X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

Free MLB Player Props - Today's Prop Betting Picks for Hitters and Pitchers (4/27/23)

Ryan Mountcastle fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers MLB injury news

Happy Thursday, everybody. Two more days until the weekend; it's almost here. We are starting to get trends and be able to trust adjustments that players have made through the offseason and into early 2023. This is a point of the season where I still will rely on stats from 2022, but I am focusing more on 2023 numbers. Let's keep this momentum rolling into some excellent plays for today's slate, which consists of baseball all day.

Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

In this article, I'll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Thursday, April 27, 2023. I will continue to hone in on K props first, as they are the most lucrative, and we will follow that with my patented stolen base props. Let's look at some of the best MLB player props worth wagering on for today's games without any further ado! Follow me on Twitter @CaseyW22 for more free betting and DFS advice. 

Featured Promo: Get any full-season Props Premium Pass for 50% off. Win big with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks

Shane McClanahan OVER 6.5 strikeouts (-155 DraftKings Sportsbook)

Shane McClanahan had 32 swings and misses in his last outing against this same Chicago White Sox team he faces today. He has a 32.5% K to start the season with a 20.3% SwStr. Yes, a 20.3% SwStr. He is the only pitcher in the big leagues with a CSW% in the 75th percentile on four different pitches. This dude is electric, and he's not slowing down. This White Sox team has a 23.0% K against left-hand pitching. They struck out eight times yesterday to Blue Jays lefty Yusei Kikuchi and are struggling over the last week at the plate. I don't think we see another 32 swings and misses, but I like the chances of his over-hitting here.

Logan Webb OVER 5.5 strikeouts (+105 DraftKings Sportsbook)

Logan Webb has a career-high 29.5% K, with a 10.6% SwStr. He has a 4.40 ERA, but his xFIP is 2.55, and his SIERA is 2.66. He also has a .333 BABIP with only a 1.14 WHIP. All this screams that he is getting very unlucky, and positive regression is coming. The Cardinals have a 21.4% K against right-hand pitching. I love that the Cardinals will roll out a minimum of five right-handed bats in the lineup today, and Webb excels in K% against this split. He has a 34.8% K against right-hand batters and only 22.6% K against left-hand batters. Although the Cardinals don't jump off the page as an attackable team, they are a perfect matchup for Webb because of his splits.

 

Matt Strahm OVER 5.5 strikeouts (-150 DraftKings Sportsbook)

Matt Strahm has been exceptional to start 2023 after moving from the bullpen to the rotation after signing with Philadelphia this offseason. He has pitched to a 3.00 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and a 38.0% K. His SwStr is at 15.5%, which is elite. He is slowly getting stretched out, as he went a season-high 82 pitches last time. The Mariners are a bottom-ten team in the bigs against left-hand pitching. They own a 26.5% K, .380 SLG, .285 wOBA, and an 85 wRC+ against left-hand pitching, all bottom ten in baseball. This team is exploitable against this split, and the way Strahm has been throwing the rock to start this year, I don't see this offense being the one to slow them down.

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

All new sign-ups also get a free year of RotoBaller's all sports Premium Pass ($450 value)!

Sportsbook Bonus Offer Promo Eligible States
Caesars Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,500 AZ, CO, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, and WY + ONT (CDN)
BetMGM Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 AZ CO IN IA LA MI NJ NY PA TN VA WV WY
DraftKings Deposit Bonus Booster Up To $1,000 AZ CO CT IL IN IA LA MI NJ NY PA TN VA WV WY
 



 

Featured Promo

Offer is only valid for new users

All new sportsbook sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($450 value)!

1. Just sign up for a new account
2. Make a minimum deposit of $20 and place any bet
3. Be sure to claim your bonus offer from the sportsbook
4. Email us at [email protected] with your new account details
5. Boom - that's it! We'll email you with your year-long RotoBaller Premium Pass

CLAIM NOW!

 


 

MLB Hitter Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks

Luis Arraez OVER 1.5 total bases (+130 FanDuel SportsBook)

All Luis Arraez does is hit. He has a .444 AVG to start the season after leading baseball in batting average last season. He doesn't have a ton of pop, but he finds ways to get on base and score runs. He has a .179 ISO this season and a ridiculous .496 wOBA against right-hand pitching. Kyle Wright has struggled against lefties this season, allowing a .412 ISO, .427 wOBA, and a 64.3% hard hit so far this season. He hits fastballs and knuckle curveballs to a +.400 wOBA, which is the majority of Kyle Wright's pitch mix.

Ryan Mountcastle OVER 0.5 home runs (+450 DraftKings SportsBook)

Ryan Mountcastle is a lefty masher and has been tearing up left-handed pitching his whole career. He faces Joey Wentz today, who has a 1.62 HR/9 in 2023. Against righties, he has a .226 ISO, .359 wOBA, and a 53.7% FB. He allows a ton of balls to be hit in the air, and Mountcastle has a .406 ISO, .429 wOBA, and 53.6% hard hit against left-hand pitching this year. I will also be betting on his TBs, but I love the home run from Mountcastle tonight.

 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Carson Hocevar2 hours ago

Looks Impressive Again at Texas
Zane Smith2 hours ago

Slow In Practice and Qualifying at Texas
Todd Gilliland2 hours ago

in Downgraded Equipment for Texas
Luis Arraez3 hours ago

Suffers Injury On Saturday
DeAndre Hopkins4 hours ago

Expected To Play In Week 3
DK Metcalf4 hours ago

Active For Week 3
Ryan Preece6 hours ago

Will Start 25th At Texas
Chase Briscoe6 hours ago

The Top Value Play On Sunday At Texas
Ricky Stenhouse Jr7 hours ago

.'s Struggles At Texas To Continue This Weekend
Joey Logano7 hours ago

Makes For A Nice Bounce Back Play At Texas
NASCAR8 hours ago

Bubba Wallace Wins Pole At Texas Motor Speedway
Ryan Blaney8 hours ago

A Core Play At Texas
Harrison Burton8 hours ago

Still On Wood Brothers Hot Seat
Austin Cindric8 hours ago

Keeps On Struggling In Qualifying
Daniel Suarez8 hours ago

Thrives In Texas Qualifying Saturday
Jamaal Williams8 hours ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Chase Elliott8 hours ago

Starts From Near The Back At Texas
Ross Chastain8 hours ago

Offers Less Upside At Texas
Jaylen Waddle8 hours ago

Won’t Play In Week 3 Against Denver
Ty Gibbs8 hours ago

Poised To Continue Strong Run In Texas
Aric Almirola9 hours ago

Tops Stewart-Haas In Qualifying
NASCAR9 hours ago

A.J. Allmendinger Surprises With Sixth In Qualifying
Kyle Larson9 hours ago

Starts 11th On Sunday Afternoon
Kyle Busch9 hours ago

Looks To Rebound On Sunday
Martin Truex Jr10 hours ago

. Hoping For Better Fortunes In Texas
Kenley Jansen12 hours ago

Returns From COVID List
Mike Trout13 hours ago

Hits Off Tee
Deon Jackson14 hours ago

Colts Release Deon Jackson
Yordan Alvarez14 hours ago

Doubles In A Run, Managing Elbow Issue
MLB14 hours ago

Diamondbacks-Yankees Postponed Saturday Due To Rain
MLB14 hours ago

Braves-Nationals Postponed On Saturday
Nolan Arenado15 hours ago

Cardinals Place Nolan Arenado On Injured List
Sandy Alcantara15 hours ago

Suffers Setback After Rehab Start
Clayton Keller15 hours ago

Ready To Become 100-Point Player
Nicklas Backstrom15 hours ago

Feeling At 100 Percent
Oliver Ekman-Larsson15 hours ago

Set To Get Look On Top Power-Play Unit
Carter Verhaeghe16 hours ago

Battling Muscle Tightness
Nikolaj Ehlers16 hours ago

Struggling With Neck Spasms
Logan Cooley16 hours ago

Scores Wonder Goal In Preseason Opener
16 hours ago

Chauncey Billups Backs Scoot Henderson To Become A "Star"
Josh Green16 hours ago

Aims To Become A Bigger Defensive Presence
Josh Hart16 hours ago

Set To See Minutes As Power Forward
Cade Cunningham17 hours ago

Jaden Ivey Believes Cade Cunningham Will "Shock" People
DeMar DeRozan17 hours ago

Ready To Shoot More Threes
Marcus Morris17 hours ago

Sr. Set To Remain A Starter In New Season
DK Metcalf20 hours ago

Returns To Practice On Friday
Brandon Lowe24 hours ago

Finished For 2023 With Knee Fracture
Salvador Perez24 hours ago

On Track For Return On Sunday
Andy Dalton1 day ago

To Start In Week 3
Triston McKenzie1 day ago

Set To Return For Sunday's Start
Jaden McDaniels1 day ago

Timberwolves Desire To Extend Jaden McDaniels
Boston Celtics1 day ago

Celtics Signing Lamar Stevens As Bench Piece
Frank Ntilikina1 day ago

Could Be Limited At Training Camp
Jayson Tatum1 day ago

To Play More Point Guard In 2023-24?
Randy Arozarena1 day ago

Leaves With Right Quad Tightness
Isiah Pacheco1 day ago

Picks Up Questionable Tag
Brandin Cooks1 day ago

Set To Return In Week 3
David Montgomery1 day ago

Doubtful To Play In Week 3
Ha-Seong Kim1 day ago

Returns To The Lineup
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1 day ago

Rejoins The Lineup On Friday
Zay Jones1 day ago

Ruled Out For Sunday Against Houston
Luis Arraez1 day ago

Back In The Lineup On Friday
Puka Nacua1 day ago

Back At Practice On Friday
Rasmus Dahlin1 day ago

Sabres Aiming To Lock Up Rasmus Dahlin, Owen Power Long-Term
Joe Burrow1 day ago

Limited In Friday's Practice
Connor Hellebuyck1 day ago

Focused On The Jets In 2023-24
DK Metcalf1 day ago

Questionable For Week 3
Trevor Zegras1 day ago

Jamie Drysdale Absent On First Day Of Camp
Jaylen Waddle1 day ago

Questionable With Concussion
Andrew Cogliano1 day ago

Hoping To Be Cleared For Season Opener
Amon-Ra St. Brown1 day ago

Listed As Questionable For Week 3
Alexander Barabanov1 day ago

Prefers To Remain In San Jose
Austin Ekeler1 day ago

Ruled Out Again
Mattias Ekholm1 day ago

Roughly A Week Away From Skating
Matt McLain1 day ago

On Track To Return Tuesday
Orion Kerkering1 day ago

Phillies Promote Prospect Orion Kerkering Friday
Michael Kopech1 day ago

Undergoes Surgery, Placed On Injured List
Luke Raley1 day ago

Placed On 10-Day Injured List
Jamaal Williams1 day ago

Ruled Out With Hamstring Issue
Royce Lewis1 day ago

Goes On Injured List
DeAndre Hopkins1 day ago

Listed As Questionable Against Browns
Christian Yelich1 day ago

Back In Brewers Lineup
Amari Cooper1 day ago

No Longer On The Injury Report
Deebo Samuel1 day ago

Considered Day-To-Day With Rib Injury
Damian Lillard1 day ago

Suns Considered Dark Horse To Facilitate Damian Lillard Deal
Donovan Mitchell1 day ago

Not Expected To Sign An Extension Next Summer
1 day ago

Amen Thompson Is Ready To Go For Training Camp
Buddy Hield1 day ago

Mavericks, 76ers, Bucks Have Shown Interest In Buddy Hield
Kelly Oubre1 day ago

Jr. Expected To Sign With 76ers
Mateusz Gamrot1 day ago

Seeking Victory In Seventh UFC Appearance
Rafael Fiziev1 day ago

Looks To Get Back In Win Column
Michelle Waterson-Gomez1 day ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
AJ Fletcher1 day ago

Set To Showcase On Main Card
Bryan Battle1 day ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 79
Evgeny Kuznetsov2 days ago

Sees New Head Coach As "Perfect Match"
Mark Scheifele2 days ago

Open To Staying With Jets
BUF2 days ago

Buffalo Sabres Reportedly Eyeing Patrick Kane
Alexander Romanov2 days ago

100 Percent For Training Camp
Jack Quinn2 days ago

Not Close To Returning
Christian Dvorak2 days ago

Out Until November
Jusuf Nurkic2 days ago

Heading To Phoenix?
Damian Lillard2 days ago

Could Be Moved Before Training Camp
Ricardo Ramos2 days ago

Set For First Fight In Over A Year
Charles Jourdain2 days ago

Hoping To Bring UFC Record Above .500
Marina Rodriguez2 days ago

Gets A Rematch At UFC Vegas 79
Dan Ige2 days ago

Enters UFC Vegas 79 On Two-Fight Win Streak
Bryce Mitchell2 days ago

Looking To Bounce Back After First Career Loss
VEG2 days ago

Daniil Miromanov Ruled Out Long-Term
Chris Wideman2 days ago

Out Indefinitely With Back Injury
Mason McTavish2 days ago

Nursing An Upper-Body Injury
Brooklyn Nets3 days ago

Jordan Hall Signs With Nets
Xavier Moon3 days ago

Signs With Clippers
Aleksej Pokusevski3 days ago

To Miss Next Six Weeks
Buddy Hield3 days ago

Pacers Attempting To Trade Buddy Hield
Alexa Grasso6 days ago

Retains Flyweight Title With Split Draw
Valentina Shevchenko6 days ago

Unsuccessful In Bid To Recapture Title
Jack Della Maddalena6 days ago

Pulls Out Close Decision Win At Noche UFC
Kevin Holland6 days ago

Takes Close Loss In Split-Decision Showing
Raul Rosas Jr.6 days ago

Knocks Out Terrance Mitchell In 54 Seconds

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP