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Free NBA Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (11/25/22)

Zion Williamson - New Orleans Pelicans

Thunder Dan's top NBA betting picks and best bets for today's NBA games on 11/25/22. His free picks against the spread, teasers, parlays, and NBA player props.

Wednesday's games were a lot of fun, but I took some "L's" as the Kings and Pacers let me down and the Sixers-Hornets game wasn't able to provide enough offense. If it weren't for player props, which did very well, I would have had a really rough night.

Speaking of props, if you're looking for NBA player props, consider subscribing to my sports betting substack here as I put out something each evening Monday through Friday, too. Tonight, the NBA is back with another massive slate (13 games) affording us plenty of solid betting opportunities. In this article, I'll be providing my favorite picks against the spread, game totals, parlays, and teasers for NBA games that tip-off at 7:00 PM EST on Friday, November 25.

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Thunder Dan's NBA Best Bets

  • 2022-2023 Overall Record: 43-43
  • Against the Spread: 19-21
  • Game/Team Totals: 7-10
  • Moneyline Parlay: 5-10
  • Teasers: 12-2

 

NBA Betting Picks: Against the Spread

New Orleans Pelicans (+2) @ Memphis Grizzlies (229.5 total)

Let's start off with an underdog pick, why not? The Pelicans will be without C.J. McCollum again tonight, but I am not sure that's enough of a loss to deter me from picking them here. They have a very competent backup in Jose Alvarado who actually strengthens their defense a bit even if he's not the scorer that CJM is.

The Grizzlies are still without Desmond Bane and he's a bigger piece of this team's success than most people probably realize. Yes, Morant is the engine that drives the Memphis locomotive and Jaren Jackson Jr. has been solid since returning, but Memphis has a hard time filling the void left behind by Bane on the wing as Dillon Brooks is basically just a scorer and not anywhere near the defender that Bane is.

The Pelicans are just a really scrappy team, I like the way they get after it. They remind me a lot of Memphis in that they have quality depth off the bench and a balanced approach that focuses on team basketball. New Orleans has been better this year overall, though it's hard to judge just how good Memphis could be once they get entirely healthy. In a game that is basically a coin flip, I will take the better odds on the underdog, so give me the Pels on the money line, please!

The Pick: NOP ML (+120 DK)

 

Denver Nuggets (-3.5) @ LA Clippers (219 total)

I really don't want to trust Denver here, but Nikola Jokic is probable and they should also get Jamal Murray and maybe MPJ (currently still questionable) back for this one tonight. Bones Hyland is still out, but if Denver is at least near full strength it's hard to imagine they couldn't put away a Clippers team that is without PG13 and Kawhi Leonard, right?

The Nuggets have been a tough team to handicap this year. We all know they have a ton of talent, but they've lost to some inferior teams so far this year and then turned around and beaten plenty of good teams, too. They're clearly not firing on all cylinders just yet and have been battling injuries. But Jokic has been outstanding in his two games since returning to the lineup and I can't see how the Clippers will be able to stop him in this one.

Denver just has so many good matchups in this game. Jamal Murray against Reggie Jackson = advantage Denver. Aaron Gordon against Marcus Morris - advantage Denver. Even the bench unit should be stronger despite the loss of Hyland because Bruce Brown is playing some great ball right now. On a night with a bunch of tough games to predict, I am counting on Jokic and the gang to secure a big win here. Cross your fingers that Denver doesn't let us down!

The Pick: DEN -3.5 (-110 DK)

 

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NBA Betting Picks: Totals

Brooklyn Nets (-2.5) @ Indiana Pacers (234 total)

The Nets and Pacers square off for the third time already this year, having split the first two meetings. The first game went over this total and finished at 241, while their second meeting (only a few days later) went under with only 225 total points.

The model is screaming UNDER here and the reason is likely this. Over their last ten games, the Pacers have the third-best defensive rating in the league. Combine that with a Brooklyn team that has the 10th best defense over their last ten and we have an opportunity to jump on the reversal of a trend here. While both teams were playing poorly on defense to start the season, they've been much improved and neither team has been great enough on offense to overcome that. I have this total projected around 225 and I want to bet it aggressively this morning as I think we see it drop during the day as the market corrects itself.

The Pick: UNDER 234 (-110 DK)

 

Sacramento Kings (+8) @ Boston Celtics (237.5 total)

We have the perfect storm brewing for a ton of points in this one. Boston has been one of the best teams in the league so far this year, especially on offense where their 118.8 offensive rating ranks first overall in the NBA. Guess who's second in the league in offense rating? That's right - your Sacramento Kings! So we have the league's two best offenses squaring off here in a game with an above-average pace (around 102 possessions I project).

I usually don't like betting the over on already high numbers or the under on abnormally low totals, but I don't think we can live and die by that strategy either. This game has the potential to erupt for a massive total tonight and I'm comfortable grabbing it at 237.5 and pretty confident that we will see it trend toward 240 as the day goes along.

I wish I could say I like the Kings to cover, too, but they burned me on Monday and Boston is so good when they're on their game. I do think they'll battle, though, and keep this game competitive to the end which also bodes well for the over I think.

The Pick: OVER 237.5 (-110 DK)

 

NBA Betting Picks: Parlays and Teasers

I usually do a money line favorite parlay on bigger slates and then one teaser bet as well (usually a lot of underdogs, but not always).

Just know the risks involved with parlaying bets, we are increasing our potential payouts but adding more risk to every bet with every outcome that we include.

Favorite Moneyline Parlay:  Atlanta + Minnesota + Phoenix = (+124 DraftKings)

4.5-point Underdog Teaser: PHILLY +7, PORTLAND +9, NOP +7  = (+150 DraftKings)

 

I usually post all my favorite props in our RotoBaller Discord on a nightly basis - if you're not a premium member for NBA content you can change that by signing up here!

We just added a new player prop tool that is available to our NBA premium and betting premium members too!



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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

A.J. Dillon

Not a Lock for a Roster Spot?
Chicago White Sox

Billy Carlson Goes 10th Overall to White Sox
Cincinnati Reds

Steele Hall Selected Ninth by Cincinnati
Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays Select JoJo Parker with Eighth Overall Pick
Boston Celtics

Damian Lillard Drawing Interest from the Celtics
Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins Select Aiva Arquette with Seventh Overall Pick
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pirates Select Seth Hernandez with Sixth Overall Pick
Kyle Stowers

Punishes Former Team with Three-Homer Game
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Cardinals Select Liam Doyle with Fifth Overall Pick
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Agrees to Contract Extension with Dallas
Colorado Rockies

Rockies Select Ethan Holliday Fourth Overall
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Kade Anderson Selected Third Overall by Seattle
Los Angeles Angels

Tyler Bremner Selected Second Overall by Angels in 2025 MLB Draft
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Nationals Select Eli Willits First Overall
Cooper Flagg

Shut Down for Rest of Summer League
LeBron James

Hasn't Requested a Trade
Quinshon Judkins

Following Quinshon Judkins Arrest, NFL Declines Comment
Travis Hunter

Earning Praise in Jaguars Camp for Work Ethic
Memphis Grizzlies

Cole Anthony, Grizzlies Agree to Contract Buyout
Edward Cabrera

Hopeful to Avoid Injured List
Oneil Cruz

Absent on Sunday
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Placed on 10-Day Injured List
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Scratched on Sunday
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Ivan Herrera Back in Action on Sunday
Sean Manaea

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Tyler Reddick

Better at Sonoma Than Record Shows
Chase Elliott

a Prime DFS Option at Sonoma
Julius Chestnut

Kalel Mullings Competing for RB3 Role
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Struggling a Bit at Sonoma
Carlos Correa

Returns to Twins Lineup
Connor Norby

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Kimani Vidal

Fighting for No. 3 Job
Cam Hart

Recovering From Shoulder Surgery
NASCAR

Christopher Bell Has Never Finished Better Than Ninth at Sonoma
Ryan Blaney

Has Top-10 Upside at Sonoma
Quentin Johnston

Might Not Get Many Chances to Prove Himself
Tre Harris

Officially a Holdout
NASCAR

Sunday at Sonoma Will Likely Be a Long Race for Bubba Wallace
Kyle Larson

Is A Likely Top-Five Contender for Sonoma
Ryan Preece

Points Position Could Affect Race at Sonoma
Todd Gilliland

Struggling to Find Speed at Sonoma
Ty Gibbs

May be an Underrated Favorite to Compete for the Win at Sonoma
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

. Should Move Up on Sunday
Ross Chastain

is a Likely Top-Five Contender for Sonoma
Josh Berry

Should Be Avoided in Fantasy at Sonoma
Chris Buescher

is A Great DFS Option to Consider for Sonoma Lineups
Riley Herbst

a Deep Sleeper at Sonoma
Joey Logano

May be A Sneaky DFS Option Who Can Pay Off for Sonoma Lineups
Austin Cindric

Could Austin Cindric Work for DFS Lineups at Sonoma?
Carson Hocevar

Is Carson Hocevar Worth Rostering For Sonoma DFS Lineups?
John Hunter Nemechek

Is John Hunter Nemechek A Sneaky DFS Play for Sonoma?
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A.J. Allmendinger Probably More Valuable for DFS If He Doesn't Flip the Stage
Alec Bohm

Unlikely to Play on Sunday
Travis Etienne Jr.

Needs to Bounce Back in 2025
Wan'Dale Robinson

Wants More Downfield Opportunities this Season
Brady House

Homers Twice on Saturday
Quinshon Judkins

Arrested on Saturday for Battery and Domestic Violence
Terry McLaurin

Could be a Holdout at Training Camp
Roger McCreary

a Candidate for a Contract Extension?
Mike Evans

Buccaneers Could Have Difficult Time Retaining Mike Evans
Charles Cross

Could Sign Extension Before Training Camp
Xavier Restrepo

One to Watch Going into Training Camp
Calvin Ridley

Appears Re-Energized
Mark Andrews

Still a Key Piece in Ravens Offense
Ndamukong Suh

Officially Announces his Retirement
Jaylen Waddle

Motivated After Disappointing Season
Tre Harris

Still Unsigned
Alexandre Sarr

Plays Well in Summer League Loss to Phoenix
Yang Hansen

Looks Good on Friday Night
Erik Karlsson

Open to Move Away From Pittsburgh
Zach Hyman

Hopes to be Ready for Start of Next Season
SJ

Jeff Skinner Joins Sharks on One-Year Contract
Kon Knueppel

Struggles in Summer League Win
Walter Clayton Jr.

Plays Well on Friday Night
Cody Williams

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Leads the Way on Friday Night
Isaiah Jackson

Signs Three-Year Extension
Marvin Bagley III

Joining the Wizards
Herbert Jones

Signing Extension with Pelicans
Jacob Toppin

Returning to Hawks
Dalton Knecht

Avoids Serious Injury
Javon Small

Signs Two-Way Deal
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
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Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
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Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
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