and sides.

In this article, I'll be providing my favorite picks against the spread, game totals, parlays, and teasers for NBA games that tip-off at 7:00 PM EST on Monday, December 5.

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Thunder Dan's NBA Best Bets

  • 2022-2023 Overall Record: 48-59
  • Against the Spread: 23-27
  • Game/Team Totals: 7-14
  • Moneyline Parlay: 6-12
  • Teasers: 12-5

 

NBA Betting Picks: Against the Spread

Boston Celtics (-1.5) @ Toronto Raptors (227.5 total)

Boston let me down on Friday, but I probably should have seen it coming with Miami getting Jimmy Butler back and Jayson Tatum playing out of his mind so many nights in a row that he was bound for a reality check. But Boston is still, in my mind, the best team in the NBA based on how they've played so far this season, and all the data backs that up, too.

Toronto is finally getting healthy with Pascal Siakam back in the lineup and they are never a team that I want to underestimate by any means. But I don't think they're in the same league as Boston, especially with Fred Van Vleet really struggling with his game recently.

I have Boston projected to win here by 4-5 points, making them an easy bet for me. This is the first time these teams have met so we should get a better idea of just how close they are after this one, but I think Boston has some separation from most of the rest of the field (other than maybe Milwaukee, Cleveland, and a healthy Philly) in the East.

Let's go Green...

The Pick: Celtics -1.5 (-110)

 

Phoenix Suns (+3) @ Dallas Mavericks (222 total)

I am a bit baffled here as to why the Suns are underdogs. Yes, the Mavericks were the team to bounce them in the playoffs last year and did beat them earlier in the season. But these teams have been trending in very different directions over the last few weeks, with Phoenix winning seven of their last eight (their only blemish being a one-point loss to Houston last Friday) and the Mavericks having lost five of their last seven.

I will give Dallas some credit, though, those two wins include a win over the Warriors and they debunked the myth that they can't win on the road by pounding the Knicks by 20 on Saturday.

Still, Phoenix is better at every position that Luka Doncic doesn't play and Chris Paul hasn't been ruled out of this game yet. The Mavericks haven't been all that good at home ATS, either, as they rank dead last with a 3-8-1 record.

I like Phoenix to win, but I also think Luka is a magician who can pull off miracles on any given night, so I am sticking with the spread here and taking the points.

The Pick: Suns +3 (-110)

 

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NBA Betting Picks: Totals

OKC Thunder (+6) @ Atlanta Hawks (232 total)

This should be a fun game tonight between two teams that like to push the pace. I have it projected as the second-fastest game behind only Indiana-Golden State. The Thunder have been a nice surprise this season and I was tempted to take them with the points here, but with Trae Young returning to the lineup for the Hawks, I will pass (though they are going in the teaser).

Both teams have been great at hitting overs this season, with OKC having the best record in the NBA at 16-7 and a massive +9 point differential. Atlanta is 13-10 on overs, too, giving me some confidence that they'll do their part to play fast and loose, too. I know 232 seems like a high total (and it is), but it's definitely a manageable one here for these teams and I think the fact that it should be a competitive game (I'd be really surprised if OKC was blown out) only helps our cause as well.

I am going with the over here and let's hope that both of these teams continue to play fast and efficient basketball on offense.

The Pick: OVER 232 (-110), playable up to 234.5

 

NBA Betting Picks: Parlays and Teasers

I usually do a money line favorite parlay on bigger slates and then one teaser bet as well (usually a lot of underdogs, but not always).

Just know the risks involved with parlaying bets, we are increasing our potential payouts but adding more risk to every bet with every outcome that we include.

Favorite Moneyline Parlay:  GSW + MIL + PHI = (+100 DraftKings)

4-point Underdog Teaser: PHO +7, OKC +10  = (-110 DraftKings)

 

I usually post all my favorite props in our RotoBaller Discord on a nightly basis - if you're not a premium member for NBA content you can change that by signing up here!

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Travis Etienne Jr.

Needs to Bounce Back in 2025
Wan'Dale Robinson

Wants More Downfield Opportunities this Season
Quinshon Judkins

Arrested on Saturday for Battery and Domestic Violence
Terry McLaurin

Could be a Holdout at Training Camp
Roger McCreary

a Candidate for a Contract Extension?
Max Fried

Exits Start With Blister
Mike Evans

Buccaneers Could Have Difficult Time Retaining Mike Evans
Charles Cross

Could Sign Extension Before Training Camp
Xavier Restrepo

One to Watch Going into Training Camp
Calvin Ridley

Appears Re-Energized
Mark Andrews

Still a Key Piece in Ravens Offense
Ndamukong Suh

Officially Announces his Retirement
Jaylen Waddle

Motivated After Disappointing Season
Tre Harris

Still Unsigned
Hunter Dobbins

to Miss Rest of Season With Torn ACL
Nolan Arenado

Held Out of Lineup on Saturday
Alexandre Sarr

Plays Well in Summer League Loss to Phoenix
Yang Hansen

Looks Good on Friday Night
Carlos Correa

Sitting on Saturday
Austin Riley

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Nolan Arenado

Exits Friday's Contest With Sprained Finger
Jake Burger

Expects to Play on Saturday
Erik Karlsson

Open to Move Away From Pittsburgh
Zach Hyman

Hopes to be Ready for Start of Next Season
SJ

Jeff Skinner Joins Sharks on One-Year Contract
Wyatt Langford

Records Four-Hit Night
Cal Raleigh

Homers Twice, Drives in Five
Cody Bellinger

Swats Three Homers in Victory
Jake Burger

Leaves With Quad Discomfort on Friday
Carlos Correa

Exits Game With Mild Ankle Sprain
Edward Cabrera

Dealing with Posterior Elbow Discomfort
Austin Riley

Leaves Game Early on Friday With Abdominal Tightness
Kon Knueppel

Struggles in Summer League Win
Rafael Devers

Dealing With Back Inflammation
Walter Clayton Jr.

Plays Well on Friday Night
Cody Williams

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Leads the Way on Friday Night
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Returning on Friday
Sauce Gardner

Wants to be Highest-Paid Cornerback
Rhamondre Stevenson

Heading into an Important Season
Minnesota Vikings

Josh Metellus, Vikings Have Mutual Interest in Extension
Tua Tagovailoa

2025 Could be Tua Tagovailoa's Last Season in Miami
Rashawn Slater

has "Full Confidence" a Deal Will Get Done
Byron Buxton

Returns on Friday
Isaiah Jackson

Signs Three-Year Extension
Jake Meyers

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Calf Strain
Brandon Lowe

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Oblique Tightness
Kodai Senga

Reinstated to Start on Friday
Alex Bregman

Officially Activated and Starting on Friday
Marvin Bagley III

Joining the Wizards
Herbert Jones

Signing Extension with Pelicans
Jacob Toppin

Returning to Hawks
Chicago Bears

Bears Extend General Manager Ryan Poles
Dalton Knecht

Avoids Serious Injury
MarShawn Lloyd

in a "Much Better Spot" Heading Into Training Camp
Javon Small

Signs Two-Way Deal
Dustin Hopkins

Browns Still Counting on Dustin Hopkins
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
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