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We had another perfect day yesterday with a clean sweep of all four props. After our perfect day on Tuesday, we are also 6-0 on the week. As you all know, I’m a perfectionist, so we want to finish it that way with today's article. I will share my two favorite pitcher props, including my lock of the night and a total base prop on the short slate. Let's pick some more winners.
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In this article, I'll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Thursday, September 21, 2023. I will continue to hone in on pitcher props first, as they are the most lucrative, and we will follow that with some total base props. Let's look at some of the best MLB player props worth wagering on for today's games without further ado! Follow me on Twitter @CaseyW22 for more free betting and DFS advice.
MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks
Jose Berrios OVER 6.5 strikeouts (+112 FanDuel Sportsbook)
Berrios has been in solid form over his last three starts. He owns a 3.16 SIERA, 29.3% K%, and a 12.4% SwStr% in his three September starts. He has gotten seven or more strikeouts in all three starts. His opponent, the New York Yankees, lead baseball against right-hand pitching with a 27.8% K% over the last 30 days. At +112 on FanDuel, I will take a shot on Berrios in a favorable matchup.
Tarik Skubal OVER 6.5 strikeouts (-135 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Tarik Skubal is my favorite bet tonight against the Oakland Athletics. My lock of the day yesterday was Josiah Gray over in walks allowed, and today it will be Skubal over 6.5 strikeouts. Skubal has been in elite form over his last six starts. He has a 2.81 SIERA, 33.3% K%, and an elite 16.8% SwStr% in that span. He has seven or more strikeouts in all of his last six starts. His opponent tonight, the Oakland A’s lead baseball with a 27.5% K% against left-hand pitching the previous 30 days.
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MLB Hitting Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks
Freddie Freeman OVER 1.5 total bases (-105 DraftKings SportsBook)
Freddie Freeman will square off tonight against rookie Kyle Harrison and the San Fransico Giants. Harrison has shown some tendencies of reverse splits in his limited time in the big leagues, and although it is a small sample size, we will run with it. So far this season, Harrison has a .637 wOBA, .458 ISO, and a 41.7% hard hit against left-handed bats. Freeman is a lefty masher and has been even in his time in Atlanta. On the season against the split, Freeman owns an 182 wRC+, a .439 wOBA, and a .634 SLG. Since August 1, he has improved with a 185 wRC+, a .444 wOBA, and a .587 SLG.
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