Free NBA Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (11/30/22)

November 30, 2022

Thunder Dan's top NBA betting picks and best bets for today's NBA games on 11/30/22. His free picks against the spread, teasers, parlays, and NBA player props.

After a relatively slow night in the association last night (only three games), the NBA is back with another massive slate (13 games), affording us plenty of solid betting opportunities.

If you're looking for NBA player props, consider subscribing to my sports betting substack here as I put out something each evening Monday through Friday, too.

In this article, I'll be providing my favorite picks against the spread, game totals, parlays, and teasers for NBA games that tip-off at 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, November 30. Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

Thunder Dan's NBA Best Bets

• 2022-2023 Overall Record: 45-49
• Against the Spread: 21-22
• Game/Team Totals: 7-12
• Moneyline Parlay: 5-11
• Teasers: 12-3

NBA Betting Picks: Against the Spread

Philadelphia 76ers (+3.5) @ Cleveland Cavaliers (211.5 total)

It's with a heavy heart that I have to pick against my Cavs for the first time this season, but you should bet with your head, not your heart, right? Cleveland is beaten up right now (I mean, Philly is, too) with Jarrett Allen and Kevin Love out tonight and a few other rotational players questionable. Yes, the Sixers are without James Harden and Tyrese Maxey, but their supporting cast has played well and Joel Embiid returned on Monday to lead them to a big win over Atlanta.

Now, Allen in the paint to contend with Embiid is a big issue for the Cavs as Evan Mobley doesn't have the weight to contend with Joel's big body. The play of Shake Milton, Tobias Harris, and De'Anthony Melton lately has been impressive and the Cavs have had to lean too much on their star guards Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland without many other scoring options. I know they are on the road, but Philly feels like the better team at the moment and they are getting a full 3.5 points here, which feels like too much. I think they probably win outright in a tough, ugly, physical game. I'll bet the Sixers with the points and hope my Cavs can win by a bucket, that would be the ultimate win-win for me!

The Pick: PHI +3.5 (-110 DK)

Indiana Pacers (+4.5) @ Sacramento Kings (239 total)

This should be an absolute barnburner tonight. The total is already at 239 and could keep rising! The Pacers and Kings are two of the most surprising teams in the league this year as far as exceeding their expectations and it turns out the Haliburton/Hield/Sabonis trade actually worked out really well for both franchises.

Speaking of Haliburton, good lord has he been excellent this year. I am so thrilled to have him in some leagues and my preseason bet on him to lead the league in assists is looking pretty good right now. He has elevated this entire team with his strong play and both Myles Turner and Buddy Hield are playing really well, too. A month ago, we would have said they were being shopped for trades (and they still might be), but Indiana is contending right now with this core of players, so maybe they'll just see how far they can ride this group.

Anyways, you know I love the Kings and I have to admit that De'Aaron Fox has been better than I ever thought he would be. Keegan Murray has hit a bit of a rookie wall lately, but the strong play of Sabonis, Kevin Huerter, and the Kings' bench have led this team to some quality wins.

I don't know who wins this game, but it should be a fun one to watch and stack up in DFS. With all the storylines from the trade and "revenge narratives" abound, it should be a blast to follow. I'm siding with the Pacers in points because I think this game comes down to the final few possessions and the Pacers can hang in and at least cover.

The Pick: IND +4.5 (-110 DK)

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NBA Betting Picks: Totals

Milwaukee Bucks (-5.5) @ New York Knicks (227 total)

I am playing a trend here on the Knicks as they have been in a bunch of high-scoring games now in a row and have gone over their total in four straight. They dropped 140 points on the poor Pistons last night, but they'll definitely have a harder time scoring points against the Bucks tonight as they are one of the better defensive squads in the league.

The Bucks should be able to do their share of scoring here, though, as the Knicks are not all that good on defense this season and have allowed themselves to get pulled into some "track meets" with some high total results.

The Bucks won the first meeting here and the game went under this total, but I'm trying not to focus solely on that game either as it was played over a month ago and both teams are playing different styles of play lately.

I'm leaning on my model and the trends here quite a bit and the Knicks having played last night is one more little nugget we can use as they are 2-1 on overs when playing their second game in two nights.

The Pick: OVER 227 (-110 DK)

Atlanta Hawks (-6) @ Orlando Magic (227.5 total)

We are at the point of the season where I start incorporating recent sample sizes into my data and the last 10 games for Orlando have been bleak offensively. They are averaging a league-worst 104 points per game over their most recent 10 games and it's likely due to how many injuries they've had. They'll be without Jalen Suggs and Wendell Carter Jr. tonight, two of their better offensive players, and they're facing a quality opponent here in Atlanta. There's not much reason to think they get going offensively now.

If the Magic only score 104 points tonight, that means the Hawks would have to score 124 for this game to go over its total. While that's certainly possible, I don't think it's all that likely. Orlando hasn't been all that bad defensively, allowing 113 points per game on the season and only 111 per game over their last 10. They're content to play fairly slow and don't look to push the pace. This total feels pretty inflated to me, I won't be surprised if Atlanta wins but this game struggles to hit 220.

The Pick: UNDER 227.5 (-110 DK)

NBA Betting Picks: Parlays and Teasers

I usually do a money line favorite parlay on bigger slates and then one teaser bet as well (usually a lot of underdogs, but not always).

Just know the risks involved with parlaying bets, we are increasing our potential payouts but adding more risk to every bet with every outcome that we include.

Favorite Moneyline Parlay:  Atlanta + Memphis + Denver + Boston = (+222 DraftKings)

4.5-point Underdog Teaser: PHILLY +8, PORTLAND +10, INDIANA +9  = (+150 DraftKings)

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